Velo3D $VELO Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

🫧 Edgar looked up Velo3D, Inc. ($VELO). Last filing: 8-K (1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement), 2026-10-02. 16 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months. Auditor change (8-K Item 4.01) filed 2024-12-26.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $46.0M (FY2025), total debt $31.0M. Experience: revenue up 12.1% on the year, up 13.8% a year over 4 years; operating margin -119.5%, up from -192.2%. Soundness: equity 36.2% of assets, return on equity -187.0%. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $16.6M and $118.9M next year (method v4.1: its own 5-year record of growth weighed at 57% against under $50M filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $14.5M to $136.8M. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (11 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): operating margin -119.5% against a 14.2% median; growth 12.1% against 2.3%.

Next year, 80%$17M–$119M
Growth, on the year12.1%
Operating margin−119.5%
Equity of assets36.2%
Credibility57%
Track record1 of 2
Velo3D, Inc. against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 14.2%-119.5%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 2.3%12.1%Equity of assetsPeer median 57.5%36.2%Return on equityPeer median 10.4%-187.0%Gold tick: the median of 9–9 peers with $50M+ revenue in special industry machinery, nec

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🍂 Fading · slow and jumpy, lagging its peers
Inside viewTurns -59.4% of revenue into operating cash; revenue shrinking 16.4% a year over three years; no common dividend.
Outside viewAmong under $50M companies: 39th percentile for cash, 23rd for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)−$27M · −$3M · $68M · −$30M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$39M · — · — · current ratio 2.37
Revenue swing · equity of assets61.4% · 36.2%

Velo3D is growing slower than its size class, with revenue that swings more. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$46M
Revenue, on the year12.1%
Revenue, a year over the record13.8%
Operating margin−119.5%
Operating margin, prior year−192.2%
Net margin−155.2%
Research and development$11M · 23.2% of revenue
Total debt$31M
Equity of assets36.2%
Return on equity−187.0%
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share$-4.33
Book value per share$2.31
Revenue per share$2.79
Shares outstanding16,486,845
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 11 filers with $50M+ revenue in special industry machinery, nec.

Health HarborVelo3D sails as: Old boat

Health watch · 12 monthsDirector or officer change ×7

Sailing speed follows growth: -16.4% a year crosses the harbor in 120 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • slow and jumpy: growing slower than its size class, with revenue that swings more
  • operating cash flow was negative
  • revenue is hard to predict: its 80% range is ±75%

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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