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Green Brick Partners $GRBK Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

🫧 Edgar looked up Green Brick Partners, Inc. ($GRBK). Last filing: 8-K (5.02 Departure or Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers), 2026-10-26. 13 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months. Non-reliance (8-K Item 4.02) filed 2026-04-29.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $2.0B (FY2025), total debt $323.3M. Experience: revenue down 1.0% on the year, up 9.8% a year over 4 years. Soundness: equity 73.3% of assets, return on equity 18.5%, payout 0.8% of profit. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $1.7B and $2.4B next year (method v4.1: its own 4-year record of growth weighed at 50% against $1B–10B filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $1.6B to $2.7B. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (15 filers, $50M+ revenue, operative builders): growth -1.0% against -1.9%.

Next year, 80%$1.7B–$2.4B
Growth, on the year−1.0%
Operating margin—
Equity of assets73.3%
Credibility50%
Track record6 of 9
Green Brick Partners, Inc. against its own record and its peers
Revenue, on the yearPeer median -1.9%-1.0%Equity of assetsPeer median 61.2%73.3%Return on equityPeer median 12.7%18.5%Payout of profit0.8%Gold tick: the median of 13–14 peers with $50M+ revenue in operative builders
Handed back now, or kept to compound · of each dollar of profit
0.8% paid out99.2% keptGrowth its own profit can fund18.3%managed -1.0% last year

Gold paid out, navy kept. Kept share × return on equity = the growth it can fund itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🌊 In between · no clear cash pattern yet
Inside viewTurns 10.4% of revenue into operating cash; revenue growing 5.1% a year over three years; no common dividend.
Outside viewAmong $1B-10B companies: 37th percentile for cash, 52nd for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$213M · −$44M · −$138M · $208M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$191M · — · —
Revenue swing · equity of assets12.0% · 73.3%

Green Brick Partners is growing faster than its size class, with revenue that swings more. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$2.0B
Revenue, on the year−1.0%
Revenue, a year over the record9.8%
Operating margin—
Operating margin, prior year—
Net margin16.8%
Research and developmentnot filed separately
Total debt$323M
Equity of assets73.3%
Return on equity18.5%
Payout of profit0.8%
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share$7.09
Book value per share$42.32
Revenue per share$46.44
Shares outstanding43,924,000
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 15 filers with $50M+ revenue in operative builders.

Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ not enough filed detail (needs current assets and liabilities, retained earnings, operating income)Piotroski F 4 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M not enough filed detail (needs receivables, cost of revenue, PP&E, depreciation, SG&A for two years)Sloan accruals 5.4% modest accruals 1996DuPont ROE 19.7% = margin 16.8% × turns 0.85 × leverage 1.37

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborGreen Brick Partners sails as: Sound ship

Health watch · 12 monthsEarlier statements no longer to be relied onDirector or officer change ×4

Sailing speed follows growth: 5.1% a year crosses the harbor in 65 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • filed earlier statements no longer to be relied on in the last 12 months

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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Data & Disclosure Notice: Edgar and Edgarette are automated software. Every figure on this page is calculated by software from public filings made by companies and funds with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) and is published without individual human review. The accuracy and completeness of those filings are the responsibility of the filers; reports can contain errors and can be amended. Figures are shown as filed and as of each filing's date, and this page may be corrected or updated without notice. Ranges, expected returns, rankings, boats and other measures are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings, price forecasts, company guidance or recommendations; past results do not guarantee future results. This is general information published for all readers, not advice tailored to any person's portfolio, needs or circumstances, and nothing here is financial, investment, actuarial, legal, tax or other professional advice. Actuaries and other professionals who use these figures remain responsible for reviewing them for reasonableness and consistency against the original filings and for disclosing their reliance on them. No company, fund or reinsurer pays to be included or ranked. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the SEC or by any company, fund or reinsurer named. All trademarks remain the property of their owners.