🫧 Edgar looked up Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. ($ARI). Last filing: 8-K (8.01 Other Events), 2026-09-16. 11 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.
🔖 Exposure: revenue $271.6M (FY2025). Experience: revenue down 10.6% on the year, down 1.2% a year over 4 years. Soundness: equity 18.7% of assets, return on equity 6.8%, payout 111.5% of profit, the dividend per share fell in the latest year on record. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $199.0M and $319.8M next year (method v3, set from 4,309 SEC company-years; on a year the method never saw, 83% landed inside). A range, not a forecast. Against peers (79 filers, $50M+ revenue, real estate investment trusts): growth -10.6% against 3.7%.
Gold is paid out to shareholders; navy is kept in the business. Retained profit times return on equity is the pace a company can fund from itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.
| Fiscal year end | 2025-12-31 |
| Revenue | $272M |
| Revenue, on the year | −10.6% |
| Revenue, a year over the record | −1.2% |
| Operating margin | — |
| Operating margin, prior year | — |
| Net margin | 46.7% |
| Research and development | not filed separately |
| Free cash flow | — |
| Cash | $140M |
| Total debt | — |
| Equity of assets | 18.7% |
| Return on equity | 6.8% |
| Payout of profit | 111.5% |
| Dividend per share | $1 · cut in the latest year |
| Audited years read | 5 |
Peers: the median of 79 filers with $50M+ revenue in real estate investment trusts.
Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets, no buy or sell views. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company
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