Northann $NCL Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

🫧 Edgar looked up NORTHANN CORP. ($NCL). Last filing: 8-K (5.02 Departure or Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers), 2026-10-01. 13 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months. Auditor change (8-K Item 4.01) filed 2026-08-31. Non-reliance (8-K Item 4.02) filed 2026-08-24.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $15.3M (FY2024). Experience: revenue up 9.9% on the year, down 14.4% a year over 2 years; operating margin -10.9%, up from -34.1%. Soundness: equity 18.7% of assets, return on equity -168.5%. Credibility: 3 audited years, little weight, marked down from moderate: on 2026-08-24 the company said earlier statements should no longer be relied on (8-K Item 4.02), and no 10-K has been filed since. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $11.0M and $19.8M next year (method v3, set from 749 SEC company-years; on a year the method never saw, 83% landed inside). A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (8 filers, $50M+ revenue, plastics products, nec): operating margin -10.9% against a 8.9% median; growth 9.9% against 2.1%.

Next year, 80%$11M–$20M
Growth, on the year9.9%
Operating margin−10.9%
Equity of assets18.7%
NORTHANN CORP. against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 8.9%-10.9%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 2.1%9.9%Equity of assets18.7%Return on equity-168.5%No peer group large enough for a median

Speed and cash · fiscal 2024

Cash Compass⚡ Fast, cash not yet · growing fast, but little cash arriving so far
Inside viewTurns -8.0% of revenue into operating cash; revenue growing 9.9% a year over three years; no common dividend.
Outside viewAmong under $50M companies: 64th percentile for cash, 63rd for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)−$1M · −$0M · −$1M · —
Investment book (cash · short · long)$0M · — · — · current ratio 0.61
Revenue swing · equity of assets35.3% · 18.7%

Northann is growing faster than its size class, with revenue that swings more. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2024-12-31
Revenue$15M
Revenue, on the year9.9%
Revenue, a year over the record−14.4%
Operating margin−10.9%
Operating margin, prior year−34.1%
Net margin−28.5%
Research and development$1M · 5.1% of revenue
Total debt—
Equity of assets18.7%
Return on equity−168.5%
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share$-0.17
Book value per share$0.10
Revenue per share$0.58
Shares outstanding26,267,990
Audited years read3

Peers: the median of 8 filers with $50M+ revenue in plastics products, nec.

Sailing speed follows growth: 9.9% a year crosses the harbor in 50 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • filed late annual report notice, earlier statements no longer to be relied on, late quarterly report notice, auditor change in the last 12 months
  • operating cash flow was negative
  • revenue is hard to predict: its 80% range is ±28%

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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