Savills research projects that 12,000 additional retail stores will come from emerging brands across the UK in the next expansion cycle, according to Retail Times. The property consultancy's analysis shows large national brands still anchor retail and leisure property development, but the next store-opening wave will be driven by a cohort of smaller, fast-growing operators rather than established chains.
The mechanism is property availability meeting brand readiness. As legacy national retailers consolidate their footprints — closing underperforming locations and concentrating on fewer, larger flagships — they create a pipeline of available retail boxes in proven trade areas. Emerging brands with validated concepts and early traction can access these units at lower entry costs than when competing against major chains for prime new-build space. The brands Savills tracked are past the pop-up phase but not yet at national scale: they have working unit economics, proven customer acquisition in their home markets, and capital to build out a multi-site presence.
This works because the risk profile has inverted. A decade ago, landlords preferred the credit strength of a Top 50 retailer. Today, a portfolio of ten emerging brands with different customer bases and product categories spreads vacancy risk better than a single anchor tenant that might restructure and void half its leases in one CVA. The emerging brand pays market rent, signs shorter terms, and turns over inventory faster. The landlord gets occupancy and flexibility. The brand gets physical distribution without building a national infrastructure first.
For a small physical-product brand, the steal is straightforward: you do not need 12,000 doors. You need three test locations in markets where your online customer density is already proven. Pull your Shopify or Amazon shipping data. Identify the top three postcodes outside your home region where you have repeat customers and order values above average. Then approach retail agents or landlords directly in those trade areas — not for new-build units, but for recent vacancies from closed national chains. Reference your existing online revenue in that geography as proof of local demand. Offer a 12-month lease with a performance breakpoint: if you hit an agreed monthly revenue threshold, the lease converts to 24 months. If you miss, both parties exit clean. Budget roughly £2,000–£4,000 per month for a 600–1,000 square foot unit in a secondary high street or retail park, plus fit-out. Stock the location with your top 12–15 SKUs. Staff it part-time or with commission-based local hires. Measure revenue per square foot weekly. If the unit does not hit £150–£200 per square foot annually within six months, close it and redirect the inventory. If it does, you have a template to replicate in the next high-density postcode.
The broader pattern is that retail property is becoming modular and accessible to brands that were digital-only 24 months ago. The 12,000-store projection is not one brand opening thousands of doors — it is hundreds of brands opening tens of doors each, testing physical distribution as a customer acquisition and retention channel rather than a legacy cost structure.