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Comcast$CMCSA · filed: saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7BNew shipTrillion Score 482Fall Risk LowNext year $112.3B–$128.4B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Comcast filed
Saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7 billion, operating margin 16.7% against a 5.8% median for cable & other pay television services, equity 35.5% of assets, and dividend per share up 10 years running. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Comcast’s card. New ship: no warning signs. Trillion Score 482, #9 of 12 in its field; Fall Risk Low (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2025-12-31 between $112.3B and $128.4B, an 80% range sealed on 26 Sept 2026 · receipt #81b903 · graded in public by the revenue in Comcast’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
Moody's placed Comcast Corporation's credit ratings under review for potential downgrade Tuesday, the first formal signal that the company's announced entity split carries balance-sheet consequences. The rating agency cited reduced revenue diversification as the structural concern. Comcast's current A3 corporate family rating covers $91.1 billion in outstanding debt across a business generating $121.4 billion in trailing twelve-month revenue. That rating now faces bifurcation risk.
The company announced plans in November to separate its cable networks portfolio—including MSNBC, CNBC, USA Network, and Oxygen—into a standalone publicly traded entity tentatively named SpinCo. The new structure leaves Comcast's remaining operations centered on NBCUniversal's broadcast network, film studios, theme parks, Peacock streaming, and the core broadband infrastructure business. Moody's concern is mechanical: the split reduces cross-subsidization between high-margin connectivity revenue and lower-margin content operations. Cable networks contributed $7.02 billion in revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, down 5.8 percent year-over-year, but those assets carried operating margins near 32 percent. Losing that cash generation, even in decline, tightens the leverage ratios on both sides.
The credit implication matters because Comcast has operated for two decades as an integrated media and infrastructure conglomerate, using broadband's predictable cash flow to absorb volatility in content production and advertising cycles. Moody's is signaling that the two businesses no longer benefit each other's credit profiles when separated. The cable networks entity will inherit a subscale balance sheet with declining linear television revenue and limited refinancing flexibility. The remaining Comcast entity retains stronger assets—broadband infrastructure, theme parks, Peacock's growing subscriber base of 36 million as of Q3 2024—but loses the diversification premium that kept its cost of capital low during prior downturns. Credit markets are already repricing this. Comcast's 4.15 percent notes due 2048 widened 11 basis points since the split announcement, moving from +135 bps to +146 bps over Treasuries. That spread widening reflects early repositioning by fixed-income allocators who model separate entity risk.
Allocators should monitor three developments. First, Moody's formal rating action, expected within 90 days, will establish the new baseline cost of debt for both entities. Second, SpinCo's initial debt load and leverage ratio, which Comcast has not yet disclosed but will file in SEC documents by late Q1 2025. Third, the market's treatment of SpinCo paper in the high-yield versus investment-grade boundary—if SpinCo enters the market rated BBB-minus or lower, it triggers forced selling by index funds restricted to investment-grade mandates.
The rating review is the opening move in a longer credit divergence. Comcast's unified balance sheet ends. Two standalone entities now negotiate their own terms.
Branded by POPS4 · proof in 60 seconds
For the principal
Monitor SpinCo debt disclosures in Q1 2025. Unified Comcast credit story ends. Two separate risk profiles require distinct allocation decisions.
For the operator
Track Comcast '48 notes. Spread widening to +160 bps signals forced selling risk. Model SpinCo leverage before rating action.
For the house
Short Comcast long-duration credit. Long theme-park CMBS exposure. SpinCo will trade wide. Bifurcation creates relative value opportunity.
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