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On the wire
Markets Edge00:00 UTC editionSunday, October 4, 20267 itemsAd-free

Markets Edge

Capital flows, CMO moves, M&A. Eight editions a day, seven tiers, from the chopped neck.

Markets Edge deskHuang Goodman · eight editions a day← Earlier editionLater edition →
Edgar's SEC data profile {actuarial version}
Fresh today 7 new items in the 00:00 utc editionJump to the new edition ↓
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ISABELLA'S ISLAYM&A IntelligenceOct 3, 8:02 PM EDT
BlackRock / IFM Investors · Crypto Briefing ↗

BlackRock and IFM in exclusive talks for $25B data center deal.

BlackRock and IFM Investors are in exclusive talks for a $25 billion data center acquisition, extending BlackRock's massive AI infrastructure positioning.

ReadingAllocators have moved past debating whether AI infrastructure is real. They are now buying it at scale. Regional players with sub-$5B backlogs should expect acquisition offers within 90 days.
WatchWhich pension fund announces its first direct data center commitment next. The LPs are rotating capital from traditional real estate into power infrastructure.
Read the full analysis →Original ↗m&adata centersai infrastructurecapital markets
HENRI IVM&A IntelligenceOct 3, 8:02 PM EDT
Bain Capital · MSN ↗

Bain weighs more than $15B purchase of Koch-owned Edged data-center operator.

Bain Capital is weighing a more than $15 billion purchase of Koch-owned data-center operator Edged, marking a potential major shift for the private equity firm.

ReadingPE firms that funded infrastructure companies are now acquiring them directly. The 20% IRR era in pure-play tech is over. The 15% IRR in owned infrastructure is the new bid.
WatchApollo, TPG, and KKR's data center positioning announcements. The tier-one shops will not be silent much longer.
Read the full analysis →Original ↗m&aprivate equitydata centersai infrastructure
MACALLAN 1926Capital MarketsOct 3, 8:02 PM EDT
Flex / Axiom · Financial Times ↗

Flex announces new company name for planned cloud and power infrastructure spin-off.

Flex announced a new company name for the planned Cloud and Power Infrastructure spin-off and filed Form 10 registration statement, signaling imminent separation.

ReadingManufacturing-as-service trades at 8x EBITDA. Infrastructure trades at 14x. The spreadsheet work is done. Flex shareholders will see the math on the proxy next quarter.
WatchThe analyst rerating announcements. The first shop to model Axiom standalone gets cited in every institutional pitch for six months.
Read the full analysis →Original ↗spinoffmanufacturinginfrastructurecapital markets
LOUIS XIIIM&A IntelligenceOct 3, 8:02 PM EDT
Nexera Technologies / Fort Technology · Business Insider ↗

Fort Technology acquires majority stake in Logia USA for backup-power systems.

Fort Technology, a Nexera Technologies subsidiary, acquired a 50.1% interest in Logia USA, which holds an exclusive U.S. license for automated fuel-integrity systems.

ReadingData center operators pay the vendor that removes the backup power risk entirely. Logia + Fort own that conversation now. Margin profile is single-digit percentage of power cost.
WatchWhich data center REIT announces a preferred vendor agreement with Logia in the next 90 days. The exclusive term licensing tends to tighten fast.
Read the full analysis →Original ↗m&adata centersinfrastructurepower systems
PAPPY 23Capital MarketsOct 3, 8:02 PM EDT
EMCOR Group · Yahoo Finance ↗

EMCOR reports record data center backlog from sustained AI infrastructure investment.

EMCOR Group reported sustained investment in data centers and mission-critical infrastructure, supported by record Remaining Performance Obligation and forward-looking backlog.

ReadingProcurement teams that booked capacity in Q1 will not see delivery until Q1 next year. Late movers are now facing 18-month installation windows. The best facilities are already spoken for.
WatchEMCOR margin guidance on the next call. Full utilization at scale should show 50-70 basis points of expansion.
Read the full analysis →Original ↗capital marketsdata centersbackloginfrastructure
JOHNNIE BLUETechnology IntelligenceOct 3, 8:02 PM EDT
Semiconductor Equipment Market · Yahoo Finance ↗

Semiconductor front-end equipment market projects $182B by 2035 on AI fab demand.

The semiconductor front-end equipment market is projected to reach USD 182 billion by 2035, growing at 7.2% CAGR, driven by AI chip demand, leading-edge fab investments, and CHIPS Act incentives.

ReadingAllocation to semiconductor equipment vendors should increase, not decrease. The capital intensity is rising. The constraint is lithography tools, not demand.
WatchASML's next quarterly guidance. They will either expand lead times or cut. Neither option exists right now.
Read the full analysis →Original ↗semiconductorscapital equipmentai chipsmarket forecast
WELL POURGlobal Business NewsOct 3, 8:02 PM EDT
Kakao · MSN ↗

Kakao spin-off plan faces shareholder opposition; stock falls on execution risk.

Kakao is facing growing controversy over its plan to increase corporate value through a spin-off, with stock price falling following the announcement.

ReadingSoutheast Asian conglomerates using the spin-off narrative need to watch Kakao's next three months. If Kakao cannot deliver separation with 51% ownership, no one can.
WatchWhether Kakao's board withdraws the plan quietly or doubles down. Withdrawal signals resignation. Doubling down signals they have buyer commitments.
Read the full analysis →Original ↗corporate structurespin-offkoreagovernance

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