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Energy Recovery: Sound ship (one warning sign)Sound ship

Energy Recovery $ERII

Saw revenue fall 6.9% in FY2025 to $135 million, operating margin 17.7% against a 14.2% median for special industry machinery, equity 89.1% of assets.

Last filing10-Q, 5 Aug 2026

Next year, 80%$108M–$155M
Growth, on the year−6.9%
Operating margin17.7%
Equity of assets89.1%
Credibility50%
Track record10 of 13
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range

🫧 Edgar looked up Energy Recovery, Inc. ($ERII). Last filing: 10-Q, 2026-08-05. 7 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $135.0M (FY2025). Experience: revenue down 6.9% on the year, up 6.8% a year over 4 years; operating margin 17.7%, up from 13.6%. Soundness: equity 89.1% of assets, return on equity 11.1%. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $108.4M and $154.6M next year (method v4.1: its own 4-year record of growth weighed at 50% against $100M–1B filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $99.1M to $169.8M. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (11 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): operating margin 17.7% against a 14.2% median; growth -6.9% against 2.3%.

Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

Energy Recovery, Inc. against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 14.2%17.7%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 2.3%-6.9%Equity of assetsPeer median 57.5%89.1%Return on equityPeer median 10.4%11.1%Gold tick: the median of 9–9 peers with $50M+ revenue in special industry machinery, nec

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🌊 In between · no clear cash pattern yet
Inside viewTurns 13.9% of revenue into operating cash; revenue growing 2.4% a year over three years; no common dividend.
Outside viewAmong $100M-1B companies: 62nd percentile for cash, 40th for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$19M · $34M · −$35M · $17M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$48M · $27M · $8M · current ratio 10.44
Revenue swing · equity of assets11.4% · 89.1%

Energy Recovery is growing slower than its size class, with steadier revenue. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$135M
Revenue, on the year−6.9%
Revenue, a year over the record6.8%
Operating margin17.7%
Operating margin, prior year13.6%
Net margin17.0%
Research and development$13M · 9.7% of revenue
Total debt—
Equity of assets89.1%
Return on equity11.1%
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share$0.43
Book value per share$3.81
Revenue per share$2.49
Shares outstanding54,158,000
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 11 filers with $50M+ revenue in special industry machinery, nec.

Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ 15.7 safe zone 1968Piotroski F 6 of 9 solid 2000Beneish M -2.21 below the −1.78 line 1999Sloan accruals 1.8% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE 11% = margin 17% × turns 0.57 × leverage 1.14

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborEnergy Recovery sails as: Sound ship

Health watch · 12 monthsRestructuring or exit costsMaterial impairmentDirector or officer change ×3

Sailing speed follows growth: 2.4% a year crosses the harbor in 73 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • filed restructuring or exit costs, material impairment in the last 12 months

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Brand success factors · calendar 2025

The Trillion Score: 565

Exponential Success Score

Built on over $200 trillion of sworn revenue, 13 years of data, 770,002 figures. Sealed by Edgarette.

How The Trillion Score works. We read eight measures of success from Energy Recovery's own SEC filings and test each one against the public companies in its field, here special industry machinery. The longer and fuller the record, the more weight those results carry. A model built on past filings then turns them into the odds of thriving, which means outgrowing the field for three years without a severe decline. A score of 500 is about average, and every 100 points doubles the odds. Every company is ranked on this same scale.

What it says here. At 565, Energy Recovery's odds of thriving come to 47%, against about 37% for the typical filer. It meets 6 of 8 success points.

565The Trillion Score
47%modeled odds of thriving over three years
MediumFall Risk
#3 of 17rank in its field
#467 of 2,824rank across all filers

What the score means

The higher the score, the more often companies went on to thrive. At this level, about 44 of every 100 did.

31%Under 45035%450 to 49938%500 to 54944%550 to 599This company: 56557%600 and up

Share of companies that beat their field for three years with no severe decline, tested on 2019 to 2022 filings.

Fall Risk: Medium

Separate from the score, this asks what could go wrong: the odds of sales falling 30% or the filings stopping within three years. In the tests, about 22 of every 100 companies in the Medium band did. That is the group's history, not a forecast for this company.

MoneyIt keeps about 13 cents of free cash from each sales dollar after paying for its plants and equipment.low
SwingsIn its worst fifth of years, sales fell about 14% a year.-13.6% a year
Filed eventsIn the last two years it told the SEC about 8 filings on leadership or auditor changes.8

The eight success points

PointWhat it meansPlace in field
SpeedSales grew faster than most of its field.63 of 100Met
SteadinessGrowth swung a lot for what it delivered.44 of 100Not yet
Price premiumIt keeps more of each sales dollar than most of its field.100 of 100Met
Margin stays above the fieldIts margin has held above the field year after year.93 of 100Met
Moat half-lifeIts margin edge is fading slowly, if at all.87 of 100Met
Brand spend yieldBrand spending returns more gross profit than for most of its field.69 of 100Met
Learning curveCosts have not fallen much as a share of sales as it grew.7 of 100Not yet
Climb in the fieldIt has been moving up the size ranks in its field.69 of 100Met

Price premium $33M is the extra gross profit over a field-median margin. Momentum $1M is gross profit times growth above the field's pace.

The actuarial view

CredibilityWith 8 years of filings, the record earns 70% of the weight. The rest stays at the middle of the field.0.70
Severe decline, class AAbout 22 of every 100 companies with this many points fell 30% or stopped reporting within three years.21.8%
Actual vs expectedSales are 5% higher than if it had simply kept pace with its field.1.05

Top of its field: #1 ACM Research · #2 Lam Research · #3 Energy Recovery · #4 Kornit Digital · #5 Azenta

Ranked by The Trillion Score. See the method and score your own brand. Tested on 2019 to 2022 filings. Odds, class and Fall Risk figures are the experience of similar filers, not a forecast for this company. A statistical description of past filings, not a rating or advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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Data & Disclosure Notice: Edgar and Edgarette are automated software. Every figure on this page is calculated by software from public filings made by companies and funds with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) and is published without individual human review. The accuracy and completeness of those filings are the responsibility of the filers; reports can contain errors and can be amended. Figures are shown as filed and as of each filing's date, and this page may be corrected or updated without notice. Ranges, expected returns, rankings, boats and other measures are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings, price forecasts, company guidance or recommendations; past results do not guarantee future results. This is general information published for all readers, not advice tailored to any person's portfolio, needs or circumstances, and nothing here is financial, investment, actuarial, legal, tax or other professional advice. Actuaries and other professionals who use these figures remain responsible for reviewing them for reasonableness and consistency against the original filings and for disclosing their reliance on them. No company, fund or reinsurer pays to be included or ranked. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the SEC or by any company, fund or reinsurer named. All trademarks remain the property of their owners.