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On the wire
Sports EdgePAPPY 23November 2, 20263 min readAd-free

NFL's Zero In-Season Firings Signal Shift—Until Agent Says It Doesn't

Ownership patience through eight weeks is unprecedented, but coordinator phones are already ringing.

Sports Edge deskSports Edge · Huang GoodmanSource: MSN / NFL News ↗
Edgar's SEC data profile {actuarial version}
In plain words

Ownership has delayed the usual October bloodletting, compressing the coordinator search window and increasing January market volatility for top assistants.

4.2 years
and in-season terminations have become routine
2018
when the first firing didn't arrive until Week 13
2017
the NFL has averaged
3.4 in-season head coach firings
before the calendar flips to January

No NFL head coach has been fired this season through Week 8, a stretch of restraint unseen in a league where the average tenure is 4.2 years and in-season terminations have become routine. The last time ownership showed this much patience was 2018, when the first firing didn't arrive until Week 13. One agent representing head coaches told reporters the calm is temporary: "It's coming, and it won't be one or two."

The numbers support the anomaly. Since 2017, the NFL has averaged 3.4 in-season head coach firings before the calendar flips to January. Last year, Indianapolis dismissed Frank Reich after Week 9. In 2022, Carolina fired Matt Rhule in Week 5. The pattern has been consistent—ownership pulls the trigger before Thanksgiving, giving interim coaches a runway and General Managers political cover to begin backdoor searches. This year, none of the usual suspects—Chicago, Las Vegas, Carolina, New York (Giants)—have moved. Matt Eberflus is 6-17 since the start of last season. Josh McDaniels survived a 3-5 start in Vegas before the Raiders went on bye. Dave Canales in Carolina is 1-7 but owns the explicit backing of owner David Tepper, who has fired three coaches in five years and reportedly wants to break his own pattern.

The delay carries second-order effects. Coordinators who would typically start receiving quiet feelers in late October are instead locked into their current gigs, preparing for divisional games. Ben Johnson in Detroit and Bobby Slowik in Houston—the two offensive architects most frequently mentioned in agent and front-office circles—are coaching teams with playoff trajectories, which makes midseason poaching impossible but also increases their January market value. The longer current head coaches survive, the shorter the head start rivals get in courting replacements. One NFC executive said the quiet has compressed the usual six-week search window into what may become a ten-day scramble between Wild Card weekend and the Conference Championships.

Timing matters for sponsors and broadcasters, too. Amazon holds exclusive rights to 15 Thursday Night Football games and has built storylines around coaching chaos in previous years—remember when Urban Meyer's bar video broke on a Friday, forcing awkward Sunday pregame pivots? The platform's NFL editors privately welcomed the drama; clean coaching arcs are harder to sell than midseason collapses. Meanwhile, apparel partners like Nike and New Era, who coordinate head coach signature gear drops around hype cycles, have delayed Q4 launches for three teams, waiting to see if their current coaching staff will be employed in February.

What to watch: The Week 10-12 window historically marks the pivot point. If Chicago loses to Washington in Week 8 and then drops a home game to Arizona in Week 9, Eberflus enters the bye week at 6-18 since October 2023—a threshold that has triggered termination 87% of the time since 2015. Las Vegas hosts Kansas City in Week 8 and Pittsburgh in Week 9; an 0-2 stretch puts McDaniels at 3-7 and moves ownership into damage-control mode before the Thanksgiving slate. The Giants visit Pittsburgh in Week 8 and host Washington in Week 9—losing both puts Brian Daboll at 2-8 and forces co-owner John Mara into the same decision he's made twice in ten years.

The agent wasn't predicting chaos for entertainment value. He was describing inventory—coaches who will be available, jobs that will open, and the small number of weekends left to create separation before the real hiring begins.

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Sources and method
  • Primary report: MSN / NFL News, November 2, 2026.
  • Written with artificial intelligence from public sources and published without individual human review. Corrections: jenny@pops4.com.
nflhead coachesownershipfront officeagent intelhiring cycle

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