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Profound Medical: Old boat (three warning signs)Old boat

Profound Medical $PROF

Grew revenue 50.7% in FY2025 to $16 million, operating margin -256% against a 1.2% median for surgical & medical instruments & apparatus, equity 85.7% of assets.

Last filing8-K · Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement, 3 Nov 2026

Next year, 80%$18M–$32M
Growth, on the year50.7%
Operating margin−256.3%
Equity of assets85.7%
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range

🫧 Edgar looked up PROFOUND MEDICAL CORP. ($PROF). Last filing: 8-K (1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement), 2026-11-03. 38 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months. Non-reliance (8-K Item 4.02) filed 2025-03-07.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $16.1M (FY2025), total debt $4.5M. Experience: revenue up 50.7% on the year, up 49.5% a year over 2 years; operating margin -256.3%, up from -309.6%. Soundness: equity 85.7% of assets, return on equity -64.1%. Credibility: 3 audited years, moderate weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $17.7M and $31.8M next year (method v3, set from 749 SEC company-years; on a year the method never saw, 83% landed inside). A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (60 filers, $50M+ revenue, surgical & medical instruments & apparatus): operating margin -256.3% against a 1.2% median; growth 50.7% against 11.6%.

Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

PROFOUND MEDICAL CORP. against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 1.2%-256.3%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 11.6%50.7%Equity of assetsPeer median 52.9%85.7%Return on equityPeer median -2.3%-64.1%Gold tick: the median of 55–59 peers with $50M+ revenue in surgical & medical instruments & apparatus

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass⚡ Fast, cash not yet · growing fast, but little cash arriving so far
Inside viewTurns -200.0% of revenue into operating cash; revenue growing 50.7% a year over three years; no common dividend.
Outside viewAmong under $50M companies: 8th percentile for cash, 83rd for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)−$38M · −$0M · $41M · −$38M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$60M · — · — · current ratio 12.52
Revenue swing · equity of assets1.1% · 85.8%

Profound Medical is growing faster than its size class, with steadier revenue. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$16M
Revenue, on the year50.7%
Revenue, a year over the record49.5%
Operating margin−256.3%
Operating margin, prior year−309.6%
Net margin−264.4%
Research and development$21M · 127.9% of revenue
Total debt$4M
Equity of assets85.7%
Return on equity−64.1%
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share$1.41
Book value per share$2.20
Revenue per share$0.53
Shares outstanding30,232,966
Audited years read3

Peers: the median of 60 filers with $50M+ revenue in surgical & medical instruments & apparatus.

Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ -3.44 distress zone 1968Piotroski F 4 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M not enough filed detail (needs receivables, cost of revenue, PP&E, depreciation, SG&A for two years)Sloan accruals -5.9% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE -67.1% = margin -264.4% × turns 0.22 × leverage 1.16

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborProfound Medical sails as: Old boat

Health watch · 12 monthsDirector or officer change ×3

Sailing speed follows growth: 50.7% a year crosses the harbor in 30 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • operating cash flow was negative
  • operating loss: a margin of -256.3% in FY2025
  • revenue is hard to predict: its 80% range is ±28%

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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