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Jack in the Box$JACK · filed: saw revenue fall 6.7% in FY2025 to $1.5BOld boatTrillion Score 459Fall Risk MediumNext year $1.1B–$1.7B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Jack in the Box filed
Saw revenue fall 6.7% in FY2025 to $1.5 billion, operating margin -1.2% against a 4.3% median for eating places, equity -36.2% of assets, and its dividend per share fell in the latest year on record. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Jack in the Box’s card. Old boat: three warning signs. Trillion Score 459, #35 of 45 in its field; Fall Risk Medium (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2025-09-28 between $1.1B and $1.7B, an 80% range sealed on 24 Sept 2026 · receipt #666f44 · graded in public by the revenue in Jack in the Box’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
Biglari's withhold campaign at **$800M** Jack in the Box tests whether activists can force QSR board changes without full proxy slates.
9.2%
of the quick-service chain through his investment vehicle
$800 million
market-cap operator
$56
per share
18%
from its January high
Jack in the Box is defending board chair David Goebel against a withhold-vote campaign mounted by Sardar Biglari, the activist investor who controls 9.2% of the quick-service chain through his investment vehicle. The proxy contest, escalating ahead of the company's annual meeting, marks Biglari's third attempt in five years to secure board representation at the $800 million market-cap operator. The company trades at $56 per share, down 18% from its January high, while comparable store sales have declined for three consecutive quarters.
Biglari filed preliminary proxy materials in early April calling for shareholders to withhold votes from Goebel, citing what he terms "persistent underperformance and governance failures" during Goebel's tenure. Jack in the Box responded with a regulatory filing describing Biglari's campaign as "disruptive to ongoing turnaround efforts" and noting that the board had already rejected his requests for two board seats in February. The company's defense rests on its recently announced $200 million share repurchase authorization and a franchisee expansion plan targeting 150 new units by fiscal 2026. Management argues that board continuity is necessary to execute a refranchising strategy that has converted 92% of company-owned stores to franchisee operation since 2019.
The proxy fight exposes structural tension in QSR franchise models where board composition directly affects capital allocation between unit expansion, franchise support, and shareholder returns. Biglari's Lion Fund has criticized Jack in the Box for returning insufficient cash to shareholders while maintaining corporate overhead that he calculates at $82 million annually, or roughly 4.1% of system-wide sales. The withhold campaign specifically targets Goebel as the director most responsible for rejecting Biglari's February proposal to add two investor-aligned seats. Jack in the Box counters that Biglari's Lion Fund has a record of disrupting portfolio companies without operational improvements, citing his contentious involvement at Cracker Barrel and Steak n Shake. The company's ISS governance score sits at 6.2 out of 10, suggesting institutional shareholders will weigh both arguments on merit rather than default to management.
The outcome will determine whether activist investors can force board changes at mid-cap QSR operators without launching full proxy slates, a question relevant to six other publicly traded franchise chains with comparable governance structures and activist attention. If Goebel receives withhold votes exceeding 30% of shares cast, precedent suggests the board would face pressure to negotiate even without a majority withhold result. Jack in the Box has scheduled its annual meeting for May 22, with preliminary vote tallies typically visible by May 15 through institutional holder filings. The company's insider ownership stands at 1.8%, meaning the decision rests with index funds and activist-oriented institutions who will assess whether Biglari's presence would improve capital discipline or simply extract short-term cash at the expense of franchise system health.
Biglari's campaign documents indicate he would push for a $150 million special dividend and reduced corporate overhead if granted board influence, moves that would test the franchise model's ability to support growth while satisfying investor return requirements.
Branded by POPS4 · proof in 60 seconds
For the principal
Monitor ISS vote recommendation due May 8; withhold threshold above 30% typically forces negotiated board expansion regardless of outcome.
For the operator
Track May 15 institutional pre-vote filings for directional read on activist success rate in franchise-heavy QSR governance disputes.
For the house
Short-dated options positioning reflects 12% implied move through meeting; consider pair trade against Cracker Barrel given Biglari overlap exposure.
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