🫧 Edgar looked up Smurfit Westrock plc ($SW). Last filing: 10-Q, 2026-07-31. 7 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.
🔖 Exposure: revenue $31.2B (FY2025), total debt $13.4B. Experience: revenue up 47.7% on the year, up 32.1% a year over 3 years; operating margin 5.5%, up from 4.8%. Soundness: equity 40.6% of assets, return on equity 3.8%, payout 128.8% of profit, the dividend per share fell in the latest year on record. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $30.7B and $56.8B next year (method v4.1: its own 3-year record of growth weighed at 40% against $10B+ filers; on a year the method never saw, 83.4% landed inside). In a shock year the stress range is $23.5B to $72.6B. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (13 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): operating margin 5.5% against a 0.3% median; growth 47.7% against 0.9%.
Gold is paid out to shareholders; navy is kept in the business. Retained profit times return on equity is the pace a company can fund from itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.
| Fiscal year end | 2025-12-31 |
| Revenue | $31.2B |
| Revenue, on the year | 47.7% |
| Revenue, a year over the record | 32.1% |
| Operating margin | 5.5% |
| Operating margin, prior year | 4.8% |
| Net margin | 2.2% |
| Research and development | not filed separately |
| Total debt | $13.4B |
| Equity of assets | 40.6% |
| Return on equity | 3.8% |
| Payout of profit | 128.8% |
| Dividend per share | $1.72 · cut in the latest year |
| Earnings per share | $1.34 |
| Book value per share | $34.84 |
| Revenue per share | $59.28 |
| Shares outstanding | 526,000,000 |
| Audited years read | 4 |
Peers: the median of 13 filers with $50M+ revenue in paperboard containers & boxes.
Events the company itself filed with the SEC, most serious first. Shown beside the figures; they do not change the range or its receipt.
Sailing speed follows growth: 32.1% a year crosses the harbor in 30 seconds.
Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.
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| Cash conversion (operating cash ÷ revenue) | 10.9% |
| Growth speed (3 years, per year) | 32.1% |
| Revenue swing (std-dev of yearly growth) | 34.8% |
| Cash flow (operating · investing · financing · free) | $3.4B · −$2.1B · −$1.3B · $1.2B |
| Investment book (cash · short-term · long-term) | $892M · — · — |
| Common dividend | paid, raised on the year |
| Equity of assets | 40.6% |
Smurfit Westrock is growing faster than its size class, with revenue that swings more. SEC XBRL frames, the company’s own audited figures; quadrant split at the median of its size class.
Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company
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