Portfolio read · 13F holdings as of 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-08-06

Cincinnati Financial Corp

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6.9%in checked holdings with a warning filing in the last 12 months
87.3%checked (the 43 largest matched holdings)
56stocks · 87.3% matched to an SEC filer

Health HarborCincinnati Financial Corp sails as: Weathered boat

Sailing speed follows growth: 3.1% a year crosses the harbor in 71 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • 6.9% of the portfolio in companies with warning filings
  • 10.4% in companies whose liabilities exceed assets

Boat condition = number of warning signs: warning filings ≥ 5% of the portfolio; liabilities over assets ≥ 10%; slow and jumpy ≥ 30%; top 10 ≥ 60%; revenue ranges ≥ ±20%. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

How the portfolio did · Q2 2026

31 March 2026 → 30 June 2026. The 31 March 2026 stock book, valued at 30 June 2026 prices, both from the filer’s own 13F filings (earlier, later). No outside price feed.

+10.2%Stock book price return, Q2 2026
+14.6%iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV), same method · gap −4.4%
34 of 53holdings rose in the quarter
95.5%of the book priced from both filings
Added mostWeightPricePoints
Cisco Systems Ord4.2%+51.4%+2.14
Apple Ord15.0%+14.0%+2.10
Broadcom Ord9.4%+22.0%+2.08
Unitedhealth Grp Ord2.7%+53.6%+1.43
Qualcomm Ord2.6%+43.5%+1.13
Cost mostWeightPricePoints
Cme Group Cl A Ord6.2%−25.2%−1.57
Accenture Cl A Ord1.4%−37.2%−0.53
Mcdonald'S Ord2.9%−13.0%−0.38
Tjx Ord2.9%−5.1%−0.15
At&T Ord0.3%−28.6%−0.09
What changedCountShare of the book
New positions33.8% of the 30 June 2026 book
Exited24.5% of the 31 March 2026 book
Added to1share count up more than 2%
Trimmed6share count down more than 2%
Book value$5.2Bfrom $5.0B (price moves plus buying and trimming)

Points = each holding’s contribution to the return, in percentage points. Price return of the stock book: the 2026-03-31 holdings valued at 2026-06-30 prices, both from the filer’s own 13Fs. Not the fund’s official return or funded status; dividends and trades between quarter ends are not in it. Display only, not advice.

Against the big portfolios · Q2 2026

The same quarter for everyone, 2026-03-31 → 2026-06-30, from each filer’s own 13F filings. Groups show the median and every member.

PortfolioQuarterDetail
This portfolio+10.2%stock book, from its own 13Fs
S&P 500 fund+14.6%price, as filed in the same 13Fs
Insurers · 10+10.0%Travelers +27.4% · Ameriprise Financial +14.2% · Prudential Financial +13.0% · Allstate +11.6% · Cincinnati Financial +10.2% · MassMutual +9.7% · Markel +9.3% · Berkshire Hathaway +8.0% · MetLife +6.1% · Loews +5.8%
Endowments & foundations · 2+11.7%Harvard Management Co +11.9% · Gates Foundation Trust +11.4%
Managers · 2+15.6%Bridgewater Associates +19.6% · Renaissance Technologies +11.6%
Banks · 2+13.6%Goldman Sachs +14.7% · JPMorgan Chase +12.4%
Pensions · 7+14.6%CalPERS +15.0% · CalSTRS +15.0% · New York State Teachers +14.7% · New York State Common +14.6% · Kentucky Teachers +14.1% · Wisconsin Investment Board +13.9% · Maryland State Retirement +9.4%

Actuarial summary

MeasureValueWhat it means
Warning share6.9%Share of the portfolio in companies that filed a warning event in the last 12 months. Lower is healthier.
Top-10 weight54.5%How much the 10 largest holdings carry. Higher means more rides on a few names.
Effective holdings20The portfolio behaves like this many equal holdings (1 ÷ Σ weight²). Higher is more diversified.
Largest sectorTechnology & communications 49%Of the holdings checked. Technology & communications 49% · Consumer 16% · Industrials & services 14% · Financials 7% · Health care 6%.
Revenue range±13.4%Weighted width of Edgarette’s tested 80% revenue ranges, on the 85% of the portfolio she covers. Narrower is more predictable.
Checked87.3%Share of the portfolio Health Watch has read.
Cash conversion28.5%Operating cash as a share of revenue, weighted. Higher = money arrives faster.
Growth speed3.1% a yearRevenue growth per year over three years, weighted. The long-term engine.
Dividend payers92% · raised 83%Share of the covered portfolio in companies paying a common dividend, and raising it.
Dividend yield1.5%Common dividends paid in the latest fiscal year ÷ market value, weighted. Market value = the reported price × diluted shares.
Buyback yield+1.3%Shares bought back minus shares issued for cash, ÷ market value, weighted. From the cash-flow statements.
Starting valuation32.5× earningsPrice ÷ earnings (P/E) of the covered portfolio, from net income as filed. Higher = more is already priced in.
Expected stock return-7.2% to +20.7% a yearBuilding blocks (Grinold–Kroner): income yield +2.8% + revenue growth -10.0% to +17.8% from Edgarette’s 80% ranges + valuation change taken as 0. Midpoint +6.7%. Covers 82% (yields) and 85% (growth) of the portfolio. An assumption by a published method, not a promise or a price forecast.
Equity ratio32.1%Equity as a share of assets, weighted. Higher = less owed to others.
Liabilities over assets10.4%Share of the covered portfolio in companies whose liabilities exceed assets (often from buybacks, not always distress).
Cash Compass
🐄 Now 45%🍂 Fading 20%🌱 Later 17%🐂 Steady 11%🌊 Between 8%
Speed and steadiness
Slow · steady 44%Slow · jumpy 26%Fast · steady 19%Fast · jumpy 11%

Inside view (own filings) and outside view (same-size peers) must agree · covers 85% of the portfolio · a description, not advice.

Risks to watch

Largest holdings

HoldingWeightHealth watch, last 12 months
APPLE ORD $AAPL15.47%🐄quiet
BROADCOM ORD $AVGO7.59%🌱quiet
CISCO SYSTEMS ORD $CSCO5.72%🐄Restructuring or exit costs
CME GROUP CL A ORD $CME4.23%🐄quiet
PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL ORD $PM3.81%🍂quiet
UNITEDHEALTH GRP ORD3.72%not checked
DOVER ORD $DOV3.62%quiet
MICROSOFT ORD $MSFT3.50%🐄quiet
NORFOLK SOUTHERN ORD $NSC3.45%🍂quiet
ANALOG DEVICES ORD $ADI3.38%🍂quiet
QUALCOMM ORD $QCOM3.38%🌊quiet
HOME DEPOT ORD $HD2.87%🐂quiet
ABBVIE ORD $ABBV2.73%🐂quiet
SNAP ON ORD $SNA2.59%🐄quiet
VALERO ENERGY ORD $VLO2.56%🍂quiet
TJX ORD $TJX2.51%🌱quiet
MCDONALD'S ORD $MCD2.31%🐂quiet
MICROCHIP TECHNOLOGY ORD $MCHP1.89%🍂quiet
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL ORD $HON1.79%🐄quiet
HONEYWELL AEROSPACE ORD $HONA1.77%quiet
RPM ORD1.75%not checked
MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL CL A ORD $MDLZ1.60%🌱quiet
PROLOGIS REIT1.53%not checked
PINNACLE WEST ORD1.49%not checked
ARTHUR J GALLAGHER ORD1.02%not checked

13F lists US stocks and options only: no bonds, cash, private assets or liabilities, so it shows the stock book, not the funded status. Holdings are matched to SEC filers by ticker or name; the measures cover the matched share shown. Display only: a description from SEC filings, not a rating and not investment advice. Nothing pasted here is stored. Source: the 13F filing.

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Tickers and weights only. Funds are looked through. Nothing is stored.

A 13F lists a manager’s US stock holdings each quarter: every institution with $100M+ in US stocks files one.

The big portfolios, last quarter, from their own 13Fs:

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Data & Disclosure Notice: Edgar and Edgarette are automated software. Every figure on this page is calculated by software from public filings made by companies and funds with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) and is published without individual human review. The accuracy and completeness of those filings are the responsibility of the filers; reports can contain errors and can be amended. Figures are shown as filed and as of each filing's date, and this page may be corrected or updated without notice. Ranges, expected returns, rankings, boats and other measures are statistical descriptions of past filings, not ratings, price forecasts, company guidance or recommendations; past results do not guarantee future results. This is general information published for all readers, not advice tailored to any person's portfolio, needs or circumstances, and nothing here is financial, investment, actuarial, legal, tax or other professional advice. Actuaries and other professionals who use these figures remain responsible for reviewing them for reasonableness and consistency against the original filings and for disclosing their reliance on them. No company, fund or reinsurer pays to be included or ranked. Provided as is, without warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the SEC or by any company, fund or reinsurer named. All trademarks remain the property of their owners.