🫧 Edgar looked up AIR PRODUCTS AND CHEMICALS, INC. ($APD). Last filing: 10-Q, 2026-07-30. 7 event filings (8-K) in the past twelve months.
🔖 Exposure: revenue $12.0B (FY2025), total debt $17.7B. Experience: revenue down 0.5% on the year, up 3.9% a year over 4 years; operating margin -7.3%, down from 36.9%. Soundness: equity 36.6% of assets, return on equity -2.6%, dividend per share up 16 years running. Credibility: four or more audited years, reasonable weight. Range: 80% of past cases like this landed between $10.1B and $13.0B next year (method v4.1: its own 4-year record of growth weighed at 50% against $10B+ filers; across 2019–2025, 69.0% landed inside, 83.4% on the one year the method never saw). In a shock year the stress range is $9.1B to $14.4B. A statistical range, not company guidance. Against peers (9 filers, $50M+ revenue, industrial inorganic chemicals): operating margin -7.3% against a 3.0% median; growth -0.5% against -1.3%.
Gold paid out, navy kept. Kept share × return on equity = the growth it can fund itself. Facts from the filings, not a recommendation.
| Cash flow (op · inv · fin · free) | — · −$7.2B · $2.8B · — |
| Investment book (cash · short · long) | $1.9B · $0M · — · current ratio 1.38 |
| Revenue swing · equity of assets | 11.4% · 37.4% |
Air Products And Chemicals is growing slower than its size class, with revenue that swings more. Its own audited SEC figures.
| Fiscal year end | 2025-09-30 |
| Revenue | $12.0B |
| Revenue, on the year | −0.5% |
| Revenue, a year over the record | 3.9% |
| Operating margin | −7.3% |
| Operating margin, prior year | 36.9% |
| Net margin | −3.3% |
| Research and development | $96M · 0.8% of revenue |
| Total debt | $17.7B |
| Equity of assets | 36.6% |
| Return on equity | −2.6% |
| Payout of profit | — |
| Dividend per share | $7.14 · up 16 years running |
| Earnings per share | $-1.77 |
| Book value per share | $67.47 |
| Revenue per share | $54.05 |
| Shares outstanding | 222,700,000 |
| Audited years read | 5 |
Peers: the median of 9 filers with $50M+ revenue in industrial inorganic chemicals.
Classic signals · fiscal 2025Altman Z″ 2.17 grey zone 1968Piotroski F 2 of 9 weak 2000Beneish M not enough filed detail (needs receivables, cost of revenue, PP&E, depreciation, SG&A for two years)Sloan accruals needs net income, operating cash and two years of assetsDuPont ROE -2.5% = margin -3.3% × turns 0.3 × leverage 2.51
What a terminal subscription used to buy, a filing and arithmetic now give anyone. Published method, from the same filings. Display only: nothing here moves the range or its receipt. Why? →
Health watch · 12 monthsMaterial impairmentDirector or officer change
Sailing speed follows growth: -1.8% a year crosses the harbor in 85 seconds.
🌊 Visit the Bay →Boat condition = number of warning signs: a serious warning filing in 12 months; liabilities over assets; slow and jumpy; negative operating cash; an 80% revenue range of ±25% or wider. A picture of the signs, not a rating and not investment advice.
Figures are as filed in audited 10-K reports and can move with restatements, acquisitions, disposals or a change in fiscal year. A range set from how past company-years turned out is not a promise about the next one, and says nothing about the share price. Reporting, not investment advice. No price targets and no trading recommendations. Figures from the SEC’s own data · every filing · this page as JSON · ask about another company
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