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Meta$META · filed: grew revenue 22.2% in FY2025 to $201.0BNew shipTrillion Score 555Fall Risk LowNext year $209.3B–$263.5B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Meta filed
Grew revenue 22.2% in FY2025 to $201.0 billion, operating margin 41.4% against a 2.9% median for computer programming, data processing, etc., equity 59.4% of assets, and dividend per share up 1 year running. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Meta’s card. New ship: no warning signs. Trillion Score 555, #69 of 311 in its field; Fall Risk Low (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2025-12-31 between $209.3B and $263.5B, an 80% range sealed on 24 Sept 2026 · receipt #ee050c · graded in public by the revenue in Meta’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
Meta's **$41B** in locked capacity shifted infrastructure vendors from speculative builders to contracted utilities overnight.
$41 billion
in AI infrastructure agreements last week—
$14 billion
with CoreWeave and up to
$27 billion
with Amsterdam-based Nebius Group over five years
$72 billion
with roughly 60% earmarked for AI infrastructure
Meta signed $41 billion in AI infrastructure agreements last week—$14 billion with CoreWeave and up to $27 billion with Amsterdam-based Nebius Group over five years. The contracts guarantee computing capacity, not speculation. CoreWeave's deal alone exceeds its trailing twelve-month revenue by a factor of seven.
Both vendors now hold forward commitments that alter their credit profiles. CoreWeave, which went public in January at a $19 billion valuation, can now backstop construction debt against contracted cash flows. Nebius—spun out of Yandex in 2024—moves from regional operator to Tier-1 hyperscale supplier in a single signature. Meta did not disclose pricing per GPU-hour, but the deal structures suggest fixed-capacity reservations rather than usage-based billing. That shifts inventory risk to the vendors and locks in Meta's marginal cost of compute through 2030.
The announcements formalize what has been visible in the colocation and power markets since late 2024: hyperscalers are securing compute before chips ship. Meta's capital expenditure guidance for 2025 sits between $64 billion and $72 billion, with roughly 60% earmarked for AI infrastructure. Outsourcing $41 billion of that to third parties preserves balance-sheet flexibility and accelerates deployment timelines. CoreWeave and Nebius own the data center shells, the power contracts, and the operational overhead. Meta owns the models and the margin.
For infrastructure investors, the shift is definitional. CoreWeave's contracted backlog now justifies mezzanine lending at sub-8% yields, a rate reserved for investment-grade credits six months ago. Nebius, which operates owned data centers in Kansas City and Finland, can now raise project finance against Meta's creditworthiness rather than its own. The company disclosed it will deploy Nvidia H200 and Blackwell-architecture GPUs under the agreement, meaning chip delivery schedules are already negotiated. That removes the largest variable cost from the equation.
Operators should track two follow-on events. First, CoreWeave's debt refinancing—expected in Q2 2025—will test whether capital markets price the Meta contract as a revenue multiple or a credit enhancement. Second, Nebius must secure an additional 400 megawatts of power capacity in the next eighteen months to meet the upper bound of its Meta commitment. Land leases in Finland and Kansas have already been filed, but interconnection queues in both jurisdictions run 24-36 months. If Nebius cannot energize capacity by mid-2026, the contract's upper tranches become theoretical.
Meta now has 41 billion reasons to believe its inference costs will not spike in 2027.
Branded by POPS4 · proof in 60 seconds
For the principal
Watch CoreWeave's Q2 refinancing—if markets price the Meta contract as credit enhancement, infrastructure multiples re-rate across the stack.
For the operator
Nebius must energize 400MW by mid-2026 to hit contract ceilings; track Kansas and Finland interconnection queues for early signals.
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