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John Wiley & Sons: New ship (no warning signs)New ship

John Wiley & Sons $WLY

Saw revenue fall 0.1% in FY2026 to $1.7 billion, operating margin 16.5% against a 10.5% median for books: publishing or publishing & printing, equity 32.7% of assets.

Last filing8-K · Item 5.07 Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders, 29 Sept 2026

Next year, 80%$1.4B–$1.8B
Growth, on the year−0.1%
Operating margin16.5%
Equity of assets32.7%
Credibility57%
Track record14 of 14
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range

🫧 Edgar looked up JOHN WILEY & SONS, INC. ($WLY). Last filing: 8-K (5.07 Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders), 2026-09-29. 11 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $1.7B (FY2026), total debt $683.4M. Experience: revenue down 0.1% on the year, down 5.3% a year over 4 years; operating margin 16.5%, up from 13.2%. Soundness: equity 32.7% of assets, return on equity 26.1%, payout 33.6% of profit. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $1.4B and $1.8B next year (method v4.1: its own 5-year record of growth weighed at 57% against $1B–10B filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $1.3B to $1.9B. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (10 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): operating margin 16.5% against a 10.5% median; growth -0.1% against 0.3%.

Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

JOHN WILEY & SONS, INC. against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 10.5%16.5%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 0.3%-0.1%Equity of assetsPeer median 29.3%32.7%Return on equityPeer median 13.4%26.1%Payout of profit33.6%Gold tick: the median of 9–11 peers with $50M+ revenue in books: publishing or publishing & printing
Handed back now, or kept to compound · of each dollar of profit
33.6% paid out66.4% keptGrowth its own profit can fund17.4%managed -0.1% last year

Gold paid out, navy kept. Kept share × return on equity = the growth it can fund itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🐄 Cash cow now · steady, with strong cash arriving today
Inside viewTurns 15.5% of revenue into operating cash; revenue shrinking 6.0% a year over three years; pays a dividend.
Outside viewAmong $1B-10B companies: 54th percentile for cash, 11th for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$261M · $28M · −$298M · $209M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$76M · — · — · current ratio 0.54
Revenue swing · equity of assets4.8% · 29.3%

John Wiley & Sons is growing slower than its size class, with steadier revenue. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2026-04-30
Revenue$1.7B
Revenue, on the year−0.1%
Revenue, a year over the record−5.3%
Operating margin16.5%
Operating margin, prior year13.2%
Net margin13.2%
Research and developmentnot filed separately
Total debt$683M
Equity of assets32.7%
Return on equity26.1%
Payout of profit33.6%
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share$4.22
Book value per share$15.93
Revenue per share$31.49
Shares outstanding53,247,000
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 10 filers with $50M+ revenue in books: publishing or publishing & printing.

Classic signals · fiscal 2026Altman Z″ 2.51 grey zone 1968Piotroski F 8 of 9 strong 2000Beneish M -2.46 below the −1.78 line 1999Sloan accruals -1.5% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE 27.7% = margin 13.2% × turns 0.63 × leverage 3.3

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborJohn Wiley & Sons sails as: New ship

Health watch · 12 monthsDirector or officer change ×3

Sailing speed follows growth: -6.0% a year crosses the harbor in 98 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →

No warning signs on the measures below.

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Brand success factors · calendar 2025

The Trillion Score: 539

Exponential Success Score

Built on over $200 trillion of sworn revenue, 13 years of data, 770,002 figures. Sealed by Edgarette.

How The Trillion Score works. We read eight measures of success from John Wiley & Sons's own SEC filings and test each one against the public companies in its field, here newspapers. The longer and fuller the record, the more weight those results carry. A model built on past filings then turns them into the odds of thriving, which means outgrowing the field for three years without a severe decline. A score of 500 is about average, and every 100 points doubles the odds. Every company is ranked on this same scale.

What it says here. At 539, John Wiley & Sons's odds of thriving come to 43%, against about 37% for the typical filer. It meets 4 of 8 success points.

539The Trillion Score
43%modeled odds of thriving over three years
MediumFall Risk
#5 of 14rank in its field
#781 of 2,824rank across all filers

What the score means

The higher the score, the more often companies went on to thrive. At this level, about 38 of every 100 did.

31%Under 45035%450 to 49938%500 to 549This company: 53944%550 to 59957%600 and up

Share of companies that beat their field for three years with no severe decline, tested on 2019 to 2022 filings.

Fall Risk: Medium

Separate from the score, this asks what could go wrong: the odds of sales falling 30% or the filings stopping within three years. In the tests, about 22 of every 100 companies in the Medium band did. That is the group's history, not a forecast for this company.

MoneyIt keeps about 13 cents of free cash from each sales dollar after paying for its plants and equipment. Debt after cash comes to about 42 cents for each dollar of yearly sales.low
SwingsIn its worst fifth of years, sales fell about 11% a year.-11.0% a year
Filed eventsIn the last two years it told the SEC about 9 filings on leadership or auditor changes.9

The eight success points

PointWhat it meansPlace in field
SpeedSales grew slower than much of its field.36 of 100Not yet
SteadinessGrowth swung a lot for what it delivered.31 of 100Not yet
Price premiumIt keeps more of each sales dollar than most of its field.92 of 100Met
Margin stays above the fieldIts margin has held above the field year after year.80 of 100Met
Moat half-lifeIts margin edge is fading slowly, if at all.89 of 100Met
Brand spend yieldBrand spending returns less gross profit than for the leaders in its field.36 of 100Not yet
Learning curveCosts fell as a share of sales as it grew.100 of 100Met
Climb in the fieldIt has not been moving up the size ranks in its field.21 of 100Not yet

The actuarial view

CredibilityWith 8 years of filings, the record earns 70% of the weight. The rest stays at the middle of the field.0.70
Severe decline, class BAbout 26 of every 100 companies with this many points fell 30% or stopped reporting within three years.26.1%
Actual vs expectedSales are 11% lower than if it had simply kept pace with its field.0.89

Top of its field: #1 CIMPRESS · #2 New York Times · #3 Scholastic · #4 Daily Journal · #5 John Wiley & Sons

Ranked by The Trillion Score. See the method and score your own brand. Tested on 2019 to 2022 filings. Odds, class and Fall Risk figures are the experience of similar filers, not a forecast for this company. A statistical description of past filings, not a rating or advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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Data & Disclosure Notice: Edgar and Edgarette are automated software. Every figure on this page is calculated by software from public filings made by companies and funds with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) and is published without individual human review. The accuracy and completeness of those filings are the responsibility of the filers; reports can contain errors and can be amended. Figures are shown as filed and as of each filing's date, and this page may be corrected or updated without notice. Ranges, expected returns, rankings, boats and other measures are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings, price forecasts, company guidance or recommendations; past results do not guarantee future results. This is general information published for all readers, not advice tailored to any person's portfolio, needs or circumstances, and nothing here is financial, investment, actuarial, legal, tax or other professional advice. Actuaries and other professionals who use these figures remain responsible for reviewing them for reasonableness and consistency against the original filings and for disclosing their reliance on them. No company, fund or reinsurer pays to be included or ranked. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the SEC or by any company, fund or reinsurer named. All trademarks remain the property of their owners.