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Markets Edge

Issued Sunday, August 2, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Edition 8/day editions · 6 papers From the chopped neck Latest Issue Archive Corporate Accounts
7
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Ranked by the pour ISABELLA'S ISLAY HENRI IV MACALLAN 1926 LOUIS XIII PAPPY 23 JOHNNIE BLUE WELL POUR
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ISABELLA'S ISLAY Capital Markets Aug 2, 8:01 AM EDT
Ares Management
Bloomberg.com ↗

Ares bundles €3 billion of private credit for secondaries sale

Ares Management packaged €3 billion of private credit assets for sale to secondaries investors, marking a significant move in portfolio redeployment.

ReadingPrivate credit funds are hedging duration risk by selling seasoned assets early. The secondaries market is now the exit ramp, not the opportunity play.
WatchWatch for three more asset bundles from the mega-managers within Q1. The cascade has begun.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
private creditsecondariesportfolio managementares management
HENRI IV Luxury Sector Aug 2, 8:01 AM EDT

Hermès holds margins while LVMH and Kering miss forecasts. Scarcity model shields.**

While LVMH and Kering reported earnings shortfalls, Hermès maintained pricing power and margin discipline through controlled supply, insulating the brand from broader luxury sector weakness.

ReadingScarcity is not a bug in the Hermès model; it is the entire business. Every quarter they do not discount is a quarter they win.
WatchWatch for Kering to announce a restructuring within 90 days. LVMH next.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
hermèsluxuryearningspricing power
MACALLAN 1926 Financial Intelligence Aug 2, 8:01 AM EDT
Fresno City Retirement
Pensions & Investments ↗

Fresno City Retirement expands private credit beyond direct lending strategy

Fresno City Retirement moved beyond direct lending into broader private credit strategies, signaling institutional appetite for yield diversification across credit products.

ReadingPublic pensions are waking up to the fact that direct lending is no longer the outlier alpha play. They are building commodity credit exposure.
WatchWatch for three more pension announcements in private credit expansion. The shift to commodity pricing happens quiet.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
private creditpension fundsdirect lendingyield
LOUIS XIII Capital Markets Aug 2, 8:01 AM EDT

Connecticut pension funds posted 14.0% returns in calendar 2025

Connecticut's pension system achieved 14.0% annualized returns for calendar year 2025, outpacing benchmark indices and signaling successful alternative asset positioning.

ReadingThis is the benchmark other states use to justify PE and private credit overweights. Connecticut made the timeline work.
WatchWatch for three state pension funds to announce private credit mandates within 120 days. They will cite Connecticut.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
pension fundsreturnsalternative assetsconnecticut
PAPPY 23 Financial Intelligence Aug 2, 8:01 AM EDT
US Direct-Lending Market
Reuters ↗

Direct-lending volume falls as private credit firms raise record $36B+ in Q2

Despite record capital raises in private credit, direct-lending origination declined, indicating capital is repositioning into broader credit strategies and secondaries.

ReadingDirect lending activity data is now a lagging indicator. The real action is in how the capital gets deployed once it lands.
WatchWatch for an announcement that one of the mega-managers is closing a direct-lending fund. It is coming.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
direct lendingprivate creditcapital raisesmarket activity
JOHNNIE BLUE Luxury Sector Aug 2, 8:01 AM EDT
Luxury Sector
WSJ ↗

Middle East luxury spending recedes. Kering and LVMH signal region rotation

The Middle East, previously a bright spot for luxury brands, shows signs of weakness, with Kering and LVMH both adjusting regional forecasts downward.

ReadingMiddle East luxury rotation is now real. Watch which brands have the highest exposure to that region.
WatchThree earnings misses from luxury retailers will cite Middle East weakness specifically within 90 days.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
luxurymiddle eastearningsregional weakness
WELL POUR Venture Intelligence Aug 2, 8:01 AM EDT
AI Startups / Forbes AI 50
Startup Fortune ↗

Forbes AI 50 signals: Startups moving past model size into deployment density

The Forbes AI 50 highlighted a shift in startup focus from large language model development toward practical deployment, inference optimization, and vertical-specific work.

ReadingVC capital is rotating away from foundation model risks and toward application layer execution. The winners have already shifted.
WatchWatch for a late-stage round announced by a model-size startup within 60 days. It will underperform expectations.
Read full analysis → Original ↗
aistartupsventuredeployment
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