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On the wire
Sports EdgeHENRI IVOctober 31, 20263 min readAd-free

NFL Loses Sunday Ticket Antitrust Appeal, $4.7B Damages Ruling Vacated

Ninth Circuit reinstates jury's liability finding but orders new trial on subscriber damages—league's distribution model stays intact through 2033.

Sports Edge deskSports Edge · Huang GoodmanSource: Sportico ↗
Edgar's SEC data profile {actuarial version}
In plain words

NFL stays liable for antitrust bundling but **$14.1B** judgment erased; retrial on damages begins Q3 2025 with settlement threshold near **$1B**.

$4.7 billion
damages award and ordered a new trial on that…
2.4 million
residential subscribers and
48,000
commercial establishments
$14 billion
payout that would have dwarfed the league's

A three-judge panel of the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals on Friday upheld a 2024 jury verdict that found the NFL violated federal antitrust law by bundling out-of-market games exclusively through Sunday Ticket, but vacated the $4.7 billion damages award and ordered a new trial on that question alone. The league remains liable; the invoice gets rewritten.

The underlying case, filed in 2015 by 2.4 million residential subscribers and 48,000 commercial establishments, argued the NFL illegally restricted distribution of live Sunday afternoon games by selling them only as a single package through DirecTV and later YouTube TV. The June 2024 jury agreed on liability and awarded $4.7 billion in damages, later trebled under antitrust law to $14.1 billion. U.S. District Judge Philip Gutierrez then overturned the entire verdict in August 2024, citing flawed damages methodology. Friday's appellate ruling reverses Gutierrez on liability but agrees the damages calculation was defective. The case returns to his courtroom for a retrial on damages only, with the jury instructions on market harm unchanged.

The decision keeps the NFL's broadcast architecture under legal pressure but removes the existential threat of a $14 billion payout that would have dwarfed the league's $13 billion in total revenue last season. More important: it leaves the current distribution deals intact. YouTube TV's $2 billion annual Sunday Ticket contract runs through 2029, and the league's domestic broadcast packages with CBS, Fox, NBC, ESPN, and Amazon total $110 billion over eleven years ending in 2033. None of those agreements are voided by the ruling, and the NFL continues to operate under the Sports Broadcasting Act of 1961, which explicitly permits pooled TV rights for home-market games. The plaintiffs' theory—that *out-of-market* games should have been sold individually or through cheaper tiers—remains unresolved in case law, and the retrial will determine what subscribers overpaid, not whether the distribution model changes.

The financial risk now hinges on how a new jury calculates damages. The original award assumed every plaintiff paid premium prices for a product they would have bought more cheaply if sold game-by-game or team-by-team. The NFL's expert argued most Sunday Ticket buyers are high-value superfans willing to pay for the full slate, meaning any overcharge was marginal. If the retrial produces a damages figure below $1 billion, the league will settle quickly; anything above $2 billion (trebled to $6 billion) likely triggers another appeal and delays final payment until 2027 or later. Meanwhile, the Ninth Circuit's reinstatement of liability gives leverage to a separate class action filed in 2023 by subscribers to YouTube TV's Sunday Ticket product, which uses identical bundling. That case is stayed pending this retrial outcome.

Commercial subscribers—bars, restaurants, casinos—represent the sharper edge. They paid $3,000 to $15,000 per season depending on fire-code capacity, and their damages claim rests on lost foot traffic and customer complaints about price. The NFL has already moved to settle some commercial claims separately, and Friday's ruling will accelerate those negotiations. Sponsorship exposure is indirect but real: brands like Verizon, Anheuser-Busch, and State Farm tie activation spending to broadcast reach, and any court-ordered breakup of the Sunday Ticket bundle would fragment audience delivery in ways their media plans don't accommodate. Verizon's $1 billion streaming rights deal, for example, assumes Sunday Ticket remains a YouTube TV exclusive through the contract term.

The retrial will begin no earlier than Q3 2025, per the remand order. Expect the NFL to argue damages closer to $400 million (pre-trebling) by narrowing the class to active complainants and excluding subscribers who renewed multiple years. Expect plaintiffs to push $2 billion by including lost consumer surplus and premium pricing on commercial tiers. Judge Gutierrez has already signaled skepticism of sweeping harm theories, which favors the league.

The fact that matters: YouTube TV added 1.2 million Sunday Ticket subscribers in 2024, up 18% year-over-year, at an average price of $449 per household. The product people are suing over is selling faster than ever.

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Sources and method
  • Primary report: Sportico, October 31, 2026.
  • Written with artificial intelligence from public sources and published without individual human review. Corrections: jenny@pops4.com.
nflmedia rightsantitrustsunday ticketyoutube tvlitigation

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