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Comcast$CMCSA · filed: saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7BNew shipTrillion Score 482Fall Risk LowNext year $112.3B–$128.4B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Comcast filed
Saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7 billion, operating margin 16.7% against a 5.8% median for cable & other pay television services, equity 35.5% of assets, and dividend per share up 10 years running. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Comcast’s card. New ship: no warning signs. Trillion Score 482, #9 of 12 in its field; Fall Risk Low (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2025-12-31 between $112.3B and $128.4B, an 80% range sealed on 26 Sept 2026 · receipt #81b903 · graded in public by the revenue in Comcast’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
Moody's review marks the first credit event in ten years for Comcast, with leverage expected to climb toward **2.6x** post-split.
Baa2
long-term issuer rating on review for downgrade Tuesday
$150 billion
in outstanding obligations across the consolidated entity
$7 billion
in annual cable network revenue—including USA Network
$4.5 billion
in debt
Moody's placed Comcast Corporation's Baa2 long-term issuer rating on review for downgrade Tuesday, the first such action on the company's debt in over a decade. The review covers approximately $150 billion in outstanding obligations across the consolidated entity. The trigger: management's November 2025 announcement that it would separate its cable networks portfolio into a standalone publicly traded company, SpinCo, leaving the parent entity with NBCUniversal broadcast assets, theme parks, studios, and the Peacock streaming platform.
The rating agency's concern is structural. Comcast currently generates revenue across broadband infrastructure, advertising, theatrical releases, theme park attendance, and streaming subscriptions. The separation removes $7 billion in annual cable network revenue—including USA Network, MSNBC, CNBC, and Oxygen—from the parent balance sheet. Moody's notes that SpinCo will carry roughly $4.5 billion in debt, leaving RemainCo with a thinner earnings cushion against cyclical downturns in advertising and box office receipts. The parent company's leverage ratio, historically stable near 2.1x net debt to EBITDA, is expected to rise toward 2.6x post-separation, absent material deleveraging.
The market absorbed the news without visible distress. Comcast's 4.20% notes due 2048 widened 6 basis points to +142 over Treasuries in Tuesday afternoon trading, a modest move for an issuer of this scale. Investment-grade credit desks report no unusual selling pressure. The absence of panic reflects Comcast's track record: the company has maintained investment-grade ratings since 1997 and has never missed a coupon payment. But the review introduces execution risk. If Moody's follows through with a downgrade to Baa3, the company sits one notch above high-yield territory. A second ratings action—whether from Fitch or S&P—could compress refinancing windows and increase the cost of rolling over maturing debt.
Allocators should monitor three developments. First, whether Fitch and S&P initiate their own reviews within the next 30 days—coordinated rating actions carry more weight with covenant-sensitive lenders. Second, the final debt allocation between RemainCo and SpinCo, expected to be disclosed in the Form 10 filing by late July 2025. Third, management's deleveraging commitment: any announced asset sales or dividend cuts would signal seriousness about preserving the rating. Comcast has $12 billion in debt maturing between 2026 and 2028; refinancing terms will reveal how bond markets price the new risk profile.
The separation closes in Q4 2025. Moody's expects to conclude its review within 90 days of receiving final transaction documents, likely by mid-August.
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For the principal
Hold existing Comcast bonds through the review; volatility creates entry points if fundamentals hold and no second agency follows Moody's within thirty days.
For the operator
Track the Form 10 debt allocation in July; any RemainCo leverage above 2.7x warrants trimming exposure or rotating into shorter-dated paper with tighter spreads.
For the house
Huang Goodman maintains underweight Comcast credit; we rotate $18MM client allocation into Disney 2049s at +128 pending Fitch and S&P clarity on coordinated action.
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