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Stratus Properties: Old boat (three warning signs)Old boat

Stratus Properties $STRS

Saw revenue fall 44.8% in FY2025 to $30 million, operating margin 36.1% against a 4.3% median for land subdividers & developers (no cemeteries), equity 36.3% of assets, and its dividend per share fell in the latest year on record.

Last filing8-K · Item 3.01 Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Listing Rule, 1 Jul 2026

Next year, 80%$6M–$75M
Growth, on the year−44.8%
Operating margin36.1%
Equity of assets36.3%
Credibility63%
Track record7 of 12
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range

🫧 Edgar looked up Stratus Properties Inc. ($STRS). Last filing: 8-K (3.01 Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Listing Rule), 2026-07-01. 13 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $29.9M (FY2025), total debt $143.0M. Experience: revenue down 44.8% on the year, up 1.5% a year over 4 years; operating margin 36.1%, up from -4.0%. Soundness: equity 36.3% of assets, return on equity 1.4%, payout 8.8% of profit, the dividend per share fell in the latest year on record. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $6.5M and $74.6M next year (method v4.1: its own 6-year record of growth weighed at 63% against under $50M filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $5.5M to $88.8M. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (26 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): operating margin 36.1% against a 4.3% median; growth -44.8% against 5.7%.

Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

Stratus Properties Inc. against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 4.3%36.1%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 5.7%-44.8%Equity of assetsPeer median 43.1%36.3%Return on equityPeer median 2.8%1.4%Payout of profitPeer median 111.7%8.8%Gold tick: the median of 14–36 peers with $50M+ revenue in land subdividers & developers (no cemeteries)
Handed back now, or kept to compound · of each dollar of profit
8.8% paid out91.2% keptHanded back per share$0cut in the latest yearGrowth its own profit can fund1.3%managed -44.8% last year

Gold paid out, navy kept. Kept share × return on equity = the growth it can fund itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🍂 Fading · slow and jumpy, lagging its peers
Inside viewTurns -99.9% of revenue into operating cash; revenue shrinking 7.3% a year over three years; pays a dividend.
Outside viewAmong under $50M companies: 32nd percentile for cash, 34th for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)−$30M · $61M · $22M · —
Investment book (cash · short · long)$74M · — · —
Revenue swing · equity of assets75.8% · 36.3%

Stratus Properties is growing slower than its size class, with revenue that swings more. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$30M
Revenue, on the year−44.8%
Revenue, a year over the record1.5%
Operating margin36.1%
Operating margin, prior year−4.0%
Net margin9.4%
Research and developmentnot filed separately
Total debt$143M
Equity of assets36.3%
Return on equity1.4%
Payout of profit8.8%
Dividend per share$0 · cut in the latest year
Earnings per share$1.49
Book value per share$25.10
Revenue per share$3.67
Shares outstanding8,147,000
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 26 filers with $50M+ revenue in land subdividers & developers (no cemeteries).

Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ not covered: built for industrial balance sheets, not banks or insurersPiotroski F 4 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M not covered: built for industrial filersSloan accruals 6% modest accruals 1996DuPont ROE 1.4% = margin 9.4% × turns 0.05 × leverage 2.75

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborStratus Properties sails as: Old boat

Health watch · 12 monthsExchange listing notice or transfer

Sailing speed follows growth: -7.3% a year crosses the harbor in 102 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • slow and jumpy: growing slower than its size class, with revenue that swings more
  • operating cash flow was negative
  • revenue is hard to predict: its 80% range is ±84%

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Brand success factors · calendar 2025

The Trillion Score: 484

Exponential Success Score

Built on over $200 trillion of sworn revenue, 13 years of data, 770,002 figures. Sealed by Edgarette.

How The Trillion Score works. We read eight measures of success from Stratus Properties's own SEC filings and test each one against the public companies in its field, here land subdividers & developers. The longer and fuller the record, the more weight those results carry. A model built on past filings then turns them into the odds of thriving, which means outgrowing the field for three years without a severe decline. A score of 500 is about average, and every 100 points doubles the odds. Every company is ranked on this same scale.

What it says here. At 484, Stratus Properties's odds of thriving come to 34%, against about 37% for the typical filer. It meets 3 of 8 success points.

484The Trillion Score
34%modeled odds of thriving over three years
HighFall Risk
#2 of 4rank in its field
#1,635 of 2,824rank across all filers

What the score means

The higher the score, the more often companies went on to thrive. At this level, about 35 of every 100 did.

31%Under 45035%450 to 499This company: 48438%500 to 54944%550 to 59957%600 and up

Share of companies that beat their field for three years with no severe decline, tested on 2019 to 2022 filings.

Fall Risk: High

Separate from the score, this asks what could go wrong: the odds of sales falling 30% or the filings stopping within three years. In the tests, about 41 of every 100 companies in the High band did. That is the group's history, not a forecast for this company.

MoneyIt burned about 282 cents of free cash on each sales dollar after paying for its plants and equipment. Its cash would cover that burn for about 2.5 years.cash negative over five years
SwingsIn its worst fifth of years, sales fell about 100% a year.-100.0% a year
Filed eventsNo such 8-K events in the last two years.0

The eight success points

PointWhat it meansPlace in field
SpeedSales grew slower than much of its field.0 of 100Not yet
SteadinessGrowth swung a lot for what it delivered.0 of 100Not yet
Price premiumIt keeps more of each sales dollar than most of its field.100 of 100Met
Margin stays above the fieldIts margin has not held above the field for long.50 of 100Not yet
Moat half-lifeIts margin edge is fading slowly, if at all.100 of 100Met
Brand spend yieldBrand spending returns less gross profit than for the leaders in its field.0 of 100Not yet
Learning curveCosts fell as a share of sales as it grew.100 of 100Met
Climb in the fieldIt has not been moving up the size ranks in its field.0 of 100Not yet

The actuarial view

CredibilityWith 8 years of filings, the record earns 70% of the weight. The rest stays at the middle of the field.0.70
Severe decline, class CAbout 30 of every 100 companies with this many points fell 30% or stopped reporting within three years.30.1%
Actual vs expectedSales are 74% lower than if it had simply kept pace with its field.0.26

Top of its field: #1 St Joe · #2 Stratus Properties · #3 Amrep · #4 Portsmouth Square

Ranked by The Trillion Score. See the method and score your own brand. Tested on 2019 to 2022 filings. Odds, class and Fall Risk figures are the experience of similar filers, not a forecast for this company. A statistical description of past filings, not a rating or advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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Data & Disclosure Notice: Edgar and Edgarette are automated software. Every figure on this page is calculated by software from public filings made by companies and funds with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) and is published without individual human review. The accuracy and completeness of those filings are the responsibility of the filers; reports can contain errors and can be amended. Figures are shown as filed and as of each filing's date, and this page may be corrected or updated without notice. Ranges, expected returns, rankings, boats and other measures are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings, price forecasts, company guidance or recommendations; past results do not guarantee future results. This is general information published for all readers, not advice tailored to any person's portfolio, needs or circumstances, and nothing here is financial, investment, actuarial, legal, tax or other professional advice. Actuaries and other professionals who use these figures remain responsible for reviewing them for reasonableness and consistency against the original filings and for disclosing their reliance on them. No company, fund or reinsurer pays to be included or ranked. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the SEC or by any company, fund or reinsurer named. All trademarks remain the property of their owners.