Ast Spacemobile $ASTS Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

🫧 Edgar looked up AST SPACEMOBILE, INC. ($ASTS). Last filing: 10-Q, 2026-08-10. 21 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $70.9M (FY2025), total debt $2.2B. Experience: revenue up 413.0% on the year, up 54.6% a year over 4 years. Soundness: equity 47.7% of assets, return on equity -19.3%. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $156.5M and $352.2M next year (method v4.1: its own 0-year record of growth weighed at 0% against $50M–100M filers; on a year the method never saw, 83.4% landed inside). In a shock year the stress range is $161.4M to $342.3M. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (11 filers, $50M+ revenue, communications services, nec): growth 413.0% against -0.1%.

Next year, 80%$157M–$352M
Growth, on the year413.0%
Operating margin—
Equity of assets47.7%
Credibility0%
AST SPACEMOBILE, INC. against its own record and its peers
Revenue, on the yearPeer median -0.1%413.0%Equity of assetsPeer median 18.3%47.7%Return on equityPeer median -0.8%-19.3%Gold tick: the median of 9–11 peers with $50M+ revenue in communications services, nec

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)−$72M · −$1.5B · $3.8B · −$1.1B
Investment book (cash · short · long)$2.3B · $2.0B · — · current ratio 16.35
Revenue swing · equity of assets— · 47.7%

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$71M
Revenue, on the year413.0%
Revenue, a year over the record54.6%
Operating margin—
Operating margin, prior year—
Net margin−650.1%
Research and development$28M · 39.6% of revenue
Total debt$2.2B
Equity of assets47.7%
Return on equity−19.3%
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share—
Book value per share$9.35
Revenue per share$0.28
Shares outstanding255,982,592
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 11 filers with $50M+ revenue in communications services, nec.

Health HarborAst Spacemobile sails as: Weathered boat

Health watch · 12 monthsDirector or officer change ×2

Sailing speed follows growth: 72.5% a year crosses the harbor in 30 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • operating cash flow was negative
  • revenue is hard to predict: its 80% range is ±38%

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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