Stubhub Holdings $STUB Read from its own SEC filings · nothing written, nothing inferred

🫧 Edgar looked up STUBHUB HOLDINGS, INC. ($STUB). Last filing: 8-K (1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement), 2026-10-14. 7 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.

🔖 Exposure: revenue $1.7B (FY2025), total debt $1.5B. Experience: revenue down 1.4% on the year, up 13.0% a year over 2 years; operating margin -77.0%, down from 7.8%. Soundness: equity 23.4% of assets, return on equity -161.0%. Credibility: 3 audited years, moderate weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $1.5B and $2.2B next year (method v3, set from 4,599 SEC company-years; on a year the method never saw, 83% landed inside). A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (10 filers, $50M+ revenue, services-miscellaneous amusement & recreation): operating margin -77.0% against a 7.0% median; growth -1.4% against 2.0%.

Next year, 80%$1.5B–$2.2B
Growth, on the year−1.4%
Operating margin−77.0%
Equity of assets23.4%
STUBHUB HOLDINGS, INC. against its own record and its peers
Operating marginPeer median 7.0%-77.0%Revenue, on the yearPeer median 2.0%-1.4%Equity of assetsPeer median 9.7%23.4%Return on equityPeer median 7.7%-161.0%Gold tick: the median of 8–12 peers with $50M+ revenue in services-miscellaneous amusement & recreation

Speed and cash · fiscal 2025

Cash Compass🍂 Fading · slow and jumpy, lagging its peers
Inside viewTurns 11.0% of revenue into operating cash; revenue shrinking 1.4% a year over three years; no common dividend.
Outside viewAmong $1B-10B companies: 39th percentile for cash, 23rd for growth. cash growth

Both views must agree for a label · a description, not advice.

Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free)$193M · −$34M · $72M · $191M
Investment book (cash · short · long)$1.2B · — · — · current ratio 1.04
Revenue swing · equity of assets19.3% · 23.4%

Stubhub Holdings is growing slower than its size class, with revenue that swings more. Its own audited SEC figures.

The figures, as filed

Fiscal year end2025-12-31
Revenue$1.7B
Revenue, on the year−1.4%
Revenue, a year over the record13.0%
Operating margin−77.0%
Operating margin, prior year7.8%
Net margin−109.2%
Research and developmentnot filed separately
Total debt$1.5B
Equity of assets23.4%
Return on equity−161.0%
Payout of profit—
Dividend per share—
Earnings per share$-6.27
Book value per share$3.71
Revenue per share$5.47
Shares outstanding319,233,573
Audited years read3

Peers: the median of 10 filers with $50M+ revenue in services-miscellaneous amusement & recreation.

Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ -3.53 distress zone 1968Piotroski F 4 of 9 middling 2000Beneish M not enough filed detail (needs receivables, cost of revenue, PP&E, depreciation, SG&A for two years)Sloan accruals -41.4% earnings backed by cash 1996DuPont ROE -184.7% = margin -109.2% × turns 0.34 × leverage 4.92

What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →

Health HarborStubhub Holdings sails as: Sound ship

Health watch · 12 monthsDirector or officer change

Sailing speed follows growth: -1.4% a year crosses the harbor in 84 seconds.

🌊 Visit the Bay →
  • slow and jumpy: growing slower than its size class, with revenue that swings more

Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.

Recent filings

Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company

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