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Herc Holdings: New ship (no warning signs)New ship

Herc Holdings $HRI

Grew revenue 22.6% in FY2025 to $4.4 billion, equity 14.1% of assets, and dividend per share up 4 years running.

Last filing10-Q, 27 Oct 2026

Next year, 80%$4.6B–$5.7B
Growth, on the year22.6%
Operating margin—
Equity of assets14.1%
Credibility40%
Track record5 of 14
Your call, sealedNext year’s revenue, your range. Sealed now, graded when the annual report lands.
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range

🫧 Edgar looked up HERC HOLDINGS INC. ($HRI). Last filing: 10-Q, 2026-10-27. 14 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $4.4B (FY2025), total debt $8.0B. Experience: revenue up 22.6% on the year, up 100.1% a year over 4 years. Soundness: equity 14.1% of assets, return on equity 0.1%, payout 8700.0% of profit, dividend per share up 4 years running. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $4.6B and $5.7B next year (method v4.1: its own 3-year record of growth weighed at 40% against $1B–10B filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $4.2B to $6.2B. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (11 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): growth 22.6% against 10.3%.

Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

HERC HOLDINGS INC. against its own record and its peers
Revenue, on the yearPeer median 10.3%22.6%Equity of assetsPeer median 25.8%14.1%Return on equityPeer median 10.5%0.1%Payout of profitPeer median 31.5%8700.0%Gold tick: the median of 10–15 peers with $50M+ revenue in services-miscellaneous equipment rental & leasing
Handed back now, or kept to compound · of each dollar of profit
120.0% paid outMore was paid out than was earned in the year.Handed back per share$2.8up 4 years runningGrowth its own profit can fund0.0%managed 22.6% last year

Gold paid out, navy kept. Kept share × return on equity = the growth it can fund itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🐄 Cash cow now · steady, with strong cash arriving today
Inside viewTurns 24.8% of revenue into operating cash; revenue growing 16.9% a year over three years; pays and raised its dividend.
Outside viewAmong $1B-10B companies: 74th percentile for cash, 84th for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$1.1B · −$4.9B · $3.8B · $928M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$52M · — · — · current ratio 1.31
Revenue swing · equity of assets8.1% · 14.1%

Herc Holdings is growing faster than its size class, with steadier revenue. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$4.4B
Revenue, on the year22.6%
Revenue, a year over the record100.1%
Operating margin—
Operating margin, prior year—
Net margin0.0%
Research and developmentnot filed separately
Total debt$8.0B
Equity of assets14.1%
Return on equity0.1%
Payout of profit8700.0%
Dividend per share$2.8 · up 4 years running
Earnings per share$0.03
Book value per share$62.04
Revenue per share$139.36
Shares outstanding31,400,000
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 11 filers with $50M+ revenue in services-miscellaneous equipment rental & leasing.

Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ not enough filed detail (needs current assets and liabilities, retained earnings, operating income)Piotroski F 3 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M not enough filed detail (needs receivables, cost of revenue, PP&E, depreciation, SG&A for two years)Sloan accruals -10% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE 0.1% = margin 0% × turns 0.4 × leverage 6.48

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborHerc Holdings sails as: New ship

Health watch · 12 monthsDirector or officer change ×4

Sailing speed follows growth: 16.9% a year crosses the harbor in 30 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →

No warning signs on the measures below.

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings
Measured, not prophesiedSuccess tools: score it, compare it, see its fieldFour questions. Scored against the SEC filings of the companies in your field.

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Each benchmark is the median of SEC filers in your industry code, from their own audited filings, read on the filing boards. Reporting, not investment advice.

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · Open in Excel (CSV) · Ten-year table (CSV) ·

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