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National Healthcare: New ship (no warning signs)New ship

National Healthcare $NHC

Grew revenue 16.1% in FY2025 to $1.5 billion, operating margin 8.5% against a 2.0% median for skilled nursing care facilities, equity 70.0% of assets, and dividend per share up 12 years running.

Last filing8-K · Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition, 6 Nov 2026

Next year, 80%$1.5B–$1.9B
Growth, on the year16.1%
Operating margin8.5%
Equity of assets70.0%
Credibility50%
Track record5 of 6
Your call, sealedNext year’s revenue, your range. Sealed now, graded when the annual report lands.
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range

🫧 Edgar looked up NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORP ($NHC). Last filing: 8-K (2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition), 2026-11-06. 15 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months. Auditor change (8-K Item 4.01) filed 2025-04-08.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $1.5B (FY2025), total debt $40.0M. Experience: revenue up 16.1% on the year, up 9.0% a year over 4 years; operating margin 8.5%, up from 6.9%. Soundness: equity 70.0% of assets, return on equity 11.5%, payout 31.6% of profit, dividend per share up 12 years running. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $1.5B and $1.9B next year (method v4.1: its own 4-year record of growth weighed at 50% against $1B–10B filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $1.4B to $2.0B. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (54 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): operating margin 8.5% against a 2.0% median; growth 16.1% against 13.0%.

Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORP against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 2.0%8.5%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 13.0%16.1%Equity of assetsPeer median 44.2%70.0%Return on equityPeer median 1.6%11.5%Payout of profitPeer median 19.3%31.6%Gold tick: the median of 13–59 peers with $50M+ revenue in services-skilled nursing care facilities
Handed back now, or kept to compound · of each dollar of profit
31.6% paid out68.4% keptHanded back per share$2.53up 12 years runningGrowth its own profit can fund7.9%managed 16.1% last year

Gold paid out, navy kept. Kept share × return on equity = the growth it can fund itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🌱 Cash cow later · growing fast, and already turning revenue into cash
Inside viewTurns 12.2% of revenue into operating cash; revenue growing 11.8% a year over three years; pays and raised its dividend.
Outside viewAmong $1B-10B companies: 43rd percentile for cash, 74th for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$185M · −$34M · −$136M · $149M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$93M · $14M · $109M · current ratio 1.82 · unrealized −$1M
Revenue swing · equity of assets6.7% · 70.0%

National Healthcare is growing faster than its size class, with steadier revenue. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$1.5B
Revenue, on the year16.1%
Revenue, a year over the record9.0%
Operating margin8.5%
Operating margin, prior year6.9%
Net margin8.1%
Research and developmentnot filed separately
Total debt$40M
Equity of assets70.0%
Return on equity11.5%
Payout of profit31.6%
Dividend per share$2.53 · up 12 years running
Earnings per share$7.76
Book value per share$68.31
Revenue per share$97.01
Shares outstanding15,646,338
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 54 filers with $50M+ revenue in services-skilled nursing care facilities.

Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ 5.72 safe zone 1968Piotroski F 8 of 9 strong 2000Beneish M not enough filed detail (needs receivables, cost of revenue, PP&E, depreciation, SG&A for two years)Sloan accruals -4.1% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE 12% = margin 8.1% × turns 0.99 × leverage 1.49

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborNational Healthcare sails as: New ship

Health watch · 12 monthsDirector or officer change ×2

Sailing speed follows growth: 11.8% a year crosses the harbor in 45 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →

No warning signs on the measures below.

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings
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Each benchmark is the median of SEC filers in your industry code, from their own audited filings, read on the filing boards. Reporting, not investment advice.

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · Open in Excel (CSV) · Ten-year table (CSV) ·

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Data & Disclosure Notice: Edgar and Edgarette are automated software. Every figure on this page is calculated by software from public filings made by companies and funds with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) and is published without individual human review. The accuracy and completeness of those filings are the responsibility of the filers; reports can contain errors and can be amended. Figures are shown as filed and as of each filing's date, and this page may be corrected or updated without notice. Ranges, expected returns, rankings, boats and other measures are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings, price forecasts, company guidance or recommendations; past results do not guarantee future results. This is general information published for all readers, not advice tailored to any person's portfolio, needs or circumstances, and nothing here is financial, investment, actuarial, legal, tax or other professional advice. Actuaries and other professionals who use these figures remain responsible for reviewing them for reasonableness and consistency against the original filings and for disclosing their reliance on them. No company, fund or reinsurer pays to be included or ranked. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the SEC or by any company, fund or reinsurer named. All trademarks remain the property of their owners.