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Comcast$CMCSA · filed: saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7BNew shipTrillion Score 482Fall Risk LowNext year $112.3B–$128.4B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Comcast filed
Saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7 billion, operating margin 16.7% against a 5.8% median for cable & other pay television services, equity 35.5% of assets, and dividend per share up 10 years running. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Comcast’s card. New ship: no warning signs. Trillion Score 482, #9 of 12 in its field; Fall Risk Low (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2025-12-31 between $112.3B and $128.4B, an 80% range sealed on 26 Sept 2026 · receipt #81b903 · graded in public by the revenue in Comcast’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
Comcast isolates **$121B** broadband moat from **$42B** media decline, creating two tradable theses and opening NBCU to buyout by 2026.
$121 billion
in annual revenue
$42 billion
in trailing revenue but face secular decline in linear…
3.2 million
lines in the past eighteen months
$97 billion
in debt
Comcast announced Monday it will spin NBCUniversal and Sky into a standalone publicly traded company, separating its content and broadcast assets from the broadband and wireless infrastructure that generates $121 billion in annual revenue. The transaction, pending regulatory clearance, targets completion within one year. No cash changes hands. Existing Comcast shareholders receive proportional stakes in both entities.
The new company takes NBCU's film studios, Peacock streaming, Universal theme parks, and Sky's European pay-TV footprint — assets that produced $42 billion in trailing revenue but face secular decline in linear advertising and subscriber churn exceeding 8% annually. Comcast retains Xfinity broadband, which serves 32 million homes, and its wireless business, which added 3.2 million lines in the past eighteen months. The remaining entity holds $97 billion in debt; the spun entity assumes roughly $30 billion, though final capital structure remains under negotiation with rating agencies.
The move reflects acceptance that bundling pipes with programming no longer commands the synergy premium it did when Comcast acquired NBCUniversal for $30 billion in 2011. Broadband margins run near 60%, sustained by monopolistic footprint density and pricing power in markets where cable remains the only gigabit option. NBCU's margins compress below 18% as streaming losses — Peacock burned $2.8 billion last year — offset theatrical and licensing gains. Allocators who bought Comcast for its infrastructure moat have endured thirteen quarters of media-segment drag. The split isolates that drag and lets each business trade on its own fundamentals.
Private equity will circle the content entity immediately. Apollo, KKR, and Blackstone have each raised media-focused vehicles exceeding $15 billion in the past six months, hunting for assets with library depth and international reach. Sky's 20 million European subscribers and NBCU's film library — which includes Universal's 10,000-title catalog — offer steady cash even as linear TV erodes. A standalone NBCU could also become an acquisition target for a streamer seeking scale or a global telco wanting content leverage. The infrastructure company, meanwhile, becomes a pure-play on U.S. residential connectivity, a narrative that simplifies for yield-focused investors and removes the capital allocation tension between network investment and content spending.
Watch three developments: first, the name and ticker for the spun entity, expected by end of Q1 2025; second, rating-agency commentary from Moody's and S&P on the debt split, which determines refinancing costs for both companies; third, any indication that Comcast's cable infrastructure attracts interest from hyperscalers or sovereign wealth funds once it sheds the media complexity. Fiber overbuilders are already expanding into 18% of Comcast's footprint. The pipe business now competes purely on speed and reliability, without media bundling as a retention tool.
Comcast shares traded flat in after-hours Monday, closing at $42.88. The market already priced in some form of structural resolution. What it has not priced: whether the content business survives as independent public entity or gets taken private within eighteen months of separation.
Branded by POPS4 · proof in 60 seconds
For the principal
Content spinoff opens tactical short on legacy media with clean infrastructure long; separation completes by Q4 2025, buyout likely Q2 2026.
For the operator
Broadband stub trades as yield vehicle with monopoly pricing; NBCU stub attracts PE bid within six quarters, watch Apollo and KKR filings.
For the house
Long Comcast infrastructure post-spin at 8.2x EBITDA; short NBCU entity on first day trading via married put, target $18-22 entry.
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