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Comcast$CMCSA · filed: saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7BNew shipTrillion Score 482Fall Risk LowNext year $112.3B–$128.4B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Comcast filed
Saw revenue fall 0.0% in FY2025 to $123.7 billion, operating margin 16.7% against a 5.8% median for cable & other pay television services, equity 35.5% of assets, and dividend per share up 10 years running. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Comcast’s card. New ship: no warning signs. Trillion Score 482, #9 of 12 in its field; Fall Risk Low (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2025-12-31 between $112.3B and $128.4B, an 80% range sealed on 26 Sept 2026 · receipt #81b903 · graded in public by the revenue in Comcast’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
Comcast unwinds **$70 billion** in M&A, splitting cable infrastructure from content—capital markets will now price each business without the holding company discount.
$70 billion
in acquisition capital
$13.75 billion
for majority control
$16.7 billion
two years later
$121 billion
in revenue last year
Comcast disclosed plans to separate NBCUniversal into a standalone entity, marking the dissolution of a media conglomerate assembled across two decades and $70 billion in acquisition capital. The company expects regulatory clearance within twelve months. No valuation guidance was provided in the initial filing.
The separation reverses the 2011 NBCUniversal acquisition, when Comcast paid General Electric $13.75 billion for majority control, then bought the remaining stake for $16.7 billion two years later. The combined entity generated $121 billion in revenue last year. Comcast will retain the cable infrastructure business, serving 32 million residential broadband subscribers across 41 states. NBCUniversal takes the broadcast network, film studio, theme parks, and Peacock streaming service, which burned $2.8 billion cash in the most recent fiscal year while adding 5 million subscribers.
The move signals capital markets have stopped rewarding conglomerate structures in media. Comcast shares trade at 7.2x forward earnings, a 40 percent discount to the S&P 500 median, despite cable margins near 38 percent. Analysts attribute the gap to investor confusion over streaming losses embedded in a cash-generative cable business. Paramount trades at 8.1x. Warner Bros. Discovery at 7.8x. The holding company discount persists across legacy media regardless of asset quality. Separating the entities allows each business to attract its natural buyer base: infrastructure funds for cable distribution, growth allocators for content and parks.
Tax treatment will determine execution mechanics. A Reverse Morris Trust structure would allow Comcast shareholders to receive NBCUniversal stock without immediate tax liability, then permit a same-day merger with another media entity. That path requires a partner. A direct spin-off is cleaner but triggers capital gains for long-term holders. Comcast has used neither structure at this scale. The company completed a $500 million REIT spin-off in 2015 but retained operational control. This separation appears full and permanent.
Peacock remains the unresolved variable. The service holds rights to Premier League football, WWE programming, and Universal's film library, but operates at 34 percent gross margin compared to 63 percent for the legacy cable networks. If NBCUniversal enters the market as a standalone entity, strategic buyers will model breakeven on streaming by 2026 or demand Peacock's closure. Warner Bros. Discovery absorbed $9.1 billion in write-downs when it shuttered CNN+. Comcast may preempt that outcome by merging Peacock into another platform before separation. Discussions with Paramount or Apple would make sense. No such talks have been disclosed.
Allocators should monitor three items. First, regulatory filing details by end of Q1 2025, which will clarify tax structure and whether a Reverse Morris Trust is in play. Second, debt allocation between the two entities. Comcast carries $97 billion in net debt. The split determines NBCUniversal's standalone credit rating and its ability to finance content spending without parent support. Third, management appointments. Brian Roberts will likely remain with the cable business. Who runs NBCUniversal as a public company signals whether the board intends operational continuity or a near-term sale.
The conglomerate model survived 13 years. It dies in twelve months.
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For the principal
Watch for Reverse Morris Trust structure enabling tax-free merger partner—Peacock's $2.8 billion burn rate makes standalone strategy unlikely beyond separation.
For the operator
Debt allocation detail in Q1 filing determines NBCUniversal's content spend capacity—credit rating governs bid premium if strategic buyer emerges post-spin.
For the house
Short the conglomerate discount thesis now—separation eliminates 40 percent valuation gap, cable business reprices toward infrastructure multiples within six months.
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