🫧 Edgar looked up TRANSCONTINENTAL REALTY INVESTORS, INC. ($TCI). Last filing: DEF 14A, 2026-10-14. 5 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.
🔖 Exposure: revenue $49.1M (FY2025), total debt $210.8M. Experience: revenue up 4.2% on the year, up 4.7% a year over 4 years; operating margin -12.9%, down from -12.3%. Soundness: equity 74.8% of assets, return on equity 1.7%. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $31.3M and $84.9M next year (method v4.1: its own 6-year record of growth weighed at 63% against under $50M filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $29.2M to $91.2M. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (79 filers, $50M+ revenue, real estate investment trusts): operating margin -12.9% against a 24.7% median; growth 4.2% against 3.7%.
Gold paid out, navy kept. Kept share × return on equity = the growth it can fund itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.
Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.
| Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free) | −$3M · −$36M · $28M · — |
| Investment book (cash · short · long) | $14M · $75M · — |
| Revenue swing · equity of assets | 22.5% · 74.8% |
Transcontinental Realty Investors is growing faster than its size class, with steadier revenue. Its own audited SEC figures.
| Fiscal year end | 2025-12-31 |
| Revenue | $49M |
| Revenue, on the year | 4.2% |
| Revenue, a year over the record | 4.7% |
| Operating margin | −12.9% |
| Operating margin, prior year | −12.3% |
| Net margin | 29.4% |
| Research and development | not filed separately |
| Total debt | $211M |
| Equity of assets | 74.8% |
| Return on equity | 1.7% |
| Payout of profit | — |
| Dividend per share | $0 |
| Earnings per share | $1.6 |
| Book value per share | $98.01 |
| Revenue per share | $5.68 |
| Shares outstanding | 8,639,316 |
| Audited years read | 5 |
Peers: the median of 79 filers with $50M+ revenue in real estate investment trusts.
Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ not covered: built for industrial balance sheets, not banks or insurersPiotroski F 3 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M not covered: built for industrial filersSloan accruals 1.6% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE 1.7% = margin 29.4% × turns 0.04 × leverage 1.31
What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →
Health watch · 12 monthsquiet · none of the watched events filed
Sailing speed follows growth: 10.2% a year crosses the harbor in 49 seconds.
🌊 Visit the Bay →Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.
Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company
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