Weathered boatVital Farms $VITL
Grew revenue 25.3% in FY2025 to $759 million, operating margin 11.6% against a 7.3% median for food and kindred products, equity 67.7% of assets.
Last filing8-K, 17 Aug 2026
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range
🫧 Edgar looked up Vital Farms, Inc. ($VITL). Last filing: 8-K (9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits), 2026-08-17. 7 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.
🔖 Exposure: revenue $759.4M (FY2025). Experience: revenue up 25.3% on the year, up 30.6% a year over 4 years; operating margin 11.6%, up from 10.5%. Soundness: equity 67.7% of assets, return on equity 18.9%. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $828.4M and $1.1B next year (method v4.1: its own 4-year record of growth weighed at 50% against $100M–1B filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $776.1M to $1.1B. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (10 filers, $50M+ revenue, food and kindred products): operating margin 11.6% against a 7.3% median; growth 25.3% against 4.4%.
Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred
Speed and cash · fiscal 2025
Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.
| Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free) | $34M · −$134M · −$1M · −$48M |
| Investment book (cash · short · long) | $49M · $65M · $0M · current ratio 2.16 · unrealized $0M |
| Revenue swing · equity of assets | 4.4% · 67.7% |
Vital Farms is growing faster than its size class, with steadier revenue. Its own audited SEC figures.
The figures, as filed
| Fiscal year end | 2025-12-28 |
| Revenue | $759M |
| Revenue, on the year | 25.3% |
| Revenue, a year over the record | 30.6% |
| Operating margin | 11.6% |
| Operating margin, prior year | 10.5% |
| Net margin | 8.7% |
| Research and development | not filed separately |
| Total debt | — |
| Equity of assets | 67.7% |
| Return on equity | 18.9% |
| Payout of profit | — |
| Dividend per share | — |
| Earnings per share | $1.49 |
| Book value per share | $7.63 |
| Revenue per share | $16.50 |
| Shares outstanding | 46,019,607 |
| Audited years read | 5 |
Peers: the median of 10 filers with $50M+ revenue in food and kindred products.
Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ 6.07 safe zone 1968Piotroski F 3 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M -1.37 above the −1.78 line 1999Sloan accruals 7.4% modest accruals 1996DuPont ROE 21.4% = margin 8.7% × turns 1.73 × leverage 1.41
What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →
Health HarborVital Farms sails as: Weathered boat
Health watch · 12 monthsRestructuring or exit costsDirector or officer change
Sailing speed follows growth: 28.0% a year crosses the harbor in 30 seconds.
🌊 Visit the Bay →- filed restructuring or exit costs in the last 12 months
- free cash flow was negative: capital spending outran operating cash (-$48.2M in FY2025)
Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.
Brand success factors · calendar 2025
The Trillion Score: 639
Exponential Success Score
Built on over $200 trillion of sworn revenue, 13 years of data, 770,002 figures. Sealed by Edgarette.
How The Trillion Score works. We read eight measures of success from Vital Farms's own SEC filings and test each one against the public companies in its field, here food and kindred products. The longer and fuller the record, the more weight those results carry. A model built on past filings then turns them into the odds of thriving, which means outgrowing the field for three years without a severe decline. A score of 500 is about average, and every 100 points doubles the odds. Every company is ranked on this same scale.
What it says here. At 639, Vital Farms's odds of thriving come to 60%, against about 37% for the typical filer. It meets 8 of 8 success points.
What the score means
The higher the score, the more often companies went on to thrive. At this level, about 57 of every 100 did.
Share of companies that beat their field for three years with no severe decline, tested on 2019 to 2022 filings.
Fall Risk: Medium
Separate from the score, this asks what could go wrong: the odds of sales falling 30% or the filings stopping within three years. In the tests, about 22 of every 100 companies in the Medium band did. That is the group's history, not a forecast for this company.
| Money | It burned about 6 cents of free cash on each sales dollar after paying for its plants and equipment. Its cash would cover that burn for about 1 years. It holds more cash than debt. | high |
| Swings | Even in its worst years on record, sales still grew. | 19.7% a year |
| Filed events | In the last two years it told the SEC about 4 filings on leadership or auditor changes. | 4 |
The eight success points
| Point | What it means | Place in field | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Speed | Sales grew faster than most of its field. | 92 of 100 | Met |
| Steadiness | Growth was strong for how much it swung, so it looks dependable. | 91 of 100 | Met |
| Price premium | It keeps more of each sales dollar than most of its field. | 79 of 100 | Met |
| Margin stays above the field | Its margin has held above the field year after year. | 70 of 100 | Met |
| Moat half-life | Its margin edge is fading slowly, if at all. | 100 of 100 | Met |
| Brand spend yield | Brand spending returns more gross profit than for most of its field. | 77 of 100 | Met |
| Learning curve | Costs fell as a share of sales as it grew. | 100 of 100 | Met |
| Climb in the field | It has been moving up the size ranks in its field. | 82 of 100 | Met |
Price premium $55M is the extra gross profit over a field-median margin. Momentum $51M is gross profit times growth above the field's pace.
The actuarial view
| Credibility | With 8 years of filings, the record earns 70% of the weight. The rest stays at the middle of the field. | 0.70 |
| Severe decline, class A | About 22 of every 100 companies with this many points fell 30% or stopped reporting within three years. | 21.8% |
| Actual vs expected | Sales are 71% higher than if it had simply kept pace with its field. | 1.71 |
Top of its field: #1 Vital Farms · #2 BellRing Brands · #3 Simply Good Foods · #4 Chanson International · #5 Laird Superfood
Ranked by The Trillion Score. See the method and score your own brand. Tested on 2019 to 2022 filings. Odds, class and Fall Risk figures are the experience of similar filers, not a forecast for this company. A statistical description of past filings, not a rating or advice.
- 8-K · 2026-08-17 · 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
- 10-Q · 2026-08-06
- 8-K · 2026-08-06 · 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; 1.02 Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement; 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; 2.03 Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation; 8.01 Other Events; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
- 8-K · 2026-06-16 · 5.07 Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
- 10-Q · 2026-05-07
- 8-K · 2026-05-07 · 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; 2.05 Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company