Morgan Stanley $MS Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

🫧 Edgar looked up MORGAN STANLEY ($MS). Last filing: 10-Q, 2026-08-04. 8 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $34.3B (FY2014), total debt $152.8B. Experience: revenue up 5.5% on the year, up 2.4% a year over 4 years. Soundness: equity 8.8% of assets, return on equity 5.2%, payout 24.7% of profit, dividend per share up 12 years running. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $28.2B and $41.6B next year (method v4.1: its own 6-year record of growth weighed at 63% against $10B+ filers; on a year the method never saw, 83.4% landed inside). In a shock year the stress range is $23.7B to $48.6B. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (10 filers, $50M+ revenue, security brokers, dealers & flotation companies): growth 5.5% against 18.7%.

Next year, 80%$28.2B–$41.6B
Growth, on the year5.5%
Operating margin—
Equity of assets8.8%
Credibility63%
Track record2 of 4
MORGAN STANLEY against its own record and its peers
Revenue, on the yearPeer median 18.7%5.5%Equity of assetsPeer median 15.7%8.8%Return on equityPeer median 15.1%5.2%Payout of profit24.7%Gold tick: the median of 15–18 peers with $50M+ revenue in security brokers, dealers & flotation companies
Handed back now, or kept to compound · of each dollar of profit
24.7% paid out75.3% keptHanded back per share$3.85up 12 years runningGrowth its own profit can fund3.9%managed 5.5% last year

Gold paid out, navy kept. Kept share × return on equity = the growth it can fund itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.

Cash

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)— · −$35.3B · $23.1B · —
Investment book (cash · short · long)$87.6B · — · —

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2014-12-31
Revenue$34.3B
Revenue, on the year5.5%
Revenue, a year over the record2.4%
Operating margin—
Operating margin, prior year—
Net margin10.7%
Research and developmentnot filed separately
Total debt$152.8B
Equity of assets8.8%
Return on equity5.2%
Payout of profit24.7%
Dividend per share$3.85 · up 12 years running
Earnings per share$1.64
Book value per share$35.97
Revenue per share$17.39
Shares outstanding1,971,000,000
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 10 filers with $50M+ revenue in security brokers, dealers & flotation companies.

Health HarborMorgan Stanley sails as: New ship

Health watch · 12 monthsquiet · none of the watched events filed

No growth figure to set the speed.

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No warning signs on the measures below.

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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