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Purple Innovation: Old boat (three warning signs)Old boat

Purple Innovation $PRPL

Saw revenue fall 3.9% in FY2025 to $469 million, operating margin -9.2% against a 4.3% median for household furniture, equity -10.0% of assets.

Last filing8-K · Item 3.01 Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Listing Rule, 5 Oct 2026

Next year, 80%$372M–$510M
Growth, on the year−3.9%
Operating margin−9.2%
Equity of assets−10.0%
Credibility50%
Track record3 of 5
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range

🫧 Edgar looked up PURPLE INNOVATION, INC. ($PRPL). Last filing: 8-K (3.01 Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Listing Rule), 2026-10-05. 12 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $468.7M (FY2025), total debt $126.7M. Experience: revenue down 3.9% on the year, down 10.3% a year over 4 years; operating margin -9.2%, up from -18.9%. Soundness: equity -10.0% of assets (liabilities exceed assets). Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $371.8M and $510.3M next year (method v4.1: its own 4-year record of growth weighed at 50% against $100M–1B filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $343.1M to $554.7M. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (9 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): operating margin -9.2% against a 4.3% median; growth -3.9% against 1.1%.

Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

PURPLE INNOVATION, INC. against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 4.3%-9.2%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 1.1%-3.9%Equity of assetsPeer median 43.4%-10.0%Gold tick: the median of 9–9 peers with $50M+ revenue in household furniture

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🌊 In between · no clear cash pattern yet
Inside viewTurns -7.2% of revenue into operating cash; revenue shrinking 6.5% a year over three years; no common dividend; liabilities exceed assets.
Outside viewAmong $100M-1B companies: 15th percentile for cash, 18th for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)−$34M · −$8M · $37M · −$42M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$24M · — · — · current ratio 1.35
Revenue swing · equity of assets9.1% · -10.0%

Purple Innovation is growing slower than its size class, with steadier revenue. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$469M
Revenue, on the year−3.9%
Revenue, a year over the record−10.3%
Operating margin−9.2%
Operating margin, prior year−18.9%
Net margin−11.0%
Research and development$10M · 2.0% of revenue
Total debt$127M
Equity of assets−10.0%
Return on equity—
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share$0.48
Book value per share$-0.27
Revenue per share$4.33
Shares outstanding108,245,000
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 9 filers with $50M+ revenue in household furniture.

Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ -7.17 distress zone 1968Piotroski F 4 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M -2.66 below the −1.78 line 1999Sloan accruals -5.9% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE needs net income, revenue and two years of assets and equity

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborPurple Innovation sails as: Old boat

Health watch · 12 monthsExchange listing notice or transfer ×4Director or officer change ×3

Sailing speed follows growth: -6.5% a year crosses the harbor in 99 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • liabilities exceed assets (often from years of share buybacks, not always distress)
  • operating cash flow was negative
  • operating loss: a margin of -9.2% in FY2025

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Brand success factors · calendar 2025

The Trillion Score: 529

Exponential Success Score

Built on over $200 trillion of sworn revenue, 13 years of data, 770,002 figures. Sealed by Edgarette.

How The Trillion Score works. We read eight measures of success from Purple Innovation's own SEC filings and test each one against the public companies in its field, here household furniture. The longer and fuller the record, the more weight those results carry. A model built on past filings then turns them into the odds of thriving, which means outgrowing the field for three years without a severe decline. A score of 500 is about average, and every 100 points doubles the odds. Every company is ranked on this same scale.

What it says here. At 529, Purple Innovation's odds of thriving come to 41%, against about 37% for the typical filer. It meets 3 of 8 success points.

529The Trillion Score
41%modeled odds of thriving over three years
HighFall Risk
#4 of 13rank in its field
#929 of 2,824rank across all filers

What the score means

The higher the score, the more often companies went on to thrive. At this level, about 38 of every 100 did.

31%Under 45035%450 to 49938%500 to 549This company: 52944%550 to 59957%600 and up

Share of companies that beat their field for three years with no severe decline, tested on 2019 to 2022 filings.

Fall Risk: High

Separate from the score, this asks what could go wrong: the odds of sales falling 30% or the filings stopping within three years. In the tests, about 41 of every 100 companies in the High band did. That is the group's history, not a forecast for this company.

MoneyIt burned about 9 cents of free cash on each sales dollar after paying for its plants and equipment. Its cash would cover that burn for about 0.6 years. Debt after cash comes to about 22 cents for each dollar of yearly sales.cash negative over five years
SwingsIn its worst fifth of years, sales fell about 24% a year.-23.5% a year
Filed eventsIn the last two years it told the SEC about 3 filings on restatements, delisting notices, bankruptcy or debt defaults, and 1 filings on layoffs, write-downs or cyber incidents, and 5 filings on leadership or auditor changes.9

The eight success points

PointWhat it meansPlace in field
SpeedSales grew slower than much of its field.50 of 100Not yet
SteadinessGrowth was strong for how much it swung, so it looks dependable.67 of 100Met
Price premiumIt keeps less of each sales dollar than the leaders in its field.50 of 100Not yet
Margin stays above the fieldIts margin has not held above the field for long.50 of 100Not yet
Moat half-lifeIts margin edge is fading fast, or it has none yet.45 of 100Not yet
Brand spend yieldBrand spending returns more gross profit than for most of its field.91 of 100Met
Learning curveCosts have not fallen much as a share of sales as it grew.17 of 100Not yet
Climb in the fieldIt has been moving up the size ranks in its field.92 of 100Met

Price premium $0M is the extra gross profit over a field-median margin. Momentum $0M is gross profit times growth above the field's pace.

The actuarial view

CredibilityWith 8 years of filings, the record earns 70% of the weight. The rest stays at the middle of the field.0.70
Severe decline, class CAbout 30 of every 100 companies with this many points fell 30% or stopped reporting within three years.30.1%
Actual vs expectedSales are 0% higher than if it had simply kept pace with its field.1.00

Top of its field: #1 Somnigroup International · #2 Compass Diversified · #3 Ethan Allen Interiors · #4 Purple Innovation · #5 La-Z-Boy

Ranked by The Trillion Score. See the method and score your own brand. Tested on 2019 to 2022 filings. Odds, class and Fall Risk figures are the experience of similar filers, not a forecast for this company. A statistical description of past filings, not a rating or advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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Data & Disclosure Notice: Edgar and Edgarette are automated software. Every figure on this page is calculated by software from public filings made by companies and funds with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) and is published without individual human review. The accuracy and completeness of those filings are the responsibility of the filers; reports can contain errors and can be amended. Figures are shown as filed and as of each filing's date, and this page may be corrected or updated without notice. Ranges, expected returns, rankings, boats and other measures are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings, price forecasts, company guidance or recommendations; past results do not guarantee future results. This is general information published for all readers, not advice tailored to any person's portfolio, needs or circumstances, and nothing here is financial, investment, actuarial, legal, tax or other professional advice. Actuaries and other professionals who use these figures remain responsible for reviewing them for reasonableness and consistency against the original filings and for disclosing their reliance on them. No company, fund or reinsurer pays to be included or ranked. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the SEC or by any company, fund or reinsurer named. All trademarks remain the property of their owners.