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Comcast$CMCSA · filed: saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7BNew shipTrillion Score 482Fall Risk LowNext year $112.3B–$128.4B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Comcast filed
Saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7 billion, operating margin 16.7% against a 5.8% median for cable & other pay television services, equity 35.5% of assets, and dividend per share up 10 years running. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Comcast’s card. New ship: no warning signs. Trillion Score 482, #9 of 12 in its field; Fall Risk Low (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2025-12-31 between $112.3B and $128.4B, an 80% range sealed on 26 Sept 2026 · receipt #81b903 · graded in public by the revenue in Comcast’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
Comcast carves out **$7B** in declining linear TV assets, retains Peacock and parks — stock adds **$11B** as debt spreads tighten.
8.2%
in pre-market trading to
$44.67
The move separates declining linear assets from streaming infrastructure
$11 billion
in the first ninety minutes of trading
$7 billion
in annual revenue but facing structural declines in cable…
Comcast announced Monday it will spin off NBCUniversal's broadcast television networks and European Sky operations into a separately traded public company, sending shares up 8.2% in pre-market trading to $44.67. The move separates declining linear assets from streaming infrastructure, with the parent retaining Peacock, Universal theme parks, and the film studio. Market cap appreciation added roughly $11 billion in the first ninety minutes of trading.
The new entity will house NBC broadcast network, CNBC, MSNBC, USA Network, and the full Sky suite across the UK, Germany, and Italy — assets generating approximately $7 billion in annual revenue but facing structural declines in cable subscription and advertising. Comcast keeps the growth engines: Peacock streaming (now 36 million paid subscribers), Universal Pictures, theme parks posting 14% revenue growth year-over-year, and the core broadband business serving 32 million U.S. customers. The spinoff structure is tax-free to existing shareholders, with distribution expected within twelve months pending regulatory clearance.
This is elegant capital allocation under duress. Linear television revenue at NBCUniversal fell 11% year-over-year in Q3, while carriage fees face renegotiation pressure as cord-cutting hit 6.1 million U.S. households in the past year. Separating these assets lets the market price them independently — likely at 4-5x EBITDA rather than dragging down Comcast's consolidated multiple. The parent improves its growth narrative for analysts while the SpinCo gains operational freedom to consolidate further or pursue European M&A without FCC entanglements. Bondholders face modest risk: Comcast's $97 billion debt load will be split, but the parent retains investment-grade fundamentals with broadband cash flow.
The timing aligns with Paramount's ongoing sale process and Warner Bros. Discovery's balance sheet strain — both competitors now face a leaner, faster-moving Comcast focused purely on streaming and experiential assets. The spin creates a roll-up vehicle for distressed linear assets if valuations compress further. Debt markets priced this in fast: Comcast's 2031 bonds tightened 18 basis points to +127 over Treasuries by 9:47 AM Eastern.
Operators should track the S-1 filing expected within 60 days for debt allocation details and management appointments. The SpinCo will need a CEO with European regulatory fluency and a CFO comfortable with harvest-mode capital returns. Charter Communications and Liberty Media both filed 13D amendments in the past quarter — watch for activist positioning if the SpinCo trades below $15 billion enterprise value, roughly 2.1x sales.
Comcast just built the template for legacy media's next phase. The market is pricing survival, not nostalgia.
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For the principal
Monitor the S-1 for debt tranching — if SpinCo borrows above 5.5%, consider paired trades against Warner Bros. Discovery bonds.
For the operator
Entry window opens if spin trades below 4x EBITDA — European consolidation optionality with Sky gives asymmetric upside against zero.
For the house
Long CMCSA equity against short DIS — Comcast now structurally cleaner, Disney still carries linear drag without separation catalyst in sight.
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