Mediaco Holding $MDIA Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

🫧 Edgar looked up MEDIACO HOLDING INC. ($MDIA). Last filing: 8-K (5.02 Departure or Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers), 2026-10-01. 10 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months. Auditor change (8-K Item 4.01) filed 2025-05-09.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $133.3M (FY2025), total debt $73.3M. Experience: revenue up 39.5% on the year, up 33.7% a year over 4 years; operating margin -18.6%, up from -29.5%. Soundness: equity 15.9% of assets, return on equity -143.0%. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $97.9M and $376.2M next year (method v4.1: its own 4-year record of growth weighed at 50% against $100M–1B filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $69.7M to $536.0M. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (14 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): operating margin -18.6% against a 7.0% median; growth 39.5% against -5.2%.

Next year, 80%$98M–$376M
Growth, on the year39.5%
Operating margin−18.6%
Equity of assets15.9%
Credibility50%
Track record3 of 4
MEDIACO HOLDING INC. against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 7.0%-18.6%Revenue, on the yearPeer median -5.2%39.5%Equity of assetsPeer median 20.6%15.9%Return on equityPeer median 0.0%-143.0%Gold tick: the median of 10–13 peers with $50M+ revenue in radio broadcasting stations

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass⚡ Fast, cash not yet · growing fast, but little cash arriving so far
Inside viewTurns 1.5% of revenue into operating cash; revenue growing 51.2% a year over three years; no common dividend.
Outside viewAmong $100M-1B companies: 29th percentile for cash, 93rd for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$2M · −$1M · −$1M · $1M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$5M · — · — · current ratio 0.46
Revenue swing · equity of assets57.2% · 15.9%

Mediaco Holding is growing faster than its size class, with revenue that swings more. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$133M
Revenue, on the year39.5%
Revenue, a year over the record33.7%
Operating margin−18.6%
Operating margin, prior year−29.5%
Net margin−49.7%
Research and developmentnot filed separately
Total debt$73M
Equity of assets15.9%
Return on equity−143.0%
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share$-0.84
Book value per share$0.58
Revenue per share$1.68
Shares outstanding79,392,000
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 14 filers with $50M+ revenue in radio broadcasting stations.

Health HarborMediaco Holding sails as: Weathered boat

Health watch · 12 monthsExchange listing notice or transferLate quarterly report noticeDirector or officer change ×4

Sailing speed follows growth: 51.2% a year crosses the harbor in 30 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • filed late quarterly report notice in the last 12 months
  • revenue is hard to predict: its 80% range is ±59%

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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