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Farmer Brothers: Sound ship (one warning sign)Sound ship

Farmer Brothers

Grew revenue 0.3% in FY2025 to $342 million, operating margin -0.4% against a 7.4% median for miscellaneous food preparations & kindred products, equity 27.0% of assets.

Last filing8-K · Item 1.02 Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement, 5 May 2026

Next year, 80%$292M–$398M
Growth, on the year0.3%
Operating margin−0.4%
Equity of assets27.0%
Credibility50%
Track record8 of 12
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range

🫧 Edgar looked up FARMER BROTHERS CO. Last filing: 8-K (1.02 Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement), 2026-05-05. 9 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $342.3M (FY2025). Experience: revenue up 0.3% on the year, up 6.9% a year over 4 years; operating margin -0.4%, up from -0.7%. Soundness: equity 27.0% of assets, return on equity -33.3%. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $292.1M and $397.7M next year (method v4.1: its own 4-year record of growth weighed at 50% against $100M–1B filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $270.2M to $431.4M. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (47 filers, $50M+ revenue, its industry group): operating margin -0.4% against a 7.4% median; growth 0.3% against 2.7%.

Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

FARMER BROTHERS CO against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 7.4%-0.4%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 2.7%0.3%Equity of assetsPeer median 44.2%27.0%Return on equityPeer median 9.5%-33.3%Gold tick: the median of 41–46 peers with $50M+ revenue in miscellaneous food preparations & kindred products
Handed back now, or kept to compound · of each dollar of profit
Handed back per share$0

Gold paid out, navy kept. Kept share × return on equity = the growth it can fund itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🌊 In between · no clear cash pattern yet
Inside viewTurns 4.7% of revenue into operating cash; revenue growing 2.8% a year over three years; no common dividend.
Outside viewAmong $100M-1B companies: 38th percentile for cash, 42nd for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$16M · −$6M · −$9M · —
Investment book (cash · short · long)$7M · — · — · current ratio 1.20
Revenue swing · equity of assets8.5% · 23.5%

Farmer Brothers is growing slower than its size class, with steadier revenue. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-06-30
Revenue$342M
Revenue, on the year0.3%
Revenue, a year over the record6.9%
Operating margin−0.4%
Operating margin, prior year−0.7%
Net margin−4.2%
Research and developmentnot filed separately
Total debt—
Equity of assets27.0%
Return on equity−33.3%
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share$0
Earnings per share$-0.68
Book value per share$2.04
Revenue per share$16.00
Shares outstanding21,394,543
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 47 filers with $50M+ revenue in miscellaneous food preparations & kindred products.

Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ 0.01 distress zone 1968Piotroski F 5 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M not enough filed detail (needs receivables, cost of revenue, PP&E, depreciation, SG&A for two years)Sloan accruals -17.7% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE -32.6% = margin -4.2% × turns 1.98 × leverage 3.89

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborFarmer Brothers sails as: Sound ship

Health watch · 12 monthsExchange listing notice or transferDirector or officer change ×4

Sailing speed follows growth: 2.8% a year crosses the harbor in 72 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • operating loss: a margin of -0.4% in FY2025

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Brand success factors · calendar 2025

The Trillion Score: 578

Exponential Success Score

Built on over $200 trillion of sworn revenue, 13 years of data, 770,002 figures. Sealed by Edgarette.

How The Trillion Score works. We read eight measures of success from Farmer Brothers's own SEC filings and test each one against the public companies in its field, here miscellaneous food preparations & kindred products. The longer and fuller the record, the more weight those results carry. A model built on past filings then turns them into the odds of thriving, which means outgrowing the field for three years without a severe decline. A score of 500 is about average, and every 100 points doubles the odds. Every company is ranked on this same scale.

What it says here. At 578, Farmer Brothers's odds of thriving come to 50%, against about 37% for the typical filer. It meets 6 of 8 success points.

578The Trillion Score
50%modeled odds of thriving over three years
HighFall Risk
#2 of 33rank in its field
#337 of 2,824rank across all filers

What the score means

The higher the score, the more often companies went on to thrive. At this level, about 44 of every 100 did.

31%Under 45035%450 to 49938%500 to 54944%550 to 599This company: 57857%600 and up

Share of companies that beat their field for three years with no severe decline, tested on 2019 to 2022 filings.

Fall Risk: High

Separate from the score, this asks what could go wrong: the odds of sales falling 30% or the filings stopping within three years. In the tests, about 41 of every 100 companies in the High band did. That is the group's history, not a forecast for this company.

MoneyIt keeps about 5 cents of free cash from each sales dollar after paying for its plants and equipment.cash negative over five years
SwingsIn its worst fifth of years, sales fell about 65% a year.-64.9% a year
Filed eventsNo such 8-K events in the last two years.0

The eight success points

PointWhat it meansPlace in field
SpeedSales grew faster than most of its field.66 of 100Met
SteadinessGrowth swung a lot for what it delivered.3 of 100Not yet
Price premiumIt keeps more of each sales dollar than most of its field.97 of 100Met
Margin stays above the fieldIts margin has held above the field year after year.71 of 100Met
Moat half-lifeIts margin edge is fading slowly, if at all.93 of 100Met
Brand spend yieldBrand spending returns more gross profit than for most of its field.87 of 100Met
Learning curveCosts fell as a share of sales as it grew.97 of 100Met
Climb in the fieldIt has not been moving up the size ranks in its field.38 of 100Not yet

Price premium $64M is the extra gross profit over a field-median margin. Momentum $3M is gross profit times growth above the field's pace.

The actuarial view

CredibilityWith 8 years of filings, the record earns 70% of the weight. The rest stays at the middle of the field.0.70
Severe decline, class AAbout 22 of every 100 companies with this many points fell 30% or stopped reporting within three years.21.8%
Actual vs expectedSales are 5% higher than if it had simply kept pace with its field.1.05

Top of its field: #1 Lifeway Foods · #2 Farmer Brothers · #3 Freshpet · #4 J&J Snack Foods · #5 Hershey

Ranked by The Trillion Score. See the method and score your own brand. Tested on 2019 to 2022 filings. Odds, class and Fall Risk figures are the experience of similar filers, not a forecast for this company. A statistical description of past filings, not a rating or advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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Data & Disclosure Notice: Edgar and Edgarette are automated software. Every figure on this page is calculated by software from public filings made by companies and funds with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) and is published without individual human review. The accuracy and completeness of those filings are the responsibility of the filers; reports can contain errors and can be amended. Figures are shown as filed and as of each filing's date, and this page may be corrected or updated without notice. Ranges, expected returns, rankings, boats and other measures are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings, price forecasts, company guidance or recommendations; past results do not guarantee future results. This is general information published for all readers, not advice tailored to any person's portfolio, needs or circumstances, and nothing here is financial, investment, actuarial, legal, tax or other professional advice. Actuaries and other professionals who use these figures remain responsible for reviewing them for reasonableness and consistency against the original filings and for disclosing their reliance on them. No company, fund or reinsurer pays to be included or ranked. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the SEC or by any company, fund or reinsurer named. All trademarks remain the property of their owners.