An activist investor disclosed a stake in Bill Holdings (NYSE: BILL) and filed for operational changes at the $1.8 billion spend management software company, according to regulatory filings. The identity of the activist and the size of the position remain undisclosed pending full 13D publication, but the filing marks the second activist campaign targeting mid-cap software providers this quarter.
Bill Holdings operates a cloud-based platform for small and mid-sized business accounts payable and receivable, processing roughly $77 billion in annualized payment volume across 475,000 customers. Shares have traded down 41% over twelve months as the company's revenue growth decelerated from 53% in fiscal 2022 to 18% in the trailing quarter. Operating margins contracted 620 basis points year-over-year to negative 8.4% as the firm increased sales and marketing spend to defend against competitors including Ramp and Brex. The activist's thesis centers on cost discipline and potential asset rationalization after Bill's $2.5 billion acquisition of Divvy and $370 million purchase of Invoice2go between 2021 and 2022.
The timing matters because software-as-a-service multiples have compressed 60% from 2021 peaks, creating an environment where activists can acquire stakes at enterprise-value-to-sales ratios below 3x and push for margin expansion that legacy management teams resisted during the growth-at-all-costs era. Bill's gross margin of 82% suggests room for EBITDA improvement if the company curtails customer acquisition costs, which ran at 31% of revenue last quarter. The activist likely sees a path to 20-25% EBITDA margins within eighteen months through headcount optimization and reduced spend on overlapping product lines from the Divvy and Invoice2go integrations. Worth noting: Bill's customer retention rate of 96% provides revenue stability that makes margin expansion less risky than at customer-acquisition-dependent competitors.
Allocators should monitor three developments. First, whether the activist pushes for board seats or settles for private engagement, with proxy materials due by late April if the group seeks representation at the annual meeting. Second, any announcement of a strategic review of the Divvy or Invoice2go assets, which could fetch $400-600 million in a sale to private equity given current multiples for embedded finance platforms. Third, management's response on the April earnings call regarding fiscal 2025 margin targets—any guidance above 15% adjusted EBITDA margin would signal accommodation of activist demands without a public fight.
This is the fourth activist filing targeting a sub-$3 billion software company since January, following campaigns at Momentive, Alteryx, and Anaplan before its take-private. The pattern is late-stage SaaS firms trading below 4x sales with gross margins above 75% and operating margins below 10%.