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Mannkind: Weathered boat (two warning signs)Weathered boat

Mannkind $MNKD

Grew revenue 22.2% in FY2025 to $349 million, operating margin 11.1% against a -3.8% median for pharmaceutical preparations, equity -6.4% of assets.

Last filing8-K · Item 8.01 Other Events, 21 Aug 2026

Health watchNo warning filings in 12 months
Next year, 80%$357M–$619M
Growth, on the year22.2%
Operating margin11.1%
Equity of assets−6.4%
Credibility50%
Track record6 of 6
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range

🫧 Edgar looked up MANNKIND CORP ($MNKD). Last filing: 8-K (8.01 Other Events), 2026-08-21. 10 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $349.0M (FY2025), total debt $354.6M. Experience: revenue up 22.2% on the year, up 46.7% a year over 4 years; operating margin 11.1%, down from 25.4%. Soundness: equity -6.4% of assets (liabilities exceed assets). Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $356.5M and $619.1M next year (method v4.1: its own 4-year record of growth weighed at 50% against $100M–1B filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $310.1M to $715.9M. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (114 filers, $50M+ revenue, pharmaceutical preparations): operating margin 11.1% against a -3.8% median; growth 22.2% against 13.7%.

Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

MANNKIND CORP against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median -3.8%11.1%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 13.7%22.2%Equity of assetsPeer median 40.3%-6.4%Gold tick: the median of 118–118 peers with $50M+ revenue in pharmaceutical preparations

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🌊 In between · no clear cash pattern yet
Inside viewTurns 5.2% of revenue into operating cash; revenue growing 51.8% a year over three years; no common dividend; liabilities exceed assets.
Outside viewAmong $100M-1B companies: 39th percentile for cash, 93rd for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$18M · −$305M · $315M · $14M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$75M · $133M · $5M · current ratio 1.70
Revenue swing · equity of assets21.5% · -6.4%

Mannkind is growing faster than its size class, with revenue that swings more. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$349M
Revenue, on the year22.2%
Revenue, a year over the record46.7%
Operating margin11.1%
Operating margin, prior year25.4%
Net margin1.7%
Research and development$66M · 19.0% of revenue
Total debt$355M
Equity of assets−6.4%
Return on equity—
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share$0.02
Book value per share$-0.16
Revenue per share$1.11
Shares outstanding314,112,000
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 114 filers with $50M+ revenue in pharmaceutical preparations.

Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ -11.89 distress zone 1968Piotroski F 3 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M 0.38 above the −1.78 line 1999Sloan accruals -2.1% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE needs net income, revenue and two years of assets and equity

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborMannkind sails as: Weathered boat

Health watch · 12 monthsquiet · none of the watched events filed

Sailing speed follows growth: 51.8% a year crosses the harbor in 30 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • liabilities exceed assets (often from years of share buybacks, not always distress)
  • revenue is hard to predict: its 80% range is ±27%

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Brand success factors · calendar 2025

The Trillion Score: 632

Exponential Success Score

Built on over $200 trillion of sworn revenue, 13 years of data, 770,002 figures. Sealed by Edgarette.

How The Trillion Score works. We read eight measures of success from Mannkind's own SEC filings and test each one against the public companies in its field, here pharmaceutical preparations. The longer and fuller the record, the more weight those results carry. A model built on past filings then turns them into the odds of thriving, which means outgrowing the field for three years without a severe decline. A score of 500 is about average, and every 100 points doubles the odds. Every company is ranked on this same scale.

What it says here. At 632, Mannkind's odds of thriving come to 59%, against about 37% for the typical filer. It meets 8 of 8 success points.

632The Trillion Score
59%modeled odds of thriving over three years
MediumFall Risk
#1 of 182rank in its field
#47 of 2,824rank across all filers

What the score means

The higher the score, the more often companies went on to thrive. At this level, about 57 of every 100 did.

31%Under 45035%450 to 49938%500 to 54944%550 to 59957%600 and upThis company: 632

Share of companies that beat their field for three years with no severe decline, tested on 2019 to 2022 filings.

Fall Risk: Medium

Separate from the score, this asks what could go wrong: the odds of sales falling 30% or the filings stopping within three years. In the tests, about 22 of every 100 companies in the Medium band did. That is the group's history, not a forecast for this company.

MoneyIt keeps about 4 cents of free cash from each sales dollar after paying for its plants and equipment. Debt after cash comes to about 80 cents for each dollar of yearly sales.cash negative over five years
SwingsEven in its worst years on record, sales still grew.3.3% a year
Filed eventsNo such 8-K events in the last two years.0

The eight success points

PointWhat it meansPlace in field
SpeedSales grew faster than most of its field.83 of 100Met
SteadinessGrowth was strong for how much it swung, so it looks dependable.82 of 100Met
Price premiumIt keeps more of each sales dollar than most of its field.86 of 100Met
Margin stays above the fieldIts margin has held above the field year after year.69 of 100Met
Moat half-lifeIts margin edge is fading slowly, if at all.87 of 100Met
Brand spend yieldBrand spending returns more gross profit than for most of its field.77 of 100Met
Learning curveCosts fell as a share of sales as it grew.98 of 100Met
Climb in the fieldIt has been moving up the size ranks in its field.90 of 100Met

The actuarial view

CredibilityWith 8 years of filings, the record earns 70% of the weight. The rest stays at the middle of the field.0.70
Severe decline, class AAbout 22 of every 100 companies with this many points fell 30% or stopped reporting within three years.21.8%
Actual vs expectedSales are 177% higher than if it had simply kept pace with its field.2.77

Top of its field: #1 Mannkind · #2 Biocryst Pharmaceuticals · #3 Corcept Therapeutics · #4 Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International · #5 Eli Lilly

Ranked by The Trillion Score. See the method and score your own brand. Tested on 2019 to 2022 filings. Odds, class and Fall Risk figures are the experience of similar filers, not a forecast for this company. A statistical description of past filings, not a rating or advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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Data & Disclosure Notice: Edgar and Edgarette are automated software. Every figure on this page is calculated by software from public filings made by companies and funds with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) and is published without individual human review. The accuracy and completeness of those filings are the responsibility of the filers; reports can contain errors and can be amended. Figures are shown as filed and as of each filing's date, and this page may be corrected or updated without notice. Ranges, expected returns, rankings, boats and other measures are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings, price forecasts, company guidance or recommendations; past results do not guarantee future results. This is general information published for all readers, not advice tailored to any person's portfolio, needs or circumstances, and nothing here is financial, investment, actuarial, legal, tax or other professional advice. Actuaries and other professionals who use these figures remain responsible for reviewing them for reasonableness and consistency against the original filings and for disclosing their reliance on them. No company, fund or reinsurer pays to be included or ranked. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the SEC or by any company, fund or reinsurer named. All trademarks remain the property of their owners.