Edgarette’s scorecard · pops4.edgarette.card/1

Does the range hold?

🔖 Every time Edgarette publishes an if-the-pace-held range, it is logged here first, with a fingerprint (hash) of what she said, and scored when the company’s next annual report arrives. Until then, the backtest applies the same arithmetic to each company’s own past years. That is hindsight, and it is labelled as such.

Her range is an 80% range: set from how 7,847 SEC company-years actually turned out, so about 8 in 10 outcomes should land inside it. This page checks whether it does.

77% of 512 backtested years landed inside the 80% range, across 57 companies logged. Target: 80%.

Retired first method (v1, if either pace held, 09-19): 26% of 506 backtested years inside. Far too narrow, which is why it was replaced the same day. Its 51 logged ranges stay in the ledger and will still be scored.

Live record: 57 ranges open · 0 inside · 0 outside. The first live scores arrive as next year’s annual reports are filed.

By company size (revenue)

TestsInside the rangeCompanies
$10B+21575%17
$1B–10B16380%15
$100M–1B9677%14
under $100M3871%7

By length of the record

TestsInside the rangeCompanies
4+ audited years51277%53

Who is asking

Questions from other AIs and outside apps in the last seven days (MCP tool calls, and the ask API from outside our pages). A floor, not a ceiling: repeat answers served from the edge cache are not counted.

CallCount
ask3

The ledger, newest first

CompanyFrom FY endingRange, next yearMethodStatusHash
BOSTON OMAHA Corp $BOC2025-12-31$87.4M–$150.4Mv2openc8474abe94b28d24
NUBURU, INC. $BURU2025-12-31null–nullv2openddb028b4cd7fb8cf
BEST BUY CO., INC. $BBY2026-01-31$32.1B–$44.8Bv2open683f6fd3cbcd33d8
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC. $AIG2025-12-31$20.4B–$28.4Bv2openffe00b05cc5eb0c9
GLADSTONE COMMERCIAL CORP $GOOD2025-12-31$119.3M–$205.3Mv2openbe46bf9129c7c52c
DOW INC. $DOW2025-12-31$28.5B–$39.7Bv2openef4ef30311778ce4
COCA COLA CO $KO2025-12-31$38.6B–$53.8Bv2open6a48a6447e91af2d
MICROSOFT CORPORATION $MSFT2026-06-30$303.8B–$423.9Bv2openbd1413afad74d8e3
NetApp, Inc. $NTAP2026-04-24$5.5B–$8.1Bv2open1cfbe7fe582ac9ef
Apple Inc. $AAPL2025-09-27$339.2B–$473.3Bv2openedfdf4ea25e1e980
WOLFSPEED, INC. $WOLF2025-06-29$541.6M–$931.9Mv2openbe272cd1ea6d1e82
WORLD KINECT CORPORATION $WKC2025-12-31$25.0B–$34.9Bv2openfa304c2e722d745b
Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. $WHLR2025-12-31$52.9M–$135.6Mv2open5f64b0d5f86abf0a
The TJX Companies, Inc. $TJX2026-01-31$50.5B–$70.4Bv2open7a3a79c6a4497a4b
SYNAPTICS INCORPORATED $SYNA2026-06-27$943.6M–$1.4Bv2open9d2c8b68082340e7
SERVICE PROPERTIES TRUST $SVC2025-12-31$1.3B–$2.0Bv2openb1b7d77d96bb6f18
Seagate Technology Holdings plc $STX2026-07-03$12.0B–$16.8Bv2open68c2a0ccb6c1b063
Strattec Security Corporation $STRT2026-06-28$423.1M–$728.1Mv2openf1af05f0e03906c1
SUNPOWER INC. $SPWR2025-12-28$464.5M–$799.3Mv2open67ed0117bf735f2d
SOUNDHOUND AI, INC. $SOUN2025-12-31$222.4M–$382.8Mv2open6a32626d36610873
Surgery Partners, Inc. $SGRY2025-12-31$2.7B–$4.0Bv2openad1ec630fc63ad35
SPRINGBIG HOLDINGS, INC. $SBIG2025-12-31$11.2M–$28.6Mv2open080d15ec3a1ca0e6
Ross Stores, Inc. $ROST2026-01-31$19.1B–$26.6Bv2openf0fa5deaa6139e0a
RANK ONE COMPUTING CORPORATION $ROC2025-12-31$11.0M–$28.1Mv2open7632e175694b0df5
Regis Corporation $RGS2026-06-30$162.0M–$278.7Mv2open79b3a2423c8c977d
STURM, RUGER & COMPANY, INC. $RGR2025-12-31$381.6M–$656.5Mv2open8c8f3ea08e27e22f
RESOURCES CONNECTION, INC. $RGP2026-05-30$262.6M–$451.8Mv2open54b54603e3ce98c9
Rent the Runway, Inc. $RENT2026-01-31$244.6M–$420.9Mv2openab60e90521f40adc
QVC Group, Inc. $QVCG2025-12-31$5.9B–$8.7Bv2openf13be4f2f4891591
QuinStreet, Inc. $QNST2026-06-30$1.2B–$1.8Bv2open0374bcda61e35577
PepsiCo, Inc. $PEP2025-12-27$75.4B–$105.2Bv2open4a1994844bb6332c
PAYLOCITY HOLDING CORPORATION $PCTY2026-06-30$1.5B–$2.3Bv2open3f1482662b6e65e7
FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. $NOTE2025-12-31$43.1M–$110.6Mv2open39da6494faf2b7db
MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS INC $MLM2025-12-31$4.9B–$7.2Bv2open9ef3e0dfdbf0fb72
METHODE ELECTRONICS INC $MEI2026-05-02$745.6M–$1.1Bv2open7c3d5190cf9bb6a3
James River Group Holdings, Inc. $JRVR2025-12-31$479.0M–$824.2Mv2open8c2312204d4494b0
HALLADOR ENERGY CO $HNRG2025-12-31$371.1M–$638.6Mv2open42b74482307da29c
HEALTHY CHOICE WELLNESS CORP. $HCWC2025-12-31$47.1M–$120.8Mv2open978e8d64359b9623
G III APPAREL GROUP LTD /DE/ $GIII2026-01-31$2.1B–$3.2Bv2open510f38668063af09
Fox Corporation $FOXA2026-06-30$14.1B–$19.6Bv2openf51e474db167933f

A range is arithmetic, not a forecast, and nothing here is investment advice. Figures are the companies’ own, from their audited SEC filings. Machine-readable: scorecard.json. Maintained by Jenny Huang Goodman MPA MSc MHSA, Principal.

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