Old boatFlux Power $FLUX
Saw revenue fall 36.6% in FY2026 to $42 million, operating margin -15.4% against a -7.6% median for miscellaneous electrical machinery, equipment & supplies, equity 10.6% of assets.
Last filing8-K · Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement, 18 Sept 2026
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range
🫧 Edgar looked up FLUX POWER HOLDINGS, INC. ($FLUX). Last filing: 8-K (1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement), 2026-09-18. 12 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months. Auditor change (8-K Item 4.01) filed 2025-01-31.
🔖 Exposure: revenue $42.1M (FY2026). Experience: revenue down 36.6% on the year, down 0.1% a year over 4 years; operating margin -15.4%, down from -7.6%. Soundness: equity 10.6% of assets, return on equity -291.2%. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $15.6M and $61.3M next year (method v4.1: its own 6-year record of growth weighed at 63% against under $50M filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $14.2M to $67.5M. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (15 filers, $50M+ revenue, miscellaneous electrical machinery, equipment & supplies): operating margin -15.4% against a -7.6% median; growth -36.6% against 6.9%.
Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred
Speed and cash · fiscal 2025
| Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free) | −$6M · −$1M · $5M · −$6M |
| Investment book (cash · short · long) | $0M · — · — · current ratio 1.03 |
| Revenue swing · equity of assets | — · — |
The figures, as filed
| Fiscal year end | 2026-06-30 |
| Revenue | $42M |
| Revenue, on the year | −36.6% |
| Revenue, a year over the record | −0.1% |
| Operating margin | −15.4% |
| Operating margin, prior year | −7.6% |
| Net margin | −17.7% |
| Research and development | $3M · 6.7% of revenue |
| Total debt | — |
| Equity of assets | 10.6% |
| Return on equity | −291.2% |
| Payout of profit | — |
| Dividend per share | — |
| Earnings per share | $-0.38 |
| Book value per share | $0.13 |
| Revenue per share | $2.13 |
| Shares outstanding | 19,826,095 |
| Audited years read | 5 |
Peers: the median of 15 filers with $50M+ revenue in miscellaneous electrical machinery, equipment & supplies.
Classic signals · fiscal 2026Altman Z″ -16.83 distress zone 1968Piotroski F 3 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M -2.93 below the −1.78 line 1999Sloan accruals -5.2% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE needs net income, revenue and two years of assets and equity
What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →
Health HarborFlux Power Holdings sails as: Old boat
Health watch · 12 monthsExchange listing notice or transferDirector or officer change
Sailing speed follows growth: 16.2% a year crosses the harbor in 31 seconds.
🌊 Visit the Bay →- operating loss: a margin of -15.4% in FY2026
- free cash flow was negative: capital spending outran operating cash (-$6.4M in FY2026)
- revenue is hard to predict: its 80% range is ±59%
Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.
Brand success factors · calendar 2025
The Trillion Score: 532
Exponential Success Score
Built on over $200 trillion of sworn revenue, 13 years of data, 770,002 figures. Sealed by Edgarette.
How The Trillion Score works. We read eight measures of success from Flux Power's own SEC filings and test each one against the public companies in its field, here miscellaneous electrical machinery, equipment & supplies. The longer and fuller the record, the more weight those results carry. A model built on past filings then turns them into the odds of thriving, which means outgrowing the field for three years without a severe decline. A score of 500 is about average, and every 100 points doubles the odds. Every company is ranked on this same scale.
What it says here. At 532, Flux Power's odds of thriving come to 42%, against about 37% for the typical filer. It meets 6 of 8 success points.
What the score means
The higher the score, the more often companies went on to thrive. At this level, about 38 of every 100 did.
Share of companies that beat their field for three years with no severe decline, tested on 2019 to 2022 filings.
Fall Risk: High
Separate from the score, this asks what could go wrong: the odds of sales falling 30% or the filings stopping within three years. In the tests, about 41 of every 100 companies in the High band did. That is the group's history, not a forecast for this company.
| Money | It burned about 0 cents of free cash on each sales dollar after paying for its plants and equipment. | not filed |
| Swings | Even in its worst years on record, sales still grew. | 44.4% a year |
| Filed events | In the last two years it told the SEC about 6 filings on restatements, delisting notices, bankruptcy or debt defaults, and 10 filings on leadership or auditor changes. | 16 |
The eight success points
| Point | What it means | Place in field | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Speed | Sales grew faster than most of its field. | 68 of 100 | Met |
| Steadiness | Growth was strong for how much it swung, so it looks dependable. | 100 of 100 | Met |
| Price premium | It keeps more of each sales dollar than most of its field. | 73 of 100 | Met |
| Margin stays above the field | Its margin has not held above the field for long. | 28 of 100 | Not yet |
| Moat half-life | Its margin edge is fading fast, or it has none yet. | 0 of 100 | Not yet |
| Brand spend yield | Brand spending returns more gross profit than for most of its field. | 65 of 100 | Met |
| Learning curve | Costs fell as a share of sales as it grew. | 94 of 100 | Met |
| Climb in the field | It has been moving up the size ranks in its field. | 50 of 100 | Met |
Price premium $4M is the extra gross profit over a field-median margin. Momentum $1M is gross profit times growth above the field's pace.
The actuarial view
| Credibility | With 7 years of filings, the record earns 67% of the weight. The rest stays at the middle of the field. | 0.67 |
| Severe decline, class B | About 26 of every 100 companies with this many points fell 30% or stopped reporting within three years. | 26.1% |
| Actual vs expected | Sales are 22% higher than if it had simply kept pace with its field. | 1.22 |
Top of its field: #1 Byrna Technologies · #2 Novanta · #3 Energizer · #4 Microvast · #5 Flux Power
Ranked by The Trillion Score. See the method and score your own brand. Tested on 2019 to 2022 filings. Odds, class and Fall Risk figures are the experience of similar filers, not a forecast for this company. A statistical description of past filings, not a rating or advice.
- 8-K · 2026-09-18 · 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
- 8-K · 2026-09-11 · 5.02 Departure or Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers
- 10-K · 2026-08-20
- 8-K · 2026-08-20 · 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
- 8-K · 2026-07-30 · 3.01 Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Listing Rule
- S-1 · 2026-05-22
Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company