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FedEx$FDX · filed: grew revenue 7.7% in FY2026 to $94.7BSound shipTrillion Score 514Fall Risk LowNext year $87.7B–$104.7B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What FedEx filed
Grew revenue 7.7% in FY2026 to $94.7 billion, operating margin 5.8% against a 2.4% median for air courier services, equity 32.0% of assets, and dividend per share up 2 years running. Every figure links to the filing it came from on FedEx’s card. Sound ship: one warning sign. Trillion Score 514, #6 of 15 in its field; Fall Risk Low (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2026-05-31 between $87.7B and $104.7B, an 80% range sealed on 26 Sept 2026 · receipt #896428 · graded in public by the revenue in FedEx’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
FedEx's **$30 billion** freight spin creates two pure-play logistics entities, with LTL unit trading separately by November 25 as capital reallocates to higher-margin density plays.
$8.7 billion
revenue less-than-truckload carrier
$30 billion
based on pre-separation trading multiples
$54 billion
annual revenue business focused on express delivery
220 countries
FedEx Freight operates
FedEx closed the separation of its FedEx Freight subsidiary into an independent publicly traded company this week, ending five decades of integrated operations and creating a standalone $8.7 billion revenue less-than-truckload carrier. The move, first announced in June 2024, represents the largest structural reconfiguration in North American logistics since XPO's 2021 breakup and values the new FedEx Freight entity at approximately $30 billion based on pre-separation trading multiples.
The spin distributes one share of FedEx Freight common stock for every five shares of FedEx common stock held as of the November 18 record date. FedEx Freight begins regular-way trading on the New York Stock Exchange under ticker RXO on November 25, while the parent company retains its FDX symbol. The separation leaves FedEx Corporation as a $54 billion annual revenue business focused on express delivery, ground logistics, and supply chain services across 220 countries. FedEx Freight operates 29,000 LTL tractors and trailers serving 390 service centers, with 41,000 employees now reporting to a board chaired by former Ryder CEO Robert Sanchez.
The structural break carries weight beyond corporate taxonomy. FedEx spent $2.3 billion integrating ground and express networks between 2020 and 2023, betting density would drive margin expansion. That thesis fractured under e-commerce volume volatility and Amazon's insourcing acceleration, which stripped 18% of FedEx's parcel volume between 2019 and 2023. The LTL business, by contrast, posted 14.2% operating margins in fiscal 2024 against express delivery's 8.1%, a gap that widened as contract logistics margins compressed. Separating the assets lets each management team allocate capital without cross-subsidy debates and allows the LTL unit to pursue acquisitions in fragmented regional markets without FedEx Corporation's $20 billion debt load constraining leverage ratios.
The separation also telegraphs where institutional capital will migrate. Standalone LTL carriers trade at 1.8x revenue versus integrated logistics providers at 0.9x, a premium driven by pricing power in a market where the top five carriers control 61% of tonnage. FedEx Freight enters the public market with $1.1 billion in trailing twelve-month EBITDA and a balance sheet supporting $600 million in annual capex without parent company support. The parent, meanwhile, sheds $4.2 billion in annual revenue that required separate sales teams, union negotiations across 12 Teamster locals, and a regulatory posture incompatible with express delivery's non-union labor model. Management telegraphed the next move in the separation announcement: FedEx Corporation will redirect $1 billion in annual cost savings toward automation and last-mile density in its top 50 metro markets, where DHL and Amazon have gained 9 percentage points of share since 2020.
Operators should track three developments. First, FedEx Freight's January 2025 investor day will detail M&A capacity and likely signal whether management pursues Estes Express or Saia, the two remaining independent top-ten LTL carriers with adjacent terminal networks. Second, FedEx Corporation's March 2025 earnings call will quantify how much volume the parent retains from shared accounts, particularly in automotive and industrial verticals where customers relied on bundled LTL and express services. Third, the Q2 2025 proxy filings will reveal whether activist investors Elliott Management or D.E. Shaw, both disclosed holders in FedEx as of September, maintain stakes in one or both entities, a tell for whether further asset separation is in motion.
The spin leaves $54 billion in FedEx Corporation revenue still exposed to structural demand erosion as shippers vertically integrate logistics. The company now has 18 months to prove its network automation spend delivers margin recovery before the next contract cycle with UPS resets pricing benchmarks in late 2026.
Branded by POPS4 · proof in 60 seconds
For the principal
Monitor Q1 2025 capital allocation disclosures; spin may enable tax-efficient rebalancing into LTL exposure without integrated delivery risk.
For the operator
Track RXO's January investor day for M&A guidance; standalone LTL entity likely consolidates fragmented regionals within twelve months.
For the house
Initiate paired position: long FedEx Freight pure-play LTL margin expansion, short FedEx parent's e-commerce volume erosion exposure.
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