6.9% of the portfolio in companies with warning filings
10.4% in companies whose liabilities exceed assets
Boat condition = number of warning signs: warning filings ≥ 5% of the portfolio; liabilities over assets ≥ 10%; slow and jumpy ≥ 30%; top 10 ≥ 60%; revenue ranges ≥ ±20%. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.
How the portfolio did · Q2 2026
31 March 2026 → 30 June 2026. The 31 March 2026 stock book, valued at 30 June 2026 prices, both from the filer’s own 13F filings (earlier, later). No outside price feed.
+10.2%Stock book price return, Q2 2026
+14.6%iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV), same method · gap −4.4%
34 of 53holdings rose in the quarter
95.5%of the book priced from both filings
Added most
Weight
Price
Points
Cisco Systems Ord
4.2%
+51.4%
+2.14
Apple Ord
15.0%
+14.0%
+2.10
Broadcom Ord
9.4%
+22.0%
+2.08
Unitedhealth Grp Ord
2.7%
+53.6%
+1.43
Qualcomm Ord
2.6%
+43.5%
+1.13
Cost most
Weight
Price
Points
Cme Group Cl A Ord
6.2%
−25.2%
−1.57
Accenture Cl A Ord
1.4%
−37.2%
−0.53
Mcdonald'S Ord
2.9%
−13.0%
−0.38
Tjx Ord
2.9%
−5.1%
−0.15
At&T Ord
0.3%
−28.6%
−0.09
What changed
Count
Share of the book
New positions
3
3.8% of the 30 June 2026 book
Exited
2
4.5% of the 31 March 2026 book
Added to
1
share count up more than 2%
Trimmed
6
share count down more than 2%
Book value
$5.2B
from $5.0B (price moves plus buying and trimming)
Points = each holding’s contribution to the return, in percentage points. Price return of the stock book: the 2026-03-31 holdings valued at 2026-06-30 prices, both from the filer’s own 13Fs. Not the fund’s official return or funded status; dividends and trades between quarter ends are not in it. Display only, not advice.
Against the big portfolios · Q2 2026
The same quarter for everyone, 2026-03-31 → 2026-06-30, from each filer’s own 13F filings. Groups show the median and every member.
Share of the portfolio in companies that filed a warning event in the last 12 months. Lower is healthier.
Top-10 weight
54.5%
How much the 10 largest holdings carry. Higher means more rides on a few names.
Effective holdings
20
The portfolio behaves like this many equal holdings (1 ÷ Σ weight²). Higher is more diversified.
Largest sector
Technology & communications 49%
Of the holdings checked. Technology & communications 49% · Consumer 16% · Industrials & services 14% · Financials 7% · Health care 6%.
Revenue range
±13.4%
Weighted width of Edgarette’s tested 80% revenue ranges, on the 85% of the portfolio she covers. Narrower is more predictable.
Checked
87.3%
Share of the portfolio Health Watch has read.
Cash conversion
28.5%
Operating cash as a share of revenue, weighted. Higher = money arrives faster.
Growth speed
3.1% a year
Revenue growth per year over three years, weighted. The long-term engine.
Dividend payers
92% · raised 83%
Share of the covered portfolio in companies paying a common dividend, and raising it.
Dividend yield
1.5%
Common dividends paid in the latest fiscal year ÷ market value, weighted. Market value = the reported price × diluted shares.
Buyback yield
+1.3%
Shares bought back minus shares issued for cash, ÷ market value, weighted. From the cash-flow statements.
Starting valuation
32.5× earnings
Price ÷ earnings (P/E) of the covered portfolio, from net income as filed. Higher = more is already priced in.
Expected stock return
-7.2% to +20.7% a year
Building blocks (Grinold–Kroner): income yield +2.8% + revenue growth -10.0% to +17.8% from Edgarette’s 80% ranges + valuation change taken as 0. Midpoint +6.7%. Covers 82% (yields) and 85% (growth) of the portfolio. An assumption by a published method, not a promise or a price forecast.
Equity ratio
32.1%
Equity as a share of assets, weighted. Higher = less owed to others.
Liabilities over assets
10.4%
Share of the covered portfolio in companies whose liabilities exceed assets (often from buybacks, not always distress).
Cash Compass
🐄 Now 45%🍂 Fading 20%🌱 Later 17%🐂 Steady 11%🌊 Between 8%
13F lists US stocks and options only: no bonds, cash, private assets or liabilities, so it shows the stock book, not the funded status. Holdings are matched to SEC filers by ticker or name; the measures cover the matched share shown. Display only: a description from SEC filings, not a rating and not investment advice. Nothing pasted here is stored. Source: the 13F filing.
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The big portfolios, last quarter, from their own 13Fs:
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Committee brief · Edgar & Edgarette · POPS4 Filing Boards
Cincinnati Financial Corp
Prepared 2026-10-08 · SEC 13F-HR for 2026-06-30, filed 2026-08-06 · 56 stock holdings, 87.3% matched to SEC filers
Health Harbor: Weathered boat (two warning signs): 6.9% of the portfolio in companies with warning filings; 10.4% in companies whose liabilities exceed assets.
Measures
Warning share
6.9%
Checked by Health Watch
87.3%
Top-10 weight
54.5%
Effective holdings
20
Largest sector
Technology & communications 49%
Revenue range (80%)
±13.4%
Cash conversion
28.5%
Growth, 3-yr a year
3.1%
Dividend payers
92% · raised 83%
Equity ratio
32.1%
Liabilities over assets
10.4%
Covered by speed and cash
85.0%
Dividend · buyback yield
1.5% · 1.3%
Expected stock return (80%)
-7.2% to 20.7% a year
Last quarter, stock book
+10.2% (gap to S&P 500 −4.4%)
Cash Compass
🐄 cash cow now 45% · 🌱 cash cow later 17% · 🐂 steady earner 11% · 🍂 fading 20% · 🌊 in between 8%. Each holding read through its own filings (inside view) and against same-size peers (outside view); a label needs both to agree.
Holdings with warning filings, last 12 months
CSCO 5.72% (Restructuring or exit costs) · APD 0.82% (Material impairment) · HAS 0.41% (Late quarterly report notice)
Risks to watch
Concentrated: the 10 largest holdings are 54.5% of the portfolio.
Behaves like about 20 equal holdings (effective number), so a few companies drive the result.
Sector concentration: 49.1% of the checked holdings are Technology & communications.
6.9% of the portfolio is in companies that filed warning events in the last 12 months.
10.4% of the covered portfolio is in companies whose liabilities exceed their assets (often from years of share buybacks, not always distress).
Holdings are as of 2026-06-30; the portfolio may have changed since.