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Nutanix: Weathered boat (two warning signs)Weathered boat

Nutanix $NTNX

Grew revenue 12.4% in FY2026 to $2.9 billion, operating margin 9.6% against a 0.9% median for prepackaged software, equity 13.8% of assets.

Last filingDEF 14A, 20 Oct 2026

Next year, 80%$2.9B–$3.4B
Growth, on the year12.4%
Operating margin9.6%
Equity of assets13.8%
Credibility57%
Track record7 of 8
Edgarette’s full reading · exposure, experience, soundness, credibility, range

🫧 Edgar looked up NUTANIX, INC. ($NTNX). Last filing: DEF 14A, 2026-10-20. 14 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $2.9B (FY2026). Experience: revenue up 12.4% on the year, up 15.9% a year over 4 years; operating margin 9.6%, up from 6.8%. Soundness: equity 13.8% of assets, return on equity 214.5%. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $2.9B and $3.4B next year (method v4.1: its own 5-year record of growth weighed at 57% against $1B–10B filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $2.8B to $3.7B. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (140 filers, $50M+ revenue, services-prepackaged software): operating margin 9.6% against a 0.9% median; growth 12.4% against 13.0%.

Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

NUTANIX, INC. against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 0.9%9.6%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 13.0%12.4%Equity of assetsPeer median 50.0%13.8%Return on equityPeer median 2.3%214.5%Gold tick: the median of 120–136 peers with $50M+ revenue in services-prepackaged software

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🌱 Cash cow later · growing fast, and already turning revenue into cash
Inside viewTurns 32.4% of revenue into operating cash; revenue growing 17.1% a year over three years; no common dividend; liabilities exceed assets.
Outside viewAmong $1B-10B companies: 85th percentile for cash, 84th for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$917M · −$436M · −$473M · $841M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$777M · $1.6B · — · current ratio 1.80
Revenue swing · equity of assets1.9% · -25.4%

Nutanix is growing faster than its size class, with steadier revenue. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2026-07-31
Revenue$2.9B
Revenue, on the year12.4%
Revenue, a year over the record15.9%
Operating margin9.6%
Operating margin, prior year6.8%
Net margin52.8%
Research and development$791M · 27.7% of revenue
Total debt—
Equity of assets13.8%
Return on equity214.5%
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share$5.61
Book value per share$2404.54
Revenue per share$9766.29
Shares outstanding292,183
Audited years read5

Peers: the median of 140 filers with $50M+ revenue in services-prepackaged software.

Classic signals · fiscal 2026Altman Z″ -0.11 distress zone 1968Piotroski F 5 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M -1.46 above the −1.78 line 1999Sloan accruals 14.1% earnings ahead of cash 1996DuPont ROE 37460.2% = margin 52.8% × turns 0.68 × leverage 1038.77

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborNutanix sails as: Weathered boat

Health watch · 12 monthsRestructuring or exit costsDirector or officer change ×4

Sailing speed follows growth: 17.1% a year crosses the harbor in 30 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • filed restructuring or exit costs in the last 12 months
  • liabilities exceed assets (often from years of share buybacks, not always distress)

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an operating loss; negative free cash flow outside regulated utilities; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Brand success factors · calendar 2025

The Trillion Score: 634

Exponential Success Score

Built on over $200 trillion of sworn revenue, 13 years of data, 770,002 figures. Sealed by Edgarette.

How The Trillion Score works. We read eight measures of success from Nutanix's own SEC filings and test each one against the public companies in its field, here prepackaged software. The longer and fuller the record, the more weight those results carry. A model built on past filings then turns them into the odds of thriving, which means outgrowing the field for three years without a severe decline. A score of 500 is about average, and every 100 points doubles the odds. Every company is ranked on this same scale.

What it says here. At 634, Nutanix's odds of thriving come to 59%, against about 37% for the typical filer. It meets 8 of 8 success points.

634The Trillion Score
59%modeled odds of thriving over three years
MediumFall Risk
#3 of 311rank in its field
#41 of 2,824rank across all filers

What the score means

The higher the score, the more often companies went on to thrive. At this level, about 57 of every 100 did.

31%Under 45035%450 to 49938%500 to 54944%550 to 59957%600 and upThis company: 634

Share of companies that beat their field for three years with no severe decline, tested on 2019 to 2022 filings.

Fall Risk: Medium

Separate from the score, this asks what could go wrong: the odds of sales falling 30% or the filings stopping within three years. In the tests, about 22 of every 100 companies in the Medium band did. That is the group's history, not a forecast for this company.

MoneyIt keeps about 30 cents of free cash from each sales dollar after paying for its plants and equipment.high
SwingsEven in its worst years on record, sales still grew.5.6% a year
Filed eventsIn the last two years it told the SEC about 8 filings on leadership or auditor changes.8

The eight success points

PointWhat it meansPlace in field
SpeedSales grew faster than most of its field.72 of 100Met
SteadinessGrowth was strong for how much it swung, so it looks dependable.79 of 100Met
Price premiumIt keeps more of each sales dollar than most of its field.93 of 100Met
Margin stays above the fieldIts margin has held above the field year after year.83 of 100Met
Moat half-lifeIts margin edge is fading slowly, if at all.93 of 100Met
Brand spend yieldBrand spending returns more gross profit than for most of its field.91 of 100Met
Learning curveCosts fell as a share of sales as it grew.98 of 100Met
Climb in the fieldIt has been moving up the size ranks in its field.71 of 100Met

Price premium $495M is the extra gross profit over a field-median margin. Momentum $146M is gross profit times growth above the field's pace.

The actuarial view

CredibilityWith 8 years of filings, the record earns 70% of the weight. The rest stays at the middle of the field.0.70
Severe decline, class AAbout 22 of every 100 companies with this many points fell 30% or stopped reporting within three years.21.8%
Actual vs expectedSales are 22% higher than if it had simply kept pace with its field.1.22

Top of its field: #1 monday.com · #2 Cellebrite DI · #3 Nutanix · #4 EverQuote · #5 Palantir Technologies

Ranked by The Trillion Score. See the method and score your own brand. Tested on 2019 to 2022 filings. Odds, class and Fall Risk figures are the experience of similar filers, not a forecast for this company. A statistical description of past filings, not a rating or advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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Data & Disclosure Notice: Edgar and Edgarette are automated software. Every figure on this page is calculated by software from public filings made by companies and funds with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) and is published without individual human review. The accuracy and completeness of those filings are the responsibility of the filers; reports can contain errors and can be amended. Figures are shown as filed and as of each filing's date, and this page may be corrected or updated without notice. Ranges, expected returns, rankings, boats and other measures are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings, price forecasts, company guidance or recommendations; past results do not guarantee future results. This is general information published for all readers, not advice tailored to any person's portfolio, needs or circumstances, and nothing here is financial, investment, actuarial, legal, tax or other professional advice. Actuaries and other professionals who use these figures remain responsible for reviewing them for reasonableness and consistency against the original filings and for disclosing their reliance on them. No company, fund or reinsurer pays to be included or ranked. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the SEC or by any company, fund or reinsurer named. All trademarks remain the property of their owners.