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Comcast$CMCSA · filed: saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7BNew shipTrillion Score 482Fall Risk LowNext year $112.3B–$128.4B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Comcast filed
Saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7 billion, operating margin 16.7% against a 5.8% median for cable & other pay television services, equity 35.5% of assets, and dividend per share up 10 years running. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Comcast’s card. New ship: no warning signs. Trillion Score 482, #9 of 12 in its field; Fall Risk Low (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2025-12-31 between $112.3B and $128.4B, an 80% range sealed on 26 Sept 2026 · receipt #81b903 · graded in public by the revenue in Comcast’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
Comcast exits a 22-year content bet, creating a **$120B** broadband pure-play and a media entity valued **30%** below peers, closing in **12 months**.
$120B
enterprise broadband and wireless business
39M-subscriber
Sky footprint across Europe
5.3%
year-over-year in Q3 2024
8%
in the same period
Comcast announced Monday it will separate NBCUniversal and Sky from its broadband and wireless infrastructure, ending a 22-year strategic bet that cable distribution and content production belonged under one roof. The spinoff creates two publicly traded entities: one holding the $120B enterprise broadband and wireless business, the other combining NBC News, Universal Pictures, Peacock streaming, and the 39M-subscriber Sky footprint across Europe. The move requires regulatory approval and targets completion within 12 months.
The separation follows a pattern visible across AT&T's WarnerMedia divestiture and Paramount's ongoing strategic review. Comcast's cable subscriber base declined 5.3% year-over-year in Q3 2024, while NBCUniversal's advertising revenue fell 8% in the same period. The company's stock trades at 9.2x forward earnings, below the S&P 500 media sector average of 12.1x, reflecting investor impatience with the bundled structure. Peacock reported 30M paid subscribers in the most recent quarter but continues to burn approximately $2.8B annually, a cost the broadband business will no longer absorb after the split.
The spinoff creates immediate valuation clarity. The broadband entity retains Comcast's 57M customer relationships across residential and business segments, generating $8.2B in quarterly free cash flow with 38% EBITDA margins. The media entity inherits a fragmented revenue model: legacy linear television networks losing $1.1B in annual cable fees, a film studio with inconsistent tentpole performance, and a streaming service competing against Netflix's 247M subscribers and Disney+'s 150M base. Debt allocation remains undisclosed, but Comcast's current $94B net debt load will likely split proportionally to EBITDA contribution, placing roughly $28B on the media balance sheet.
Family offices and fund managers should track three developments. First, the media entity's capital structure announcement, expected within 90 days, will reveal whether management prioritizes streaming investment or dividend distribution. Second, Sky's European regulatory approvals in the UK, Germany, and Italy could extend the timeline into early 2026 if antitrust reviews trigger. Third, the broadband company's post-spin capital allocation will signal whether Comcast pursues fiber-to-the-home expansion, wireless spectrum acquisitions, or aggressive buybacks—the $15B authorization announced in October suggests the latter.
The media entity will trade as a pure-play content business in a market that has repriced legacy studios downward 32% since 2021. Warner Bros. Discovery trades at 6.8x EBITDA, Paramount Global at 5.1x. NBCUniversal's theme parks, which contributed $2.3B in operating income over the trailing twelve months, remain the sole non-declining cash engine in the spun entity. The broadband business, meanwhile, enters public markets as a $400B infrastructure play with no content production risk and a 4.2% dividend yield at current valuations.
Branded by POPS4 · proof in 60 seconds
For the principal
Monitor the debt allocation and dividend policy announcement within 90 days—it will dictate whether the media entity becomes a restructuring candidate.
For the operator
The broadband entity offers infrastructure exposure without streaming cash burn; expect 4.2% yield and immediate buyback deployment post-separation in Q4 2025.
For the house
Long the broadband stub at separation, short the media entity on first earnings miss—theme parks cannot offset $2.8B annual Peacock bleed.
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