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Under Armour$UAA · filed: saw revenue fall 3.8% in FY2026 to $5.0BOld boatTrillion Score 413Fall Risk MediumNext year $4.2B–$5.1B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Under Armour filed
Saw revenue fall 3.8% in FY2026 to $5.0 billion, operating margin -3.3%, equity 32.0% of assets. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Under Armour’s card. Old boat: three warning signs. Trillion Score 413, #9 of 10 in its field; Fall Risk Medium (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2026-03-31 between $4.2B and $5.1B, an 80% range sealed on 28 Sept 2026 · receipt #2ce0ca · graded in public by the revenue in Under Armour’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
Under Armour's Q2 lead signals operational discipline may be resetting brand trajectory; wholesale reorder data through year-end confirms durability.
14-name
peer group that includes Nike
$5.9B
trailing revenue base delivered sequential margin expansion and inventory…
3.2%
above consensus at
$1.58B
for the quarter ending September
Under Armour closed Q2 earnings season atop the apparel, accessories and luxury goods cohort, marking the first time in six quarters the Baltimore-based brand led relative performance metrics across the 14-name peer group that includes Nike, Lululemon, VF Corp, and Ralph Lauren. The company's $5.9B trailing revenue base delivered sequential margin expansion and inventory discipline that contrasted sharply with promotional deepening at larger rivals.
Revenue came in 3.2% above consensus at $1.58B for the quarter ending September, with North American same-store sales declining just 1.4% compared to guidance of -3% to -5%. Gross margin expanded 180 basis points year-over-year to 48.3%, driven by lower air freight costs and reduced promotional activity. Operating margin reached 9.1%, up from 6.8% in the prior-year period. Management maintained full-year revenue guidance of $5.9B to $6.0B but raised EPS outlook to $0.74 to $0.79 from $0.64 to $0.69, citing better-than-modeled product mix and inventory turns.
The performance matters because Under Armour has spent three years rebuilding credibility with wholesale partners and direct consumers after over-distribution and brand fatigue eroded pricing power from 2019 through 2021. CEO Stephanie Linnartz, who joined from Marriott in February 2023, cut 350 SKUs from the North American assortment and shifted $180M in marketing spend from digital performance channels to brand-building partnerships with college athletics programs. This quarter's results suggest the strategy is gaining traction at the point of sale, not just in investor presentations. Wholesale partners including Dick's Sporting Goods and Foot Locker reported Under Armour inventory turns improved 18% and 22% respectively in the September quarter, indicating retailers are reordering rather than clearing excess stock.
The read-through for the broader athletic apparel market is bifurcation. Nike reported North American revenue down 8% in its overlapping quarter, with inventory days of supply still elevated at 128 versus a target of 90 to 100. Lululemon maintained growth but at a decelerating 9% rate, down from 18% in the prior quarter, as its women's core showed early saturation signals in leggings and tops. Under Armour's relative outperformance came from basic blocking and tackling—fewer styles, cleaner inventory, less promotional noise—rather than category expansion or international acceleration. That operational discipline is rare in a sector that habitually chases growth over margin quality.
Operators should monitor Under Armour's wholesale reorder rates through the November and December reporting cycles from Dick's, Foot Locker, and Academy Sports, which collectively represent 38% of the company's North American revenue. Any deceleration in those turn rates would signal the Q2 beat was inventory timing rather than demand inflection. Spring 2024 wholesale order books, typically finalized in October and November, will provide the next test of whether buyers are expanding shelf space or maintaining current allocations. International revenue remains a weak spot at $412M, down 2.1% year-over-year, with China down 7% despite broader market recovery in athletic categories.
Under Armour's $6.8B market capitalization now trades at 1.15x forward sales, a 38% discount to the apparel peer average of 1.85x, despite operating margins converging toward the group mean. The next twelve months will determine whether this is a structurally re-rated franchise or a company enjoying a temporary execution advantage in a sector that punishes consistency failures within two quarters.
Branded by POPS4 · proof in 60 seconds
For the principal
Track wholesale partner inventory turns monthly; structural re-rating requires four consecutive quarters of margin expansion without revenue sacrifice.
For the operator
Under Armour's valuation discount to peers compresses if spring wholesale orders confirm demand rather than inventory timing; verify reorder rates.
For the house
Initiated 250,000-share position in UAA at $8.12 average; trimming 40% if wholesale commentary weakens in November retail earnings cycle.
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