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Scholastic$SCHL · filed: saw revenue fall 2.7% in FY2026 to $1.6BNew shipTrillion Score 566Fall Risk MediumNext year $1.3B–$1.8B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Scholastic filed
Saw revenue fall 2.7% in FY2026 to $1.6 billion, operating margin 1.0% against a 10.5% median for books: publishing or publishing & printing, equity 43.4% of assets. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Scholastic’s card. New ship: no warning signs. Trillion Score 566, #3 of 14 in its field; Fall Risk Medium (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2026-05-31 between $1.3B and $1.8B, an 80% range sealed on 27 Sept 2026 · receipt #7f26ec · graded in public by the revenue in Scholastic’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
Scholastic spends **53%** of trailing cash flow on a second tender in eight months, tightening float and setting a **$28.50** valuation floor.
$200 million
of common stock at prices between
$28.50
per share
16%
premium to the
$24.57
Friday close
Scholastic Corporation announced a modified Dutch auction tender offer to repurchase up to $200 million of common stock at prices between $27.00 and $28.50 per share. The upper bound represents a 16% premium to the $24.57 Friday close. The offer expires December 19 unless extended.
The company will fund the tender entirely from balance sheet cash. As of August 31, Scholastic held $377 million in cash and equivalents against $92 million in long-term debt, leaving post-tender liquidity near $270 million if fully subscribed at the high end. Trailing twelve-month operating cash flow sits at $375 million, meaning the buyback absorbs 53% of annual generation. Chairman and CEO Peter Warwick framed the move as confidence in intrinsic value and capital allocation discipline.
Scholastic operates in three segments: School Book Clubs and Fairs ($1.1 billion trailing revenue), Trade Publishing ($234 million), and Education Solutions ($312 million). The Book Fairs business, which generates 68% of revenue, saw flat comparable sales through the first fiscal quarter ended August 31. Management disclosed during the September earnings call that fiscal 2025 guidance assumes mid-single-digit revenue growth with operating margin expansion of 50 to 100 basis points. The tender offer arrives six months before fiscal year-end and two quarters into that guidance window.
The buyback follows a $150 million tender completed in May at $26.50 per share, which retired 9.2% of shares outstanding. Combining both programs, Scholastic will have deployed $350 million since February, representing 23% of the current $1.5 billion market capitalization. The May tender drew a 1.3x oversubscription ratio, signaling shareholder willingness to exit at modest premiums. Insider ownership sits at 18%, held primarily by the Robinson family trust, which has not participated in prior tenders.
The timing places pressure on any interested strategic or financial buyer. Scholastic's library distribution contracts and captive school relationships generate predictable cash flow with limited capital intensity, a profile that typically attracts private equity interest. A tender at $28.50 sets a public valuation floor that any takeover premium must clear. The company has not retained a financial advisor or formed a special committee, suggesting the board views this as routine capital return rather than defense. Still, the float shrinks with each tender, raising the cost basis for any future bid.
Allocators should watch for proration announcements by December 20 and Q2 fiscal earnings in mid-March, when management updates fiscal 2025 guidance. Any downward revision to operating cash flow or margin expansion would conflict with the confidence signal embedded in a second $200 million deployment within eight months. The company's next board meeting in February will clarify whether buybacks remain the preferred use of cash or whether M&A in education technology enters consideration. The $270 million residual cash balance leaves room for one more tender of similar size before debt issuance becomes necessary.
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For the principal
Two tenders in eight months shrink the float and raise the price for any strategic bid; timing favors patient equity holders.
For the operator
Watch proration levels by December 20 and Q2 margin guidance in March; any operating miss contradicts the confidence this signals.
For the house
Small long position via named accounts: tender reinforces valuation floor, limits downside, pairs well with education services basket exposure.
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