Plains Gp Holdings $PAGP Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

🫧 Edgar looked up PLAINS GP HOLDINGS LP ($PAGP). Last filing: 8-K (5.02 Departure or Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers), 2026-09-29. 15 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $44.3B (FY2025), total debt $10.7B. Experience: revenue down 9.5% on the year, up 1.3% a year over 4 years; operating margin 3.2%, up from 1.8%. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $31.1B and $48.3B next year (method v4.1: its own 4-year record of growth weighed at 50% against $10B+ filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $25.7B to $57.6B. A statistical range, not company guidance.

Next year, 80%$31.1B–$48.3B
Growth, on the year−9.5%
Operating margin3.2%
Equity of assets—
Credibility50%
Track record6 of 11
PLAINS GP HOLDINGS LP against its own record and its peers
Operating margin3.2%Revenue, on the year-9.5%No peer group large enough for a median

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🍂 Fading · slow and jumpy, lagging its peers
Inside viewTurns 6.6% of revenue into operating cash; revenue shrinking 8.3% a year over three years; no common dividend.
Outside viewAmong $10B+ companies: 26th percentile for cash, 7th for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$2.9B · −$3.4B · $474M · $2.3B
Investment book (cash · short · long)$329M · — · — · current ratio 0.96
Revenue swing · equity of assets21.8% · —

Plains Gp Holdings is growing slower than its size class, with revenue that swings more. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$44.3B
Revenue, on the year−9.5%
Revenue, a year over the record1.3%
Operating margin3.2%
Operating margin, prior year1.8%
Net margin3.8%
Research and developmentnot filed separately
Total debt$10.7B
Equity of assets—
Return on equity—
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share—
Book value per share—
Revenue per share—
Shares outstanding—
Audited years read5

Health HarborPlains Gp Holdings sails as: Sound ship

Health watch · 12 monthsDirector or officer change ×3

Sailing speed follows growth: -8.3% a year crosses the harbor in 105 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • slow and jumpy: growing slower than its size class, with revenue that swings more

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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