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Nvidia$NVDA · filed: grew revenue 65.5% in FY2026 to $215.9BSound shipTrillion Score 667Fall Risk LowNext year $269.4B–$528.1B sealedCheck ▾Close ▴
What Nvidia filed
Grew revenue 65.5% in FY2026 to $215.9 billion, operating margin 60.4% against a 2.4% median for semiconductors & related devices, equity 76.1% of assets, and dividend per share up 1 year running. Every figure links to the filing it came from on Nvidia’s card. Sound ship: one warning sign. Trillion Score 667, #2 of 107 in its field; Fall Risk Low (how it is measured).
What the house said in advance
Revenue for the fiscal year after 2026-01-25 between $269.4B and $528.1B, an 80% range sealed on 24 Sept 2026 · receipt #1b3cda · graded in public by the revenue in Nvidia’s next annual report.
Figures as filed with the SEC. Ranges, scores and boats are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings or recommendations. Reporting, not advice.
In plain words
NVIDIA's dividend raise is **346x** faster than Northrop's, signaling capital efficiency divergence now visible in payout policy.
2,400%
in the week ending May 22
6.93%
in the same window
$96 billion
in trailing-twelve-month free cash flow as of Q1 2026
75%
The company had maintained a nominal quarterly dividend of
NVIDIA announced a dividend increase of 2,400% in the week ending May 22, 2026, while Northrop Grumman raised its payout by 6.93% in the same window. The divergence is not merely arithmetic. It is a signal of capital efficiency arriving at the dividend line.
NVIDIA's move follows $96 billion in trailing-twelve-month free cash flow as of Q1 2026, with data center revenue alone generating margins above 75%. The company had maintained a nominal quarterly dividend of $0.04 per share since 2012, reinvesting nearly all cash into R&D and capacity. The new payout implies a quarterly distribution near $1.00 per share, or roughly $2.5 billion annualized at current share count. That figure represents less than 3% of free cash flow, leaving $93 billion for buybacks, CapEx, and M&A. Northrop Grumman, by contrast, operates on $4.2 billion in annual free cash flow with a payout ratio already near 38%. The 6.93% increase adds approximately $120 million to its annual dividend burden, funded entirely by incremental defense contract extensions in hypersonic and satellite programs.
The implication is not that Northrop is mismanaged. It is that NVIDIA's capital structure has reached the inflection point where returning cash no longer competes with growth. When a company generating 23x the free cash flow of a prime defense contractor can raise its dividend 346x faster, the denominator in every valuation model shifts. Allocators pricing NVIDIA as a speculative growth name are now forced to reconcile a yield-on-cost dynamic that will compound at rates defense equities cannot match without program cancellations. The 2,400% figure is theatrical, but the $2.5 billion annualized run-rate is structural. It also positions NVIDIA for index inclusion in dividend-focused ETFs holding $1.2 trillion in AUM, creating a forced bid from yield-starved allocators who previously excluded the stock.
Northrop's 6.93% increase, meanwhile, reflects the ceiling of capital efficiency in defense. The company is executing well—$38 billion backlog, 11% EBIT margins on fixed-price contracts—but the business model is subtractive. Every dollar returned to shareholders is a dollar not spent on the next sensor or airframe. NVIDIA's model is multiplicative: every dollar returned signals surplus capacity to generate more. The gap between these two raise percentages is the gap between linear program budgets and exponential demand curves.
Watch for NVIDIA's inclusion in the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats eligibility pool by 2031, requiring 25 consecutive years of raises—an event that will force re-rating among pension and endowment mandates. Northrop's next raise will likely land near 5-7% in Q2 2027, pending Congressional appropriations bills due in September. NVIDIA's next adjustment, expected in May 2027, will be measured in hundreds of basis points, not single digits.
The 2,400% headline will fade. The $2.5 billion annualized commitment will not.
Branded by POPS4 · proof in 60 seconds
For the principal
Compare your SFO's dividend yield on legacy NVIDIA positions to current forward yield; the compounding math now justifies position size increases.
For the operator
Model NVIDIA's payout ratio ceiling at 10% FCF by 2028; that's $9.6 billion in annual dividends before any margin compression.
For the house
We are adding NVIDIA to the income sleeve of Huang Goodman Core Equity; position weight climbs to 4.2% from 2.8%.
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