Graphic Packaging Holding $GPK Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred
🫧 Edgar looked up Graphic Packaging Holding Co ($GPK). Last filing: 8-K (5.02 Departure or Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers), 2026-09-28. 20 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.
🔖 Exposure: revenue $8.6B (FY2025), total debt $5.5B. Experience: revenue down 2.2% on the year, up 4.8% a year over 4 years; operating margin 9.3%, down from 12.7%. Soundness: equity 28.3% of assets, return on equity 13.3%, payout 28.8% of profit. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $6.8B and $9.9B next year (method v4.1: its own 4-year record of growth weighed at 50% against $1B–10B filers; on a year the method never saw, 83.4% landed inside). In a shock year the stress range is $5.9B to $11.4B. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (13 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): operating margin 9.3% against a 0.3% median; growth -2.2% against 0.9%.
Gold paid out, navy kept. Kept share × return on equity = the growth it can fund itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.
Speed and cash · fiscal 2025
Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.
| Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free) | $841M · −$732M · −$18M · — |
| Investment book (cash · short · long) | $261M · — · — · current ratio 1.30 |
| Revenue swing · equity of assets | 15.6% · 28.3% |
Graphic Packaging Holding is growing slower than its size class, with revenue that swings more. Its own audited SEC figures.
The figures, as filed
| Fiscal year end | 2025-12-31 |
| Revenue | $8.6B |
| Revenue, on the year | −2.2% |
| Revenue, a year over the record | 4.8% |
| Operating margin | 9.3% |
| Operating margin, prior year | 12.7% |
| Net margin | 5.2% |
| Research and development | $19M · 0.2% of revenue |
| Total debt | $5.5B |
| Equity of assets | 28.3% |
| Return on equity | 13.3% |
| Payout of profit | 28.8% |
| Dividend per share | — |
| Earnings per share | $1.48 |
| Book value per share | $11.13 |
| Revenue per share | $28.74 |
| Shares outstanding | 299,800,000 |
| Audited years read | 5 |
Peers: the median of 13 filers with $50M+ revenue in paperboard containers & boxes.
Health HarborGraphic Packaging Holding sails as: Sound ship
Health watch · 12 monthsDirector or officer change ×6
Sailing speed follows growth: -3.0% a year crosses the harbor in 89 seconds.
🌊 Visit the Bay →- slow and jumpy: growing slower than its size class, with revenue that swings more
Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.
- 8-K · 2026-09-28 · 5.02 Departure or Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
- 8-K · 2026-09-28 · 8.01 Other Events; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
- 8-K · 2026-09-03 · 2.03 Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation
- 8-K · 2026-08-17 · 8.01 Other Events
- 10-Q · 2026-08-04
- 8-K · 2026-08-04 · 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company