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On the wire
Markets EdgeMACALLAN 1926July 7, 20263 min readAd-free

Family offices shift $140bn into private credit as PE liquidity drought enters year three

BlackRock survey shows infrastructure and direct lending now outpace buyout funds in new capital commitments.

Markets Edge deskMarkets Edge · Huang GoodmanSource: CNBC ↗
New ship: no warning signsBlackRock$BLK · filed: grew revenue 18.7% in FY2025 to $24.2BNew shipNext year $24.2B–$29.8B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴

What BlackRock filed

Grew revenue 18.7% in FY2025 to $24.2 billion, operating margin 29.1% against a 24.4% median for security brokers, dealers & flotation companies, equity 32.9% of assets, and dividend per share up 3 years running. Every figure links to the filing it came from on BlackRock’s card. New ship: no warning signs.

What the house said in advance

Revenue for the fiscal year after 2025-12-31 between $24.2B and $29.8B, an 80% range sealed on 26 Sept 2026 · receipt #592edd · graded in public by the revenue in BlackRock’s next annual report.

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BlackRock as JSON · the sealed range and calls · search another company

Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.

In plain words

Family offices pulled **$140bn** into private credit and infrastructure as PE holding periods hit **9.2 years** and distributions dried up.

$140 billion
into private credit and infrastructure strategies during the twelve…
385 single-family offices
managing a combined
$1.1 trillion
The reallocation marks the first time since 2011 that…
68%
of respondents increased exposure to private credit in the…

Family offices moved an estimated $140 billion into private credit and infrastructure strategies during the twelve months ending Q2 2026, according to BlackRock's biannual survey of 385 single-family offices managing a combined $1.1 trillion. The reallocation marks the first time since 2011 that buyout funds did not lead new alternative commitments among this cohort.

The survey, conducted between April and June, found that 68% of respondents increased exposure to private credit in the prior year, while 58% added to infrastructure. Private equity allocations declined for 41% of offices, the highest net reduction in the survey's sixteen-year history. Median holding periods for buyout fund positions now exceed 9.2 years, up from 5.8 years in 2021, as exit markets remain frozen and distribution rates sit near decade lows. Family offices reported annualized private equity returns of 7.4% over the trailing three years, below the 9.1% they earned on diversified credit strategies and well short of the 12-15% hurdles most partnerships promised at fundraising.

This is not a rejection of illiquidity. It is a rejection of illiquidity without yield. Private credit offers quarterly coupons in the 10-13% range on senior secured loans, often with SOFR floors and modest leverage multiples. Infrastructure debt and equity provide contracted escalators indexed to inflation, with offtake agreements that survived the rate shock of 2022-2024. Both asset classes delivered cash in hand while private equity capital remained locked in holding companies waiting for M&A windows that never opened. The families who staff these offices remember 2008, and they remember that income bought time when marks did not.

BlackRock's data shows the median family office now allocates 19% to private credit, up from 11% in 2023, and 14% to infrastructure, up from 8%. Private equity fell to 23% from 31% over the same window. The firm's co-head of private wealth solutions noted that the shift reflects both disappointing PE performance and a broader move toward strategies with "contractual visibility" in an environment where interest rates remain above 4% and refinancing risk has returned to corporate agendas. Credit funds with first-lien positions on cash-generative middle-market borrowers are now priced as if they are the new core holding, not the satellite bet.

The realignment is structural, not tactical. Family offices operate with permanent capital and no quarterly redemption pressure, which makes them slow to move and slower to reverse. When they rotate 8-12 percentage points of a portfolio in under three years, the message is that the prior equilibrium broke. Private equity's value proposition rested on operational improvement and multiple expansion in a falling-rate world. Rates stopped falling. Multiple expansion stopped. What remains is operational improvement alone, and families are discovering they can buy that in credit structures with better downside protection and no J-curve.

Operators should watch Q3 and Q4 2026 fundraising data from Preqin and PitchBook for confirmation that family office capital is reshaping fund closings. If private credit funds continue raising at the $180-220 billion annual pace seen in 2025, while buyout funds struggle to clear $250 billion—down from the $450 billion average of 2020-2021—the survey converts from sentiment to structure. Also watch whether the largest PE managers launch their own direct lending arms to follow the capital, as Apollo and Blackstone did in prior cycles.

BlackRock manages $11.5 trillion and has built private credit into a $220 billion business in under six years, partly by packaging illiquid income for exactly this client base. The survey is not disinterested research, but the money is real and the direction is clear.

Branded by POPS4 · proof in 60 seconds
For the principal

If your PE book predates 2019, model extension scenarios now—credit can capture reallocation dollars your GP cannot.

For the operator

Track Q3 fundraising close rates in credit versus buyout—capital follows yield when liquidity disappears for three consecutive years.

For the house

Tilt Crestwood and Marlowe sleeves toward senior direct lending; families are buying income, not IRR promises with decade tails.

Private introduction →
Sources and method
  • Primary report: CNBC, July 7, 2026.
  • Company figures can be checked against each filer's own reports on the boards: .
  • Written with artificial intelligence from public sources and published without individual human review. Corrections: jenny@pops4.com.
private creditfamily officesprivate equityinfrastructurealternative assetsblackrock

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