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RGC Resources: Sound ship (one warning sign)Sound ship

RGC Resources $RGCO

Grew revenue 12.6% in FY2025 to $95 million, operating margin 19.4% against a 27.5% median for natural gas transmisison & distribution, equity 34.4% of assets, and dividend per share up 10 years running.

Last filing8-K · Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement, 2 Nov 2026

Health watchNo warning filings in 12 months
Next year, 80%$72M–$139M
Growth, on the year12.6%
Operating margin19.4%
Equity of assets34.4%
Credibility63%
Track record5 of 5
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range

🫧 Edgar looked up RGC Resources, Inc. ($RGCO). Last filing: 8-K (1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement), 2026-11-02. 15 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $95.3M (FY2025), total debt $148.6M. Experience: revenue up 12.6% on the year, up 6.1% a year over 4 years; operating margin 19.4%, down from 20.2%. Soundness: equity 34.4% of assets, return on equity 11.7%, payout 63.8% of profit, dividend per share up 10 years running. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $72.0M and $139.3M next year (method v4.1: its own 6-year record of growth weighed at 63% against $50M–100M filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $73.8M to $136.1M. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (29 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): operating margin 19.4% against a 27.5% median; growth 12.6% against 13.0%.

Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

RGC Resources, Inc. against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 27.5%19.4%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 13.0%12.6%Equity of assetsPeer median 32.4%34.4%Return on equityPeer median 9.6%11.7%Payout of profitPeer median 67.1%63.8%Gold tick: the median of 18–20 peers with $50M+ revenue in natural gas transmisison & distribution
Handed back now, or kept to compound · of each dollar of profit
63.8% paid out36.2% keptHanded back per share$0.83up 10 years runningGrowth its own profit can fund4.2%managed 12.6% last year

Gold paid out, navy kept. Kept share × return on equity = the growth it can fund itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🐄 Cash cow now · steady, with strong cash arriving today
Inside viewTurns 30.4% of revenue into operating cash; revenue growing 4.2% a year over three years; pays and raised its dividend.
Outside viewAmong $50M-100M companies: 85th percentile for cash, 46th for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$29M · −$21M · −$7M · $8M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$2M · — · $21M · current ratio 1.03
Revenue swing · equity of assets13.1% · 34.1%

RGC Resources is growing slower than its size class, with steadier revenue. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-09-30
Revenue$95M
Revenue, on the year12.6%
Revenue, a year over the record6.1%
Operating margin19.4%
Operating margin, prior year20.2%
Net margin13.9%
Research and developmentnot filed separately
Total debt$149M
Equity of assets34.4%
Return on equity11.7%
Payout of profit63.8%
Dividend per share$0.83 · up 10 years running
Earnings per share$1.29
Book value per share$11.02
Revenue per share$9.25
Shares outstanding10,308,686
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 29 filers with $50M+ revenue in natural gas transmisison & distribution.

Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ not covered: a regulated utility runs negative working capital by design, which the model reads as distressPiotroski F 6 of 9 solid 2000Beneish M not enough filed detail (needs receivables, cost of revenue, PP&E, depreciation, SG&A for two years)Sloan accruals -4.8% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE 12% = margin 13.9% × turns 0.29 × leverage 2.93

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborRGC Resources sails as: Sound ship

Health watch · 12 monthsquiet · none of the watched events filed

Sailing speed follows growth: 4.2% a year crosses the harbor in 67 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • revenue is hard to predict: its 80% range is ±32%

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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