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Cogent Communications$CCOI · filed: saw revenue fall 5.8% in FY2025 to $976MRotting at the dockTrillion Score 530Fall Risk HighNext year $762M–$1.4B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Cogent Communications filed
Saw revenue fall 5.8% in FY2025 to $976 million, operating margin -10.4% against a -4.4% median for communications services, equity -2.1% of assets, and its dividend per share fell in the latest year on record. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Cogent Communications’s card. Rotting at the dock: four or more warning signs. Trillion Score 530, #5 of 12 in its field; Fall Risk High (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2025-12-31 between $762M and $1.4B, an 80% range sealed on 27 Sept 2026 · receipt #8a7dfc · graded in public by the revenue in Cogent Communications’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
Cogent exits data centers for **$225M** as I Squared assembles AI compute sites, with Houston power access driving infrastructure thesis over legacy rack yield.
$225 million
marking the telecom carrier's withdrawal from purpose-built colocation real…
0.9x
trailing revenue
$40-50 million
in annual capital expenditure tied to cooling upgrades and…
$40 billion
in assets under management
Cogent Communications agreed to sell ten data center facilities to I Squared Capital for $225 million, marking the telecom carrier's withdrawal from purpose-built colocation real estate. The transaction includes a Houston facility and nine others across the portfolio, with I Squared positioning the assets as nodes in a broader AI infrastructure platform. Cogent retains its core fiber network business while shedding property-intensive operations that deviated from its carrier model.
The deal follows a pattern visible across telecom operators who entered data center ownership during the last infrastructure cycle and now face margin pressure from hyperscale competition. Cogent built its network on aggressive wholesale bandwidth pricing, a model incompatible with the capital intensity and power provisioning required for modern compute hosting. I Squared arrives with committed infrastructure equity and a thesis centered on AI workload density, where power availability and interconnection matter more than legacy rack space. The Houston site anchors the portfolio in a market where natural gas generation and permitting momentum support multi-megawatt builds faster than coastal alternatives.
For Cogent, the $225 million proceeds convert illiquid real estate into balance sheet optionality at a moment when bandwidth commoditization squeezes carrier margins. The company trades at 0.9x trailing revenue, below peers, reflecting investor skepticism about growth vectors in a fiber business pressured by subsea capacity additions and hyperscaler direct builds. Stripping data centers removes $40-50 million in annual capital expenditure tied to cooling upgrades and power infrastructure, freeing cash for network densification or debt reduction. Management signals focus on intercity fiber routes and subsea cable investments, assets with clearer pricing power than retail colocation.
I Squared's move reflects infrastructure allocators chasing AI compute exposure without building from scratch. The firm operates $40 billion in assets under management, primarily in transport and utilities, and positions these data centers as acquisition platforms rather than stabilized yield plays. Expect aggressive retrofit spend to boost power density from legacy 5-8 kilowatts per rack to 30-50 kilowatts, the threshold where AI training clusters begin economic viability. The Houston facility sits within 15 miles of three natural gas peaker plants and benefits from ERCOT's interconnection queue, which moves faster than PJM or CAISO for projects under 100 megawatts. I Squared will likely pursue power purchase agreements before the portfolio closes, locking rates ahead of Texas summer demand.
Watch for Cogent's next two earnings calls to clarify whether proceeds flow to shareholders via buyback or toward subsea cable consortium stakes, where the company holds minority positions in trans-Atlantic routes. I Squared's regulatory filings in Q2 2025 will reveal the actual retrofit capital committed, a figure that determines whether these sites compete for AI inference workloads or remain legacy enterprise hosting. The transaction closes in 90-120 days, subject to customary approvals.
Cogent's stock moved 2.1% after hours on the announcement, a muted reaction that suggests the market already priced in asset sales. The real tell arrives when I Squared files power capacity upgrades with Texas utility commissions, confirming whether $225 million bought a platform or ten buildings.
Branded by POPS4 · proof in 60 seconds
For the principal
Track I Squared's power upgrade filings in Texas within 120 days to assess whether retrofit spend justifies platform valuation.
For the operator
Cogent's fiber network remains undervalued at 0.9x revenue if data center capital redeployment targets subsea cable stakes with pricing power.
For the house
Huang Goodman holds no Cogent position but monitors I Squared portfolio companies for secondary market liquidity events tied to AI infrastructure exposure.
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